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I have tipped Monetair – 1 point win 16/1 – (PP,non runner no bet) for the 4.10 on Day 3. You can read that post to find out why etc, as well as some notes I made when going through all of last year’s races today. (mainly to see of ‘the pace theory’ worked out, but a few horses entered my thinking, including that one above) Incidentally the Pipes are really hitting form now..
Appears as though he has not been declared at this stage – how very strange – interesting which of other two engagements he may get in…damn. Free bet awaits!
2.40 Sand – Whats The Scoop (12/1<) 7/2 ran out when sauntering to victory!
K Lee Chaser
2.20 Leic – Mr Bachster (12/1<) UP 11/2
STATS/ANGLES OF INTEREST
2.35 Limerick – Rebel Ace 14/1 – trainer is 2/7, 3 places with handicap hurdle debutants in last year. This one has done nothing in three maiden hurdles, nothing all – although been a big price. He could just not be very good, but maybe the market will offer some guidance.
4.35 Looks a tricky 3 runner race but will just highlight that our old ‘friend’ Bashford Ben lines up – trainer could not be in better form and he stays further than this – cant work out whether this trip is too short, but in this ground, at this stiff track, his one pace galloping may be enough. Whiskey Chaser also lines up and he was an eye-catcher behind Proud Gamble LTO – a race like this looks well within his compass. Pace is the tricky thing – all three like to lead and get on with it so I have no real idea what will unfold – this may go to the jockey who decides to sit off the two that go at it (a bit like Rocky Bender at Huntindon recently) BB doesn’t have to lead – and his trainer is 4/7 in last 14 days. Tricky, a strong case can be made for all three so I wont tip in it.
That is all for today. Time allowing I may try and get the Gold Cup done and dusted, so keep an eye out for that later this afternoon. I plan to get Imperial Cup tips up today also.
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