Members Daily Post: 07/07/18 (complete)

1.All Qualifiers Against Stats Pack/Ratings Pointers

2.Any ‘Notes’ (my subjective thoughts/’tips’)

3.Micro System Test Zone

4.Any general messages/updates etc

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1.All Qualifiers Against Stats Pack/Ratings Pointers

FLAT

BEV
3.10 – Musharrif    (micro age) G3 13/2 UP
4.20 – Save The Bees    (micro class n dist) I1 12/1  S6 UP

HAY
1.45 –

Teodoro    (all Hc’s, micro TJC)  w1  ES+ I3 9/1 S3A UP
Atkinson Grimshaw    (all Hc’s) 9/1 UP

2.55 – Ginbar    (all Hc’s, micro TJC)   ES+ 8/1 S3A 2nd

LEIC
3.35 –

Poets Society    (all Hc’s, 3yo+, micro age) w2 ES+ H3 I1  9/1 S2 S3A# S6 WON 9/1>8/1 
Zap    (micro age) 6/1 UP
5.10 –
Vigee le Brun    (micro age) I3 12/1 
Moakkad    (all Hc’s, 3yo+, micro’s age, lto 90+) ES+ 6/1  S3A UP
Spanish Mane    (micro age)   w1 H1 G3 6/1 S2 3rd 
SAND
12.55 –
Daira Prince    (micro going)  w1,w2 7/1 UP
Rum Runner    (micro -1class)  w1 G3 18/1 UP
CARL
6.00 –
Geoff Potts    (micro class) H3 I3 5/1 UP
Kodicat    (micro class, age) I3 6/1 UP
7.30 – Rock n Rolla    (micro age) H3 I1 G1 3/1 S1 S2 S4 WON 3/1>2/1

8.00 – Ghayyar    (micro TJC) H3  3/1 UP

NOTTS
7.10 –

Haroon    (micro class) 15/2 UP
Carthage    (micro class) G3 15/2 UP

 

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KEY

H1/H3= HorseRaceBase Top Rated or Top 3 Rated (at time of posting)

G1/G3 = Geegeez GoldSpeed Ratings (Dr Peter May) Top Rated or Top 3 Rated

I1/I3 =  Inform Racing Speed Ratings – Top Rated or Top 3

14,30 = Geegeez Gold‘trainer form’ indicators. 14 – 5+ runs last 14 days, 20% win sr OR 51%+ place (inc wins) sr. 30– 10+ runs last 30 days, 20% win sr OR 51%+ place (inc wins) sr

ES –‘Elite Squad’ qualifiers:  Flat : HER Jumps 2017/18HERE>>>

ES +– Elite Squad ‘Plus’ +   (rationale/ angles in link above)

S1-S6 : S = ‘Strategy’ and refers to the ‘advised strategies’ in the link below. S1 = ‘Strategy 1’. Added on morning of racing along with the price. w1– won last start.   w2– won two starts ago (tracking as of 15th Feb 2018)

The Strategies: Where should you start? Some ideas HERE>>>

‘Flat Strategies/results‘: Flat 2017 Read HERE>>>(updated to end 3rd June 2018)

‘Jumps Strategies/results’: Jumps 2017/18 Read HERE>>>(updated to end 3rd June 2018)

Research Articles: (TTP reports/Test Zone/Monthly Articles/Big Meetings Notes/David Peat Profiles) READ HERE>>>

VIDEOS: Members Repository: HERE>>> . All Public (non members only) Videos HERE>>>

IMPORTANT: Welcome Info  HERE>>> (please read) (inc must watch videos :)) 

Contact: email:  – info@racingtoprofit.co.uk  … or failing that… racingtoprofit@gmail.com 

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2.Any ‘Notes’ (my subjective thoughts/’tips’)

NONE. I hope the above reads ok! My thanks to mighty Mike for sending me the  section 1 qualifiers, as he’s always done when I’m on my foreign jaunts. Section 1 wouldn’t have been possible without him as adding the ratings pointers etc can be a struggle 🙂 I do owe him a few beers. I’ve completed this post at around 2am (an early night, as we were up at 3am or so Friday morning) to save me getting up too early. 

