Members Report: 21/05/17 (COMPLETE)

For those unaware I am away for the weekend in Prague so the blog will be fairly ‘light’ over the next couple of days, before returning to ‘normal’ on from Monday. 

No tips, as I simply don’t have time to look. 

 

MICRO SYSTEMS

Other 

A King Flat (16/1<) 

1.55 Hayd – Rainbow Dreamer 

4.35 Good – First Mohican 

Varian Females (25/1<)

3.40 Hayd: Imtiyaaz / Queens Pearl 

Meehan Maidens (any odds) 

4.40 New: Alaskan Breeze

Sat TJC Hobbs/Johnson (14/1<)

7.35 Strat: Dunraven Storm 

***

TTP MAIN TRAINER SYSTEM BETS 

York (all 9/1<)

2.05 York: Fort Bastian / Salateen / That is The Spirit 

3.15 York: Burano / Maraakib 

5.25 York: Dutch Artist 

 

8.50 Chep: Marengo (14.1<)

***

STATS/ANGLES OF INTEREST 

I have had time to have a look for my Saturday Daily Punt Column and I have gone for Doctor Bong 6/1 in the 7.20 Chepstow. Mainly because of the trainer’s record in 4yo+ handicaps here. 

***

That is all for the day. 

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Do join in the conversation below, we're a friendly bunch.. all questions welcome, and do share your selections or thoughts

38 Responses

  1. I am following along since a week now, I like the Trainer & Jockey pair focus and the Hurdles are my main focus this month, using your approach to course specialists I have identified three for Saturday

    18:05 Stratford Hurdle Turf The Outlaw
    19:05 Stratford Hurdle Turf Red Tornado
    20:05 Stratford Hurdle Turf Titans Approach

    Hope Prague is going well Josh, really enjoying reading about your methods

  2. Josh many thanks you have completely changed the way I look at betting .i have now got a total new approach

  3. I dunno what to make of Goodwood, watering, rain… Low draws dominated yesterday until the last race when draw 10 drifted onto the stands rail in the last furlong & clocks fastest time of the day, Class5 ? ? One thing for sure, times suggesting a lot slower than official ‘good’ description?

    1. I rarely bet at Goodwood anymore. A complete nightmare with second guessing where a jockey is going to place his mount and continually not getting a run. I would say it is impossible to make a profit there long term.

    2. Low draws always make things much easier at Goodwood unless you’re on a hold up horse in my opinion.

  4. Hi Josh,
    Hope you are enjoying your Prague adventure, went 16 years ago before I moved to Thailand, keep your money in a safe place. Look forward to everyone on here filling in for you, in your absence. Busy day for me with selections. My horses for my patent. 14.55 Nmk Handsome Dude 11/2. 19.35 Strat. Parsnip Pete. 20.20 Chep. Urban Space 4/1 tipped on here and I backed it ew last time it ran. Comments welcome, good luck everyone.

    1. I went stagging back in the day to Prague when it was not expensive. If we ever meet up as a group I will tell you the story of the fake kidnapping of the groom that obviously went wrong!

  5. Sanus Per Aquam looks the EW play in Ire Guineas 540 too high on figs to be 6th favourite of 8 imho

  6. The change in the weather is an absolute mare as depending on which forecast you look at each major venue could have a few showers or a downpour.

    The big sprints are full of horses that either need a road or a bog and it is hard to be sure what is going to happen, a shame as with set conditions it could have been a great betting day.

    1. Not altogether bad – I didn’t do it the other day but all day I kept thinking ‘if it rains – it’s going to suit More Mischief who was 10/1 early on & it’s going to shorten up.’ Sure enough it rained & she finished 2nd at 9/2 so could have backed & layed for a profit but I was busy enough anyway.

      But yeh could have been a good day, now tricky?

    2. I have found a couple of winners using that Proform tool on Betdaq including the first race at Newcastle/Tapeta

      According to above / using sire 4 going buttons

      150 Newm if gf stay with fav – if turns gs oppose with Evergate or Nibras Bounty – if gd Phoenix Bounty tops big price?

      & having said that just noticed fav’s sire not had many runners ? ?

  7. Some One Trick Pointers – unless 4/+ not that interested?

    Good

    Battalion (IRE) William Haggas 2:15
    Decorated Knight Roger Charlton 2:15
    Bateel (IRE) David Simcock 2:50
    Strong Challenge (IRE) Saeed bin Suroor 3:25

    York

    Quest For More (IRE)
    Roger Charlton
    2:40

    Diploma
    Sir Michael Stoute
    4:55

    Haydock

    Moscato
    Sir Mark Prescott Bt
    2:30

    Winterlude (IRE)
    Jennie Candlish
    2:30

    Zodiakos (IRE)
    Hugo Palmer
    3:05

    Rosenborg Rider (IRE)
    Ralph Beckett
    5:20

    1. I hear that Noble Quest, 8.35 is expected to go well. probably the price is not good enough for each way?

    2. Philip Hobbs Handicap Chasers at Stratford came out on my HRB system method with three selections. Josh has mentioned one of them – Dunraven Storm and the other two are – Thomas Wild and No Likey. I am not studying Stratford at all though so have no idea about them.

    3. A few more I look at for Stratford are

      17:30 Fredo
      18:05 Egypt Mill Rebel
      19:05 Roman Flight
      20:05 Howya Buddy

      Only focussing on Stratford today J-T Pairs, enjoy the day out at Stratford

      1. Berht
        I am absolutely gutted.
        I looked at the Tom George/Paddy Brennan combo this morning and identified Parsnip Pete and Egypt Mill Rebel.
        Events took over and I forgot about it.
        16/1 , I’m crying in my beer tonight.

  8. If anyone is backing at Haydock….well it’s bucketing down here in Liverpool…haydock is just up the road…it’ll be mud and sticky.
    Good luck all.

    1. Cheers Tony…chucked a couple of darts on the basis it may change to G/S.

      Also had a small punt on Lady Clair in the 340 based on trainer change stats via Geegeez.

      Pau

  9. Does anyone like Plutocracy, 4.05 Newmarket, 8 or 9 to 1? Good run LTO. Could be value?

    Also Crisford runner, 1.55 HP, Celebration Day?

  10. Can back the Dascombe/Kingscote horses handicappers at Haydock blindly,prices usually compensate for strike rate
    305 above n beyond 11/1
    410 Kachy 12/1
    445 Snap Shots 25/1-12/1
    520 Calder Prince 16/1

  11. Educate @ 25/s seems a bit high considering 2nd in race last year giving him overall cdg figs. 215 Good & ran well seasonal debut too 8 runners

  12. Hi team, few that caught my eye. Sorry it’s a late post.
    4.10 Hy PEARL SECRET is overpriced.
    4.45 HY MEHRONISSA
    8.30 CH INSIGHT is massive
    8.35 ST WHATS NOT TO LIKE if not too much rain then they think this wins.
    I do think that putting green 6.05 St is a good jockey booking. Great strike rate at moment!

  13. Well done folks, winners everywhere…. Didn’t turn out too bad in the end…. (Me given up on night racing)

    Sorry about the Guineas ground changed drastic & I forgot about ?

  14. Time to put a squiggle beside parsnip pete,doesn’t want to win,was cantering behind under pressure fair dilmna but didn’t have desire to go to front

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