Saturday Trends: Market Rasen

It doesn’t look like there are any 5-7f flat handicaps with trends/stats etc etc. So, we shall go jumping at Market Rasen – which is no bad thing 🙂 

First up is the Summer Plate, followed by the Summer Hurdle…

 

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Market Rasen: Summer Plate (Chase)

17 renewals

253 runners, 58 placed horses

 

TRENDS

Previous Place

• WON: 10/17,
  • 10/95, 30 places
• Top 3: 14/17
  • 14/155, 45 places…82% winners…,78% places.. from 61% of runners
• Pulled Up: 0/16, 0 places

 

Horse Age

• Nothing overly significant. Winners all ages, 6-11
  • 5: 0/5, 0 places
  • 12+ : 0/4,2 places

Days Since Run

• Nothing overly significant
  • 121+ days: 0/16, 2 places (121-150 days… 0/4, 2 places)

Horse Weight (exc jockey claim)

• 11-8+ : 0/41, 14 places
  • 11-12: 0/16, 8 places

Horse Official Rating

• 16/17 OR 135 or below
  • 136+ : 1/54, 13 places
    • 140+ : 0/26, 9 places

Season Runs

• Nothing too significant

Wins (Distance)

• Nothing too significant

Position In Market

• Clear Fav: 5/14, 9 places
• Clear+Joint Fav: 6/20, 10 places
• Top 2 in market: 8/35, 15 places

Odds

• 13/17 : 9/1 or shorter SP
• 15/17: 16/1 or shorter SP
• 17/17: 25/1 or shorter SP
• Above 25/1 SP: 0/32, 3 places

 

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OTHER STATS

Miscellaneous 1

Origin of Horse

• GB: 2/57, 8 places
• IRE: 11/124, 33 places
• FR: 4/56,15 places

Headgear

• Nothing sig. Winners wearing CP/Blink/Visor (6/58 ,11p total)

Pos Wgts (ex Clm) –

• Top 2 in weights: (inc joint): 0/38, 12 places

 

‘The ‘Running’ Characteristics’

H-Run (NH Race Type)

• 20+ chase runs: 0/44, 11 places

H- RUN (Hncp NH Race Type) 

• 14/17 had 0-8 handicap chase runs
• 17/17 had 0-14 handicap chase runs
• 15+ handicap chase runs: 0/52, 10 places

H- Run (track)

• Track form not overly important: 8/100,26 places had 0 runs at track previously

H-Run (Last Placing)

• 16/17 had placed on at least one of last two runs
  • Did not: 1/50, 7 places

 

The ‘Winning’ Characteristics

H-Win (Hcap NH)

• 5+ handicap chase wins: 0/20, 4 places

H-Win (Track)

• 2+ : 0/29, 4 places

 

Miscellaneous 2

Best in Five Runs

• 17/17 Top 2 at least once in last 5 runs.
  • Were not: 0/20, 2 places

Highest Class Win

• Yet to win above C4/5: 0/18, 2 places

H-Places (NH Race type)

• 0-1 chase places: 0/9, 0 places
• 9+ chase places: 1/55, 14 places

 

Horses ‘Last Race’ Characteristics

(LR) Race Class (inc Irish)

• C1: 1/32, 3 places

(LR) Track

• Stratford: 4/41, 13 places
• Worcester: 3/26, 9 places
• Ffos Las: 2/5, 4 places
• Perth: 1/22,4 places
• Market R: 1/42, 6 places
• Uttox: 1/30, 4 places
• Other 1 win: Ayr/Sandown/Hunt/Hayd/Cartmel
• Chelt: 0/7, 1 place
• Aintree: 0/7, 0 places
• NA: 0/7, 2 places

 

Trainers (of interest)

• P Bowen: 4/28, 10 places
• Jonjo O’Neill: 2/17, 5 places
• Martin Pipe: 2/15, 4 places
• David Pipe: 1/9, 3 places
• 1 win each: Dr Newland/Lawney Hill/P Nicholls/NTD/N Richards/P Webber/K Reveley
• A King: 0/8, 2 places
• Evan Williams: 0/8, 3 places
• Tim Vaughan: 0/6, 0 places
• P Hobbs: 0/8, 2 places
• N Henderson: 0/4, 0 places
• Mrs S Smith: 0/7, 0 places
• Miss V Williams: 0/5, 0 places
• B Ellison: 0/7, 1 places

