Not too much to dwell on there sadly. Handy Andy didn’t run as expected and the only highlight was getting 5s about a 7/2 shot. He dropped away tamely and the removal of headgear clearly didnt help as hoped. I thought he would handle the ground so am not willing to use that as an excuse. Still,the shortlisting was decent – well,as decent as you can be when saying one of top 3 in market should win!! 🙂 Jack The Hedge ran well, backed into 7/1 from 11s,and looked like the winner approaching the last couple, before finding little/tiring. But, he jumped well, and hopefully I may recoup my losses on him in his next couple of starts.
Some All-Weather stats guide users had the Fife winner at Southwell (16/1>12/1) and one Jumps Stats guide user emailed me rather delighted having backed the Chris Gordon handicap hurdler at Fontwell at a rather big price – Supercilliary 25/1 SP. So, well done to anyone who had something on one or both of those! A perfect demonstration of why I put the guides together.
1.20 Lingfield – Forceful Appeal – 5/1 (BFSports) 9/2 (bet365)* WON 9/2
(9/2 will be the recorded price, was around for quite a time last evening, as was 4s this morning – I didnt bother trying with BFSports, as bet would have probably been rejected!)
*as of 17.00, 08/12/15
I backed this horse last time out at a decent EW price and he ran well in 3rd. He just looks like an AW Class dropper. He is 6/9, 7 places in AW C4 handicaps, opposed to 1/15, 1 place above this. He is 4/11, 5 places at Lingfield, 2/4, 3 places over CD, 4/8, 5 places when returning 16-30 days and he also looks like a money horse. 0/11, 1 place when above 8/1. 7/13, 7 places when 8/1 or shorter, 4/5, 4 places when 4/1 or shorter. He ticks all race conditions and in short I really do hope that he runs a good race! 5/1 and 9/2 is fair and I have a feeling he may be well backed, but we shall see.
Woofie – goes for Mongan who the stats suggest is generally worth following at this track. He is unexposed and while he was poor over hurdles LTO, on what he has done on the flat/AW, it really is hard to definitely say he cant win, and he is 18/1 in places. Not the worst suggestion for a interest bet, but up to you, and wont be in results! (personally I have put 1.5 points on FA, and now 1/2 on Woofie, for info)
That is all for today, nothing else really stands out for me. I did have a look at the 2.35 Leicester but it just looks too challenging. 7/8 horses could be given some sort of chance and it is full of 6-8 year olds who could well be open to improvement. There are a few stats ways in (NTD decent record with chasers – but stable slowly getting more in and out/colder) and the Bailey horse – he is 6/14, 8 places in last year with stable newcomers. This one could be anything (inc not very good) and comes here after 600+ days. Bailey is another who is a bit hot and cold. A double figure price may have tempted me. Anyway, it looks quite open so I have left it.
Signing off 08.10
2.35 Leic – Gold Ingot (12/1<)