Members Report: 24/10/15 (UPDATED)

A 16/1 winner (12/1 SP) for the micro systems ensured any followers of the ‘portfolio’ approach had a decent enough day. That winner helped pay for plenty of losers and leave a tidy profit. A change over in seasons is always challenging, not least for your mindset and approach – and quite simply some of my judgement with handicap chases has been a bit iffy so far. Could do better, and I know what I need to work on. It is a case of asking the right questions – like ‘has a horse proved that he cannot handle conditions/is he still progressive – does his price alleviate any concerns (ie fitness or jumping)- to name but a few. You can’t cut corners in this game and today if I am being honest with myself I was a bit to quick to jump on what was the ‘easy’ option on paper. 

Hopefully some of you that absorbed the Cheltenham stats may have found a Nicholls winner at 5/1, a Henderson winner at 10/1 and a Curtis winner of the bumper at 16/1. Her record in bumpers at this meeting now 2/6, 4 places. I was on none of them. Just trust the stats! But, i get a lot of enjoyment when you use my ramblings/research to help pick your own winners so I hope some of you may have found them. 


I will just stick to the micro angles tomorrow. The Old Roan Chase looks a cracker and a bit too much guessing as to fitness and targets. From those at the top of the market i like Johns Spirit if he is fully fit. If so he should go well here and this could be the season he comes if age as a G2 chaser,maybe even a G1 somewhere. He ran some fine races last year and is interesting. Of bigger prices Splash of Ginge may out run his odds. Not a race to be too dogmatic about I don’t think. You could make a valid case for quite a few in here. You would like to think one of the younger ones would win this.



October Trainers

1.40 Winc – Mccabe Creek (9/1 or under)

Jumps Handicappers 

2.45 Winc – According To Trev / Dont Do Mondays (14/1 or under)

4.00 Aint – Mighty Leader / Silver Shuffle (both 12/1 or under) 


Signing off. 20.52


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2 Responses

  1. I had whats happening in 3.20 had it in my shortlist and your trends for race made me back it rather than roalco who was also in my shortlist

    1. Great to hear Anthony,glad your judgement was better than mine today! Yep bar fitness,which you could take chance on at odds, there were plenty of positives and as you say on what trends there were he was a good fit. I got that wrong and was too quick to dismiss him.

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