Just a note on the 7.50 Killarney – Ballyadam Approach – one of the horses tipped on here at 50/1 in the Irish National, who came 3rd, lines up in this race. I have had a quick look at him and all race conditions look fine – it just may be whether he is over those exertions but he is lightly raced, a prominent racer, and may give it a good go. He has won at the track and is worthy of a second glance.
A King Flat: (16/1<)
6.40 Leic: Mystery Code UP
T George Hncp Chasers (any odds)
3.00 Kempt: Valseur Du Granval – UP evens
TTP MAIN TRAINER SYSTEMS
3.55 Red: Jebediah Shine (12/1<) 2nd, nose, 10/1 (urgh!)
STATS/ANGLES OF INTEREST
3.55 Redc – Olivia Fallow – UP- not necessarily to back but just worth keeping an eye on for the stable form if nothing else. Midgley had his first winner over the weekend for quite some time and it could be that they are about to fire – he was a june trainer last year, and may well be again this year – forget how he did last season. This one looks well fancied and has everything in her favour on paper. This is her seasonal reappearance and a bold run here may indicate that Midgley is about to hit decent form.
5.35 Red – Siberian Power – 14/1 – UP (odd market,12/1>25/1>8/1)is a Candlish flat runner, so is worthy of a second glance. He comes here after a break so the market may guide as to fitness and he makes his handicap debut – she is 1/2 with flat horses doing that in recent year. She is also in decent form – 5/23,11 p last 30 days. Interesting to see how this one goes, but either way, that is a micro angle worth keeping onside in the years ahead. She does need to find another Maoi Chinn Tire (resp for 6 of the 12 flat wins in recent seasons) and maybe this horse in time could be that one.
8.10 Leic – Bell Heather -9/2 – using my TTP guide it is clear this one ticks a couple of main boxes for Fahey winners here – he has a fine record with his handicappers here anyway, you can back them all blind really if you so wanted. But, he does well over this trip and in 3yo handicaps.
8.40 Leic- Press Gang 7/1 – I used the Geegeez Gold and the ‘hot form’ report to see that three runners from his last race have since run again, and all three have won. He came third the last day, on seasonal reappearance and although he was beaten 7 lengths, the winner has since come out again in a C3 and won, the second has won again at C6 level and the 4th has won again at C5 level. So, he had some in form/progressive horses around him that day. The same jockey rides and he just caught the eye. There are plenty of unexposed ones in here from powerful yards but maybe he will put his relative experience to good use. Fahey and Sir M S have decent records with their handicap debutants here so I will be keeping an eye on those, albeit the market is weak at the moment for the pair, and their recent form may not inspire much confidence – they will have to leave it behind, which they may well do on handicap debut.
That is all for today, good luck with whatever you back.