Any ‘recent tips’ I’m sure will be posted in the comments also. 

If you use the Old Newton Cup stats below to home in on anything, do post a comment! 

 

3.Micro System Test Zone

NONE.

 

4.Any general messages/updates etc

Saturday: Haydock- Old Newton Cup

some stats/pointers for this race, to use if you please… I won’t be posting a ‘shortlist’ etc…

10/155 runners, 34 places

9/10 priced 14/1< SP (16/1+, 1/81,12p) 

9/10 had 3+ runs in prev 90 days (0-2 1/79,12p) 

9/10 had 3+ runs this season (0-1, 0/28,4p) 

8/10 test to run above Class 2

  • 2/10 had run at Group 1 level
  • Highest class run: Listed/G3/G2: 0/78,8p

7/10 Aged 4 (5+ 3/79,12p) 

7/10 had been ridden by their jockey 3x previously (7/26,11p…could just be random) 

6/10 had 0-1 runs in the class (6/30,11p) 

6/10 Top 2 last time out  (9/10 top 7) 

Other

  • Stall 19: 2/5,4p, +20 
  • OR 96 or 97: 4/9,6p, +52 
  • Horse had won 2x with jockey before: 5/19,9p, +46 
  • 1 win only in the class: 0/55,8p 
  • Ran 46+ days ago: 0/28,4p 
  • Track LTO: 5/10 ran at Ascot or Haydock LTO, Epsom – 0/16,3p 
  • Trainers: only 2 have won this twice in the period – M Botti and M Johnston 

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About This Author

A community committed to making racing fun, enjoyable and profitable in the long term. Josh

19 Comments

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  • todays qualifiers,
    12:55 Sandown. Via Serendipity 9-1 sky 5 places
    13:45 Haydock. Tawdeea 22-1 b365 5 places
    17:10 Leicester. Pick A Little 14-1 generally

    martin whittle 07/07/18 1:41 AM Reply


  • Josh’s recent ‘tips’

    H 2.20 – Poets vanity, 1st run after noted 18/5
    H 2.55 – King Robert, ” ” ” ” 30/6
    B 3.10 – Musharrif, ” ” ” ” 28/6
    also a ‘fest tip’
    S 12.55 – Raising Sand, 1st run after tipped 20/6
    Mike

    Titus 07/07/18 9:22 AM Reply


  • A small success yesterday with Jfoul winning at 5/1. 2 points profit for the day.

    Today’s qualifiers at Chelmsford:
    2.05 Lihou 9/1 & I’m a Dreamer 9/2
    2.40 Joegogo 12/1
    3.50 Kenstone 14/1 & Glory Awaits
    4.25 Ventura Crest 4/1

    1pt win each. Mixture of last night and morning prices.

    Good Luck.

    Ken McKenzie 07/07/18 9:53 AM Reply


  • A while ago I opened a Star Sports (The Gentleman’s Bookmaker) a while ago via a London Racing Club event. I have won some money on it and increased my balance. I decided to use it for Trixie’s and Yankee’s only and wait to get restricted.
    Anyway. yesterday I did a £20 trixie on Dascombe and Kingscote that lost. Anyway I went in again today and had a call from a trader to tell me that if I were to be successful for such an amount (circa £5K to £7K) my account will be closed. Anyway they took the bet.

    martin colwell 07/07/18 9:59 AM Reply


    • That’s not very gentlemanly of them!

      Nick Mazur 07/07/18 10:05 AM Reply


    • Gentlemen are landed, have inheritances and investments and regard losing money as fun.

      chrisrees 07/07/18 2:45 PM Reply


  • COLINS BETS
    Haydock
    1.45 Sofia’s Rock
    2.20 Intisaab
    2.55 Madrinho
    Chelmsford
    3.15 Singyoursong
    Beverley
    3.10 Musharrif
    Leicester
    3.35 Poets Society
    3.35 Twin Appeal

    colin leafe 07/07/18 10:17 AM Reply


    • Two very nice winners there, thank you!

      Chris Murrell 07/07/18 8:02 PM Reply


    • Very nice indeed. 10/1 & 8/1 SP. Well done Colin. Unfortunately I wasn’t on them 🙁

      Ken McKenzie 07/07/18 8:48 PM Reply


  • Much better day yesterday, let’s continue that today.

    Chris M Selections:
    12:55 Sandown – Daira Prince (13/2 gen)
    13:45 Haydock – Atkinson Grimshaw (10/1 gen)
    15:25 Naas – Rest Bay (9/2 gen)
    15:35 Leicester – Easy Tiger (6/1 in places)
    15:45 Beverley – Fashion Theory (11/2 gen)
    16:35 Naas – Waitaki (18/1 Bet365/Sky)
    18:00 Carlisle – Geoff Potts (7/1 gen)
    18:40 Nottingham – Meshardal (5/1 gen)

    Good luck with your bets today.

    Chris M 07/07/18 10:26 AM Reply


  • This is Stoutes time of the season and is flying now.The combo with D Tudhope has 2 entries today
    12.20 Sandown King Of Dreams
    1.30 Desert Diamond
    Daniel is 6/10 on stoutes 3yo 2018 3/3,2017 1/3 2016 2/3
    Todays qualifier is Desert Diamond
    The 4yo+ stat is 0/2,too early to make a judgement
    Dascombe is dire this year at Haydock,fortunately have only been doing 1 euro patents,never know he might hit a purple streak at some stage,have added in epaulement to the above selections today

    gearoid180468 07/07/18 10:49 AM Reply


  • Update on Flat Jockey Profits:

    Excluding Ryan Moore, as I used a secondary strategy for him, results from 29 June to yesterday is:
    Staked 124pts, Profit 12.25pts, ROI 16.5%

    This is based on 2pt win up to 10/1 and 1pt ew above.

    There are 15 qualifiers today but you’ll need to look them up yourself.

    Ken McKenzie 07/07/18 11:07 AM Reply


    • Sorry, correction:

      Staked 92pts, Profit 12.25pts ROI 16.5%. I forgot to change a formula for the stakes.

      Ken McKenzie 07/07/18 11:10 AM Reply


  • Sorry, having one of those days. Another correction.

    Staked 92pts, Profit 12.25pts, ROI 13.32%.

    I’m 100% sure it’s correct this time (I think!! 🙂 )

    Ken McKenzie 07/07/18 11:16 AM Reply


  • Tips – 12.55 SP Pouvoir Magique, 2 points each way, on at 9/1. Finished lame LTO but before then won well and so a bit of value in a tricky race.

    Minus 8.25 points in July.

    Good luck.

    martin colwell 07/07/18 11:38 AM Reply


  • Just in case anyone missed Nick’s bets on the post from last night –

    “Three for tomorrow:

    Pouvoir Magique Sandown Saturday 12:55 1pt e/w Price available 17/2
    Squats Leicester Saturday 15:35 1pt e/w Price available 8/1
    Straightothepoint Carlisle Saturday 18:00 1pt e/w Price available 7/1

    Nick Mazur 12 hours ago Reply”

    neilmck 07/07/18 11:47 AM Reply


    • Thanks and much appreciated. I’d missed them. And that’s not a good thing! There’s a true sporting spirit on RTP.

      Patrick 07/07/18 12:33 PM Reply


    • Yes well done. Hopefully now they win!

      martin colwell 07/07/18 12:34 PM Reply


    • I was hoping you had missed them after the first two.

      Nick Mazur 07/07/18 3:52 PM Reply


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