Just getting this out the way now so I can enjoy more red wine next week! 🙂 … I suspect this will be the only ‘big race’ covered a week Saturday.Â
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Doncaster: Sky Bet Chase
15 renewals since 1997
219 runners, 49 placed horses
1 winner (1/13) down as having NO previous run. Likely those with form abroad. Not accounted for in HRB.
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TRENDS
Previous Place
- Nothing much of note
- PU: 0/16, 1 place
- 8th or worse, but completed: 0/16, 3 places
Horse Age
- Nothing too much of note, given number of runners etc
- 12/15 Aged 6-9
- 10+ : 3/80, 16 places…20% winners…37% runners…33% places
Days Since Run
- 14/15 ran 16-90 days ago
- 1-15 days: 0/20, 1 place
- ‘First Run’: 1/13, 3 places
- 121->365: 0/8, 1 place
Horse Weight
- 12/15 Carried 11-2 or less
- 11-3 + : 3/77, 19 places…20% winners…35% runners…38% places
- 11-12+ : 0/8, 8 places – excluding claims… 0/11, 1 place
Horse Official Rating
- 14/15 OR 142 or below
- 143+ : 1/30, 7 places…7% winners…14% runners…14% places
Position In Market
- 9/15 Top 3 in market
Odds
- 14/15 priced 20/1 or under
- 22/1 + : 1/61, 9 places
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OTHER STATS
Miscellaneous 1
Origin of Horse
- GB: 5/60, 18 places
- IRE: 9/121, 25 places
- FR: 1/31, 6 places
Pos Wgts (ex Clm) –
- Clear second to fourth in weights (inc joint weights): 0/47, 8 places
‘The ‘Running’ Characteristics’
H- Run (Hncp/Non Hncp)
- 12/15 had 0-10 handicap runs
- 12/135, 33 places…80% winners…62% runners…67% places
H-Run (NH Race Type)
- 20+ chase runs: 0/28, 2 places
H- RUN (Hncp NH Race Type)Â
- 13+ : 1/41, 7 places
H-Run (Last Placing)
- 13/14 had placed on at least one of previous 3 runs
- 1/45, 8 places had not (winner with ‘no previous form’)
- Those with form in HRB: 0/33, 5 places did not
- 1/45, 8 places had not (winner with ‘no previous form’)
The ‘Winning’ Characteristics
H-Win Career)
- 14/15… 0-4 career wins
- 1/118, 21 places had 5+
H-Win (NH Race Type)
- 15/15 had 0-4 chase wins
- 0/46, 5 places had 5+
- 5/22, 8 places had 0 chase wins to name (will include 1 with ‘no run’ from abroad)
- No such runners since 2009, suggesting criteria in that sense may have changed.
H-Win (Hncp/Non)
- 6+ : 0/19, 3 places
H-Win (Hcap NH)
- 5+ ; 0/17, 2 places
Miscellaneous 2
Highest Class Run
- Yet to run above class 3: 0/10, 0 places
Highest Class Win
- A win at listed or higher level: 1/51, 11 places (winner was a G1 winner)
H-Places (NH Race type)
- 9+ places in Chases: 0/38, 6 places
Horses ‘Last Race’ Characteristics
Track LTO (of interest)
- Cheltenham: 4/33, 10 places
- Wetherby: 3/22, 7 places
- Chep: 2/14, 4 places
- 1 win each: Catterick/Donc/Kempt/Newb/Hayd
- Ascot: 0/8, 1 place
- Sand: 0/16, 2 places
Trainers (of interest)
- P Nicholls: 2/11, 5 places
- 1 win each – Hobbs/NTD/A C Whillans/M Hammond/D Pipe/K Bailey
- G Moore: 0/5, 2 places
- Jonjo O’Neill: 0/3, 0 places
- K Reveley: 0/5, 3 places
- N Henderson: 0/9, 3 places
- M V Williams: 0/10, 2 places
- A King: 0/4, 0 places
- Mrs S J Smith: 0/12, 1 place
