BIG RACE PREVIEW
Henri Parry Morgan – 1 point win – 10/1 – Fell 5/1
The Druids Nephew – 1 point win – 16/1 (general) 5th
Hadrian’s Approach – 1 point win – 16/1 (general) UP 10/1
A decent race here, where you could make cases for quite a few. But, at the prices, these three will do for me.
Henri Parry Morgan – We backed him the last day and we got a fine run for our money. That was a decent race and this young, progressive, still ‘could be anything’ type is well worth a go at this trip. They clearly think he is smart – Bowen can’t have had many that he pitches into G1s – and he could keep on improving here. 10s felt just about ok, although I don’t think I would want shorter in a race of this nature. It looks like young Bowen may have had permission from his boss to ride him also – as I suspect he could have been on Just A Par. He also comes top on the Geegeez speed figures and top on the HorseRaceBase ratings – when a horse does both that always catches my eye – not enough for Loose Chips at Kempton the other day – he ticked those two boxes also. Anyway, provided he is over that last run we should get a good spin round here. He may not stay, but given his class and the way he is going,his form, liking for the ground etc I thought 10s was fair enough.
The Druids Nephew – The ground went against him last time and my bet on him was over before the race had begun. That ground affected his jumping I suspect. He should relish conditions here and could have had a harder race LTO. He has two eye-catching runs – that win at Cheltenham and in last season’s Grand National. I don’t think he is done with yet and he had a campaign built around the last race, and should still be fresh enough here. Over this trip there could be more to come and at 16s I was happy to take a chance that a) – he could bounce back on the ground and b)- the handicapper may not have him just yet, over a trip like this. 16s seemed decent enough.
Hadrian’s Approach – Well he won this in 2014 and gets to sneak in at the bottom here. Race conditions should be fine and he ran well enough at Kempton on his return, before coming unstuck early LTO. But, at least he should be fresh. Hendo is starting to go a bit quiet again and this one can hit the odd fence, but if putting it all together he would out-run these odds. He is also below his last winning mark. Hendo has made a habit of bringing chasers back this year, or eeking out more when all has seemed lost, and this could be another one to add to that list. I was happy to have a dart and at the odds was the final one to stand out to me.
Of the rest…well you could make a case for a few, including those two at the top of the market – but 8s is short enough in a race of this nature. Bishops Road is interesting, if handling the ground, and although that race he won LTO hasn’t worked out he did look like a stayer to keep onside at Haydock. Not much I can say to put you off him – the lively ground was my only concern, but I suppose that is built into his price. Caroles Destrier is interesting and could run a big race – we know he likes the track/trip – he is another where the ground is a slight question and he was running a bit below par for me LTO – this could have been the target of course. That race he won here wasn’t the strongest and he will need to step up again. But he could. Dynaste did catch the eye at a big prce – he has been mixing it in G1s and this is his first run in a handicap chase I think – but he is out of sorts and this trip is a real unknown – his best form being around 2m5f really. It also looks like team Pipe have started to think about their summer holidays. But he could out-run those odds. There was nothing else in here that really caught my eye and that I would want to be with
5.20 Sand: Daveron (16/1<) DNQ
A King Flat (16/1<) : 2.40 Ripon: Grumeti UP
2.55 Sand: Menorah (14/1<) WON 5/1
4.10 Sand: Sausalito Sunrise (14/1<) DNQ
STATS/ANGLES OF INTEREST
Nothing today. I don’t have the energy to look this morning, apologies. As always, I am sure some of you good readers will lead us to some interesting bets…
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