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Market Rasen: Summer Hurdle

17 renewals

242 runners, 59 placed horses

 

TRENDS

 

Previous Place

• 11/17 Top 2 LTO
  • 11/124, 38 places….65% winners…51% runners…64% places

Horse Age

• 17/17 Aged 4-8
  • 9+ : 0/24, 4 places

Days Since Run

• 17/17 ran 1-75 days ago
  • 76+ Days: 0/16, 2 places
  • 16-20 days ago: 0/35, 4 places (possibly just random)
  • 31-45 days ago: 0/35, 7 places (as above)

 

Horse Weight (exc jokey claims)

• 11-11+ : 0/19, 2 places
• 10-3-10-13: 1/102, 19 places (could just be random or something in it)

Horse Official Rating

• Nothing significant

Season Runs

• Nothing significant

Wins (Distance)

• 2+ : 0/25, 3 places

Position In Market

• 12/17 Top 4 in betting

Odds

• 12/17 : 8/1 or shorter SP
• 2 winners at 33/1
  • 40/1 + : 0/18, 1 place

 

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OTHER STATS

Miscellaneous 1

Origin of Horse

• GB: 3/85, 17 places
• IRE: 11/105, 30 places
• USA: 1/16,5 places
• FR: 1/13, 2 places
• GER: 1/18, 2 places

Headgear

• CP: 2/15, 2 places
• Blinkers/Visor: 0/30, 5 places (0/15 each)
• Hood/blinkers: 1/1

Pos Wgts (ex Clm) –

• Bottom Weights: 4/26, 13 places

 

‘The ‘Running’ Characteristics’

H (Horse) -Run (90 days)

• 0: 0/14, 0 places

H-Run (NH Race Type)

• 15/17 had 0-15 hurdle runs
  • 16+ : 2/62, 12 places…3% winners…26% winners…20% places

H- RUN (Hncp NH Race Type) 

• 12/17 had 0-5 handicap hurdle wins
  • 12/122, 36 places…71% winners…50% runners…61% places

H- Run (track)

• 0 runs: 10/135, 31 places
• 3+ track runs: 0/24, 5 places

 

The ‘Winning’ Characteristics

H-Win (Career)

• 0-1 wins: 0/15, 3 places
• 15/17… 2-5 career wins
  • 6+ : 2/91, 14 places…12% winners…38% runners…24% places

H-Win (NH Race Type).

• 5+ hurdle wins: 0/37, 4 places

H-Win (Hncp/Non)

• 15/17 had 0-3 handicap wins
  • 4+ : 2/72, 14 places… 12% winners…30% runners…24% places

H-Win (Track)

• 2+ : 0/9, 0 places

 

Miscellaneous 2

Best in Three Runs

• 16/17 : Top 2 at least once in last 3 runs
  • Did not: 1/52, 8 places

H-Places (NH Race type)

• 17/17 3-7 places in all hurdle races
  • 0-2 hurdle places: 0/19, 4 places
  • 8+ : 0/59, 8 places

 

Horses ‘Last Race’ Characteristics

(LR)-last run – NH Race Type

• Chase: 0/24, 2 places

 

(LR) Track

• Stratford: 3/41, 10 places
• Newton Abbot: 2/10, 4 places
• Market Rasen: 2/15, 5 places
• Wetherby: 2/3, 2 places
• Worcester: 2/18, 5 places
• 1 win: Newcastle/Ascot/Kilbeggan/Haydock/Newmarket (july)/Sandown
• Perth: 0/12, 2 places
• Uttox: 0/14, 1 place

 

Trainers (of interest)

• Martin Pipe: 3/10, 3 places (as possible pointer to David, obviously)
• John Ferguson: 2/4,2 places (no longer training)
• 1 win each: Bowen/JJ Quinn/P Webber/R Fahey/L Dace/Dr Newland (1/5,4 places)/ S Gollings/NTD/O Meara/C Mann/C Roche
• E Williams: 0/7, 1 place
• David Pipe: 0/14, 3 places (not quite his Dad then!)
• B Ellison: 0/7, 2 places
• P Hobbs: 0/11, 2 places
• N Henderson: 0/5, 2 places