Saturday Big Race Trends

I will take a look at the 3.00 Sandown for my Daily Punt Blog. For now…

(not too much to go in truth, but a couple of pointers…)

 

3.35 Sandown: Masters Handicap Chase

18 renewals since 1997

186 runners, 52 placed horses

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TRENDS

Previous Place

  • 16/18 Top 6 LTO
    • 7th or worse (completed): 0/24, 4 places
    • Fell: 1/8, 3 places
    • PU: 1/24, 5 places

Horse Age

  • Nothing significant: winners from aged 7 to 13 (x2)
    • 6yo: 0/13, 4 places

Days Since Run

  • Nothing too significant
    • 91-365 days: 0/10, 2 places

Horse Weight

  • 18/18 11-5 or less
    • 11-6+: 0/43, 7 places

Horse Official Rating

  • Nothing Significant

Season Runs

  • Nothing Significant

Odds

  • 22/1 + : 0/18, 2 places

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OTHER STATS

Miscellaneous 1

Origin of Horse

  • GB: 5/43, 15 places
  • IRE: 8/87, 21 places
  • FR: 5/47, 15 places

Weight (excl J-Claim)

  • 11-6+ : 1/48, 9 places

Pos Wgts (ex Clm) –

  • Top Weight: 0/15, 3 places

 

The ‘Winning’ Characteristics

H-Win (NH Race Type)

  • 0 Chase Wins: 0/13, 3 places

 

Horses ‘Last Race’ Characteristics

 (LR) Track

  • Sandown: 3/25, 8 places
  • Kempton: 3/18, 4 places
  • Ascot: 2/22, 6 places
  • Haydock: 2/6, 3 places
  • Chep: 2/12, 5 places
  • Chelt: 2/26, 6 places
  • 1 win each: Kelso/Exeter/Winct/Newb

Trainers (of interest)

  • P Nicholls: 3/21, 8 places
  • Hobbs: 2/12, 3 places
  • 1 win, plenty!: K Reveley/N Gifford/Bowen/S Earle/Chamings/Jonjo O’Neill/O Sherwood/V Williams/J Old/K Bailey/L Wadham
  • N Henderson: 0/6, 0 places

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The below post includes a video exploring my approach to big race trends…

MY APPROACH TO BIG RACE TRENDS

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Do join in the conversation below, we're a friendly bunch.. all questions welcome, and do share your selections or thoughts

2 Responses

  1. I really fancied a punt at FFos Llas on Welsh Champion Hurdle and West Wales National but fields have cut up very badly (if you’ll excuse the pun) and with a lot more rain forecast have massive doubts it will be on and field sizes at Sandown and Wetherby too look a bit skinny for a Saturday….doh!

    1. Yep agree, bit of a damp squib of a day potentially! When looking at the trends on a Tuesday/Wed you hope there will be bigger fields but that’s the way it goes sometimes. Will see what the above throws up at Sandown but dont thin there will be any 20/1+ horses to get stuck into – that is the joy of Saturday’s on the flat turf though – can always be sure to find a biggie or two in a heritage/sprint handicap, and that is fun!

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