Members Daily Post: 28/06/18 (complete)

1.All Qualifiers Against Stats Pack/Ratings Pointers

2.Any ‘Notes’ (my subjective thoughts/’tips’)

3.Micro System Test Zone

4.Any general messages/updates etc

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1.All Qualifiers Against Stats Pack/Ratings Pointers

FLAT 

Newmarket (July) 

2.10 – Starlight Mystery (micro class drop/dist) H3 I1 G3 15/2 S2 S4 S5 S6  UP

4.25 – On the Warpath (3yo+) w2 w1 30 11/4  UP

 

Nottingham

5.10 – 

Musharrif (all hncps) G3 15/2 2nd 

Classic Pursuit (m distilled/class) I1 11/2 UP

5.45 – Channel Packet (m class) I3 G3 7/1 UP

 

Hamilton

6.00 – Thorntoun Care (all hncps + m runs) H1 I1 G3 10/3 S1 S2 S4  UP

8.10 – 

Ce La Vie (m runs) ES+ G3  13/2 S3A  UP

Alexandrakollontai (m runs) I1 14/1 S6 UP

8.40 – Marnie James (all hncps) I3 7/1 WON 7/1>5/2 

9.10 – 

Sfumato (all hncps) H3 I3 G3 7/2 S4 S5 UP

Vallarta (m age) G1 11/2 UP

B Fifty Two (m dist) H3 I3  8/1 UP

 

Leicester

None. 

 

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KEY

H1/H3= HorseRaceBase Top Rated or Top 3 Rated (at time of posting)

G1/G3 = Geegeez GoldSpeed Ratings (Dr Peter May) Top Rated or Top 3 Rated

I1/I3 =  Inform Racing Speed Ratings – Top Rated or Top 3

14,30 = Geegeez Gold‘trainer form’ indicators. 14 – 5+ runs last 14 days, 20% win sr OR 51%+ place (inc wins) sr. 30– 10+ runs last 30 days, 20% win sr OR 51%+ place (inc wins) sr

ES –‘Elite Squad’ qualifiers:  Flat : HER Jumps 2017/18HERE>>>

ES +– Elite Squad ‘Plus’ +   (rationale/ angles in link above)

S1-S6 : S = ‘Strategy’ and refers to the ‘advised strategies’ in the link below. S1 = ‘Strategy 1’. Added on morning of racing along with the price. w1– won last start.   w2– won two starts ago (tracking as of 15th Feb 2018)

The Strategies: Where should you start? Some ideas HERE>>>

‘Flat Strategies/results‘: Flat 2017 Read HERE>>>(updated to end 3rd June 2018)

‘Jumps Strategies/results’: Jumps 2017/18 Read HERE>>>(updated to end 3rd June 2018)

Research Articles: (TTP reports/Test Zone/Monthly Articles/Big Meetings Notes/David Peat Profiles) READ HERE>>>

VIDEOS: Members Repository: HERE>>> . All Public (non members only) Videos HERE>>>

IMPORTANT: Welcome Info  HERE>>> (please read) (inc must watch videos :)) 

Contact: email:  – info@racingtoprofit.co.uk  … or failing that… racingtoprofit@gmail.com 

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2.Any ‘Notes’ (my subjective thoughts/’tips’)

Test/trial  : ‘NOTES’ ‘aka Tips’(2017 Sept-Dec: 31/176, +110.75) (2018: 13/151,49p, -3) (1 point win bets) (Festival Tips 2018: +156)

 

NOTES

2.10 New – Starlight Mystery– 1 point win – 7/1 (gen) UP…hmm, well plenty of MJs horses thrive on a quick turnaround,’m not sure this one has, nothing in tank when asked to pick up. Got an easy lead/dictated, almost pulled up come end. 

4.35 Notts- Tallinski– 1 point win – 8/1 (PP/BV) 15/2 (get) UP

5.10 Notts – Musharrif – 1 point win – 11/2 (WH/SB/UniB) 5/1 (gen) 2nd 

 

that will be all for tips (09.30)

Hmm, well within 20 minutes those prices have gone it seems, 13/2, 5/1, 5/1 generally available for the three, which will be declared prices when they all bolt up, unless they crash even more… 

Starlight Mystery...MJs stats here, from a small sample, when moving horses in distance and class, are impressive, and this one looked worth a go at the odds. He has a decent enough record when booking Kirby, esp in Good to Firm handicaps…which makes sense given his generally appear best on rattling fast, and he rides the Newmarket tracks well enough. The horse arrives in form, has her first try in a C5 and it’s the furthest she’s run over. There is also a chance he can dictate the pace here, or in any case be in the right spot on the front end. Hopefully all of those things combined may see her win this, and add another to the tally of his in form trainer. Of course she may not stay, but the pace they may go over this CD, winding up the gallop, maybe what she wants. We will find out soon enough! 

Tallinksi-…. in the context of this race his price is getting short enough as I type. Someone appears to have unloaded/or been tipped up somewhere by someone with a large enough following to make a difference.  He was worth a go at 8s/7s to my eye, and with any luck he will drift out again come the off. I’m in danger of being bloodied and bruised at the bottom of the cliff with this one, but in I go again. He arrives here in form, and bumped into a well treated class dropper the last day. He likes the track and did run there as if well worth another go over 6f. This could be what he wants now. Of course the big eye-catcher was the booking of SDS, who knows the horse and went close on him in a C4 off 77 at Newmarket. I’m pretty sure he could have ridden the Crisford horse if he wanted, but who knows. He should be in the right spot on the front end and can hopefully keep going. There is a niggle about C4, but the trip move/jockey was of more interest at the price. Or what was his price. He should give me a run for my money anyway. Meshardal looked interesting of those at bigger prