Sat Big Race Trends: Scottish Sprint Trophy

Musselburgh: Scottish Sprint Trophy 2016

This race doesn’t appear to be in the big race trends of HRB, not that I could see anyway. But, I have used the system builder tool to identify the race so we shall see what I can find…

9 renewals to date

146 runners, 34 placed horses

15-17 runners per year.

 

CHECKLIST

TRENDS

Previous Place

  • 6/9 Top 4 LTO
  • 9/9 Top 8 LTO
  • 9th or worse: 0/45, 7 places

Horse Age

  • 9/9 Aged 4-6 (only 1 3yo has run)
  • 7+ : 0/46, 5 places

Days Since Run

  • Noting significant

Horse Weight

  • Nothing significant

 

Horse Official Rating

  • Nothing significant albeit rather randomly perhaps…
    • OR 83-92: 0/51, 5 places (not classy enough or not enough in hand?-of just random- albeit that only ‘knocks out’ the bottom 4 this year)

Season Runs

  • Nothing too significant although…
    • 1 run only this season: 0/25, 3 places

Position In Market

  • Nothing significant

Odds

  • Nothing too significant althought
    • 5/1 or shorter: 2/8, 5 places… +3 SP

***

OTHER STATS

Miscellaneous 1

Headgear

  • CheekP: 0/13, 2 places
  • Blink: 0/9, 1 place
  • Visor: 0/10, 2 places

 

Stalls/Draw

Nothing significant

 

‘The ‘Running’ Characteristics’

H-Run (Last Win)

  • 7/9 Had won at least one of last 4 starts
    • Had not: 2/88, 18 places

H-Run (Last Placing)

  • 9/9 placed on at least one of last 4 starts
    • Had not: 0/36, 5 places

The ‘Winning’ Characteristics

H-Win (Career).

  • 1: 0/10, 2 places
  • 8+ : 0/27, 2 places

H-Win (Class)

  • 3+ : 0/23, 6 places

H-Win (Track)

  • Random: 1 win: 0/38, 3 places (cant see any logic given 0 are 7/100, and 2+ are 2/8,2 places)

 

Miscellaneous 2

Best in Three Runs

  • 8/9 Top 3 at least once, 7/9 Top 2
    • Had Not: 1/53, 8 places

Best in Five Runs

  • 9/9 Top 2 at last once in last 5 runs
    • Were Not: 0/43, 8 places

Distance Move

  • Down in distance: 1/31, 7 places
  • Same: 8/115, 27 places

Highest Class Run

  • Had RUN at G2 or G1: 0/52, 8 places

Highest Class Win

  • C3: 0/19, 2 places

Horses ‘Last Race’ Characteristics

(LR) Odds

  • 9/1 or shorter: 7/63,18 places
  • 10/1+ : 2/83, 16 places

(LR) Track

  • York: 3/38, 11 places
  • Beverley: 2/8, 2 places
  • Hayd: 1/11, 3 places
  • Thirsk: 1/14, 2 places
  • Lingfield: 1/2, 1 place
  • Newc: 1/3, 1 place
  • Epsom: 0/21, 6 places
  • Muss: 0/8, 0 places

***

Trainers (of interest)

No trainer has won this more than once yet-

  • Smart/Alston/Nicholls (1/16,6p) / M Appleby/T Easterby/K Ryan/T Etherington/Ed De Giles/N Wilson
  • T D Barron: 0/9. 3 places
  • R Fahey: 0/9. 1 place
  • J Goldie: 0/14,1 place

***

This is the only trends race of interest in Saturday. 

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