First up, I have a research piece/article for you. It is 14 pages and 3400 or so words on all things sprint handicaps. Specifically I have had a good look at class 2 handicaps, 5-6.5f, 3yo+ and 4yo+ handicaps. Naturally the focus is on trainers and it is packed full of interesting snippets, stats and micro angles.
This is similar to the monthly articles that I write for The Betting Insiders Club, albeit this one is a bit longer than those. I want to try and do something like this every month/more often, mainly reserved for Donations Club members. But, this one is there for you all to get stuck into, if you like such things.
As always its aim is to try and enhance your enjoyment of this sport and hopefully help you and I make more money!
You can dive straight in at the link below. Enjoy. Let me know what you think…
25/1 winner anyone...
Having had a read through Tuesday’s comments it would appear Gerry, unlike me, used the Trainer Track Profiles report and the trainer/jockey combo stats to land on a nice 25/1 winner at Notts for the handicap dream team there of messrs Appleby and Mullen. I missed him, which happens, along with Ali I think! Bugger. I do hope some of you other TTP users managed to find him. Their stats are strong enough just to back them blind I think, but a case of after the Lord Mayor’s Show there for me personally.
The link is still below if you wish to get a copy, 60 day money back guarantee etc if you decide it isn’t for you…
I had a look at the 3.20 Warwick but decided to leave alone. Many in there are lightly raced over fences and the weather complicates things – rain around and the ground an unknown. Happy to sit that one out.
A King Flat (16/1<): 3.30 Bath – Phantom River – UP
J Fanshawe Kempton (any odds): 7.25 Kemp – Higher Power
Pam Sly Females (any odds): 5.05 War – Taweyla – PU
TTP MAIN TRAINER SYSTEMS
STATS/ANGLES OF INTEREST
A nice win (just,a nose) from Sinbadthesailor at 8/1 yesterday. A couple of biggies that may outrun their odds today…
2.00 Ayr – Hab Reeh – 16/1 – 14/1 – WON 16/1 >9/1 -this is a really weak race and on suitability/wining form in conditions, two stand out – this one and Amber Crystal. Hab Reeh is getting on but has the ability to win this, is 11lb below his last winning mark,is 2/5,2 places OR 41-50 and the trainer is in form – 5/22 last 14 days. This horse is now 0/6,1 p at Thirsk and maybe he just doesn’t like the place and that can be an excuse for his recent runs. Or, he could just be out of form. But, you wouldn’t be shocked if he bounced back. These two horses are the only two winners in the class, and if you include C5 also – the rest are 0/108 combined in C6 so they have plenty to prove. They are also the only distance winners in the race. The Perret horse, Amber Crystal, is being backed and is half the price of HR – the trainer is 0/20,1 place in last 30 days which was slightly off-putting, but could go well. Very well handicapped esp with 7lb claim. In races like this you often look to the unexposed ones, and as such the Charlie Hills horse may be the one to beat, but he ins’t much of a price.
4.05 Bath – Urban Space – 22/1 – 2nd 8/1 (a neck,agonising,but great fun!) if this race was over 1m3.5f you would be more confident, indeed stamina is the only question but he is getting older now, may want further, and has yet to conclusively prove he won’t stay. The trainer is 5/18 here with handicappers and is 2/10,6 places last 30 days. With the claim the horse is 11lb below his last win and he is 2/7,5 places in class 6, for +26 points profit. All conditions bar the trip are fine and at the odds I will take a stab.
That is all for today. Post Complete. Good Luck with any bets.