Bunbury Cup: trends/stats/pointers

Bunbury Cup

19 renewals since 1997

348 horses

75 places

TRENDS

Previous Place

• Nothing too significant
  • 12/19 Top 6 LTO
    • 12/191,48 places…63% winners..55% runners…64% places

Horse Age

• Nothing really significant. Even spread given no. runners etc

Days Since Run

• 19/19 ran within previous 45 days (will prob cover most runners anyway)
  • 46+ days: 0/25, 3 places

Horse Weight (exc jockey claims)

• Nothing too significant
  • 9-11+ : 0/13, 2 places (10-00, 0/6, 2 places)

Horse Official Rating

• 106+ : 0/11, 1 place
• 85< : 0/26, 4 places

Season Runs

• 19/19: 2-6 runs this season
  • 0-1: 0/30, 4 places
  • 7+ : 0/26, 4 places

Wins (Distance)

• 0: 1/108, 20 places

Maximum Distance Winners Had WON Over

• Of those with a previous win (18) 18/18 had won over at least 7f previously 
  • Had Not: 0/56, 10 places

Position In Market

• 19/19 Top 13 in market
  • Fav: 4/23, 8 places
  • 14^th or lower: 0/83, 7 places

Odds

• 17/19 priced 16/1 or shorter
  • 13/2 < : 5/30, 12 places
  • 18/1-25/1: 2/86, 11 places
  • 33/1+ : 0/68, 5 places

***

OTHER STATS

Miscellaneous 1

Nothing significant across those below…

Origin of Horse

Headgear

Pos Wgts (ex Clm) –

Stalls/Draw

Stall

• Nothing significant. Even spread. Looks to be all about pace unless a track bias there this week.

‘The ‘Running’ Characteristics’

H -Run (90 days)

• 0-1: 0/32, 5 places
• 7+ : 0/13, 2 places

H – Run (career)

• 0-4: 0/26, 5 places

H- Run (Hncp/Non Hncp)

• 0 handicap runs: 0/9, 0 places
• 0-3: 1/57, 12 places

H-Run (distance)

• 0-1: 0/54. 11 places

The ‘Winning’ Characteristics

H-Win (Hncp/Non)

• 0 handicap wins: 1/73, 13 places (albeit places as % of runners in line with others)

Miscellaneous 2

Best in Three Runs

• 14/19 had come 1^st or 2^nd on at least one of previous 3 runs
  • 14/209, 53 places…74% winners…60% runners…71% places

Distance Move

• Up in trip: 2/91, 21 places
  • Compared say to those down in trip… 7/105, 20 places

Highest Class Run

• Had RUN at G1 level: 0/38, 3 places
  • G2: 1/39 , 7 places

Highest Class Win

• Had won G3+ : 0/14, 1 place

H-Places (Hncp/Non)

• 0 places in handicaps: 0/31, 3 places

Jockey Claims

• Claiming jock: 1/39, 10 places
  • 3lb: 1/17,5 places
  • 5lb: 0/17, 4 places
  • 7lb: 0/5, 1 p

Horses ‘Last Race’ Characteristics

(LR) Race Class (inc Irish)

• C1: 1/30, 6 places
• C4: 0/7, 0 places

(LR) Grp/Grd/Lst

• Listed: 0/12, 1 place

(LR) No. of Runners

• 2-9 runners: 1/55, 6 places

(LR) Track

• Ascot: 10/154, 33 places
• Newcastle: 3/40, 9 places (now artificial surface)
• 1 win: Sandown/Newb/York/Epsom/Chester/Warw
• Newmarket (july): 0/29, 9 places
• Haydock: 0/15, 0 places
• Goodwood: 0/12, 1 place

Trainer Yard Location

• Central England: 0/29, 4 places

Trainers (of interest)

• J D Bethell: 3/6, 4 places
• R Fahey: 3/11, 4 places
• 1 win each: Jenkins/Muir/Margarson/Hannon Snr/Meehan/Osborne/Nicholls/I Balding/R Charlton/ D Elsworth/B Hills/Johnston/L A Perratt
• M Channon: 0/10, 1 place
• K Ryan: 0/8, 1 place

Jockeys (of interest)

• R Moore: 2/6, 5 places (him and his agent rarely get it wrong for a good run it would appear)
• Spencer: 0/11, 5 places (leaving it a bit too late at this track maybe! track generally suits prominent racers)
• Dane O’Neill: 0/10, 1 place
• J Fortune: 0/10, 0 places