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Glorious Goodwood: Handicap Stats

I will email out the below in a PDF on Monday, for those of you who may wish to print it off etc 

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Trainer Stats (of interest) for Glorious Goodwood : 2010-

Handicaps

All Handicap Races (no odds cap)

Positives:- (most wins first)

  • Mark Johnston: 96 bets / 12 wins / 33 places / +26.38 SP
    • 12/48, 22 places 14/1 or below
  • David Nicholls: 50 bets / 6 wins / 13 places / +59 SP
  • Andrew Balding: 32 bets / 5 wins / 9 places / +13.5 SP
    • 5/19, 8 places 12/1 or below / 26.5 SP
  • Sir Michael Stoute: 27 bets / 3 wins / 9 places / -11 SP
  • Jeremy Noseda: 7 bets / 3 wins / 4 places / +30.75 SP
  • A Carroll: 9 bets / 2 wins / 3 places / +40 SP
  • Hugo Palmer: 5 bets / 2 wins / 2 places / +7 SP
  • B Gubby: 3 bets / 2 wins / 2 places / +37 SP
  • H Candy: 11 bets / 2 wins / 3 places / +10 SP
  • W Haggas: 16 bets / 2 wins / 4 places / +12 SP
  • R Cowell: 10 bets / 2 wins / 4 places / +6 SP

Negatives:-

  • Richard Fahey: 86 bets / 3 wins / 15 places / -38 SP
  • Kevin Ryan: 46 bets / 2 wins / 8 places / -28.5 SP
  • R Charlton: 17 bets / 1 win / 5 places / -12.5 SP
  • Gary Moore: 18 bets /1 win / 2 places / -7 SP
  • Amanda Perrett: 45 bets / 1 win / 10 places / -28 SP
  • Luca Cumani: 19 bets / 1 win / 7 places / -14.5 SP
  • Charles Hills: 14 bets / 0 wins / 2 places / -14 SP
  • R Hannon (jnr): 18 bets / 0 wins / 5 places / -18 SP
  • J Osbourne: 16 bets / 0 wins / 2 places / -16 SP
  • R Harris: 14 bets / 0 wins / 0 places / -14 SP
  • George Baker: 18 bets / 0 wins / 3 places -18 SP
  • Saeed Bin Surror: 23 bets / 0 wins / 4 places / -23 SP
  • Mic Channon: 45 bets / 0 wins / 8 places / -45 SP
  • R Beckett: 16 bets / 0 wins / 3 places / -16 SP
  • TD Barron: 15 bets / 0 wins / 2 places / -15 SP
  • Tom Dascombe: 17 bets / 0 wins / 2 places / -17 SP

 

Odds:-

  • Handicappers sent off at bigger than 28/1 are: 256 bets / 1 win / 16 places / -222 SP
  • 22/1 to 28/1: 174 bets / 4 wins / 28 places / -67 SP

 

Distance

(there are a lot of trainers with just 1 win that I havent mentioned, lots of 1/4, 1/5 etc. I have included those with at least 2 wins and then those with 0 wins that caught the eye. Those not included  – you can assume I put no value on the stats, or were a small yard etc ie 0/5 or something) 

5f + 6F

  • David Nicholls: 36 bets / 5 wins / 11 places / +58 SP
  • R Fahey: 37 bets / 2 wins / 7 places / +3 SP
  • B Gubby: 3 bets / 2 wins / 2 places / +37 SP
  • Kevin Ryan: 36 bets / 2 wins / 7 places / -18.5 SP
  • R Cowell: 9 bets / 2 wins / 4 places / +7 SP
  • A Carroll: 7 bets / 2 wins / 3 places / +42 SP
  • M Channon: 20 bets / 0 wins / 5 places / -20 SP
  • TD Barron: 10 bets / 0 wins / 2 places / -10 SP
  • R Harris: 12 bets / 0 wins / 0 places / -12 SP
  • Tom Dascombe: 9 bets / 0 wins / 2 places / -9 SP
  • M Johnston: 6 bets / 0 wins / 3 places / -6 SP

7 + 8F

  • M Johnston: 27 bets / 3 wins / 9 places / -5 SP
  • Hugo Palmer: 2 bets / 2 wins / 2 places / +10 SP
  • Andrew Balding: 10 bets / 2 wins / 2 places / +5.5 SP
  • Richard Fahey: 23 bets / 1 win / 4 places / -15 SP
  • Mic Channon: 12 bets / 0 wins / 3 places / -12 SP

9 + 10F

  • Mark Johnston: 30 bets / 5 wins / 12 places / +24.38 SP
  • J Noseda: 3 bets / 3 wins / 3 places / +34.75 SP
  • Richard Fahey: 18 bets / 0 wins / 4 places / -18 SP
  • Amanda Perrett: 12 bets / 0 wins / 4 places / -12 SP

11F +

  • Mark Johnston: 33 bets / 4 wins / 9 places / +13 SP
  • Sir Michael Stoute: 11 bets / 2 wins / 6 places / 0 SP
  • Andrew Building: 11 bets / 2 wins / 5 places / +6 SP
  • Amanda Perrett: 22 bets / 1 win / 4 places / -5 SP
  • Nicky Henderson: 8 bets / 1 win / 3 places / -1 SP
  • Richard Fahey: 8 bets / 0 wins / 0 places / -8 SP

***

Days Since Run (no odds cap)

  • 1-3 days: 19 bets / 0 wins / 1 place
  • 4-5 days: 56 bets / 4 wins / 11 places (stats in line with all those 4-75 days)
  • 4-75 days: 1366 bets / 88 wins / 302 places
  • 76 days+ : 53 bets / 1 win / 8 places

***

 

Mark Johnston

  • His handicappers priced over 14/1  …. 29 bets / 0 wins / 7 places

So, with a 14/1 SP cap…

  • Class 2: 50 bets / 11 wins / 19 places / +70 SP
  • Class 3: 17 bets / 1 win / 7 places / -15 SP
  • 1st Last Time Out: 24 bets / 6 wins / 11 places / +30 SP
  • 10F: 14 bets / 4 wins / 6 places / +38 SP
  • 2m5f: 5 bets / 2 wins / 3 places / +18 SP
  • Track Last Time Out…
    • Ascot: 17 bets / 3 wins / 8 places / +8 SP
    • Newmarket (July): 8 bets / 4 wins / 6 places / +29 SP
  • 0 career handicap wins: 14 bets / 5 wins / 6 places / +46 SP
  • 0 wins that season: 8 bets / 4 wins / 4 places / +37 SP
  • 2 year olds: 8 bets / 1 win / 3 places

14/1 or under; Class 2 ; Track LTO: Ascot/Beverley/Haydock/York/Newm (J)…

33 bets / 11 wins / 17 places / +87 SP

(caution as tracks with no winners as yet are small numbers. I would not let a horse running at another track put you off as such)

14/1 or under; Class 2; Age 4 or 5…

41 bets / 10 wins / 16 places / +72 SP

(last 3 years stats are: 24 bets / 9 wins / 14 places / +82 SP)

***

David Nicholls

  • All winners 28/1 or shorter to date
  • Aged 2-5yo: 20 bets / 1 win / 5 places
  • Aged 6-9: 19 bets / 5 wins / 7 places / +75 SP
    • 3/5 in 2010; 0/11, 2 places 2011-2013; 2/3 2014
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Post Comments

Do join in the conversation below, we're a friendly bunch.. all questions welcome, and do share your selections or thoughts

11 responses

  2. Hi Josh,
    Over the years have noticed good priced winners in Handicaps,when they have been brought out within
    1 or 2 days only.
    Would you be able to go back 3 to 4 years with your data.
    Many Thanks
    Colin

    Reply

    2. I have added ‘days since run stats above’ and certainly since 2010- those turned out quickly haven’t done too well, nor those coming here after more than 75 days off track.
      Josh

      Reply

  3. Hi Josh,
    The 1+2 day is over all codes of racing not just on todays profiles,
    sorry for any confusion
    Colin

    Reply

    1. Ah apologies, well either way it threw up something of interest for Goodwood! I will have a look in general.

      Reply

  4. Hi Josh how have Hughes/Hannon horses done at Goodwood in Class 1 races, they must have won at Newbury last time out.
    A Stat I seem to have tucked away in my brain cell

    Reply

    1. Just had quick look..stats for team Hannon/Hughes since 2010 class 1…
      38 bets/14 wins/22 places

      Track LTO..
      Newbury actually 0/3,2 places.
      Newmarket (July) 15 bets /8 wins / 10 places. +5.58 SP

      1st last time out – 20 bets /10 wins / 14 places

      Hope that helps
      Josh

      Reply

  5. Hi Josh, I usually go to Goodwood most days and for the last few years I have been very successful backing all MJ horses to level stakes each day stop at a winner.
    Anecdotally it feels as though the ‘early’ races contain more of his winners. I think there has only been one occasion where I got beyond 7 bets but prices at Glorious are usually sufficiently good to compensate.
    Last year was the most modest return, the year before when he had been a bit out of form leading up to the meeting was fantastic. problem this year is that his recent form has been so fantastic that I would imagine he will be over bet.

    Reply

    1. Agree it will be interesting to see how they get on, and as you say it is likely they will be over-bet. It is hard to pick the right ones on ‘form’ as well, as that can go out the window! But, they are usually big fields and I should think the early prices will hold up with any luck. I do need to get myself to Glorious Goodwood at some point, let’s hope the weather is good!

      Reply

  6. Great stuff Josh off to Goodwood Tuesday and Thursday so any stats are very much appreciated mate cheers

    Reply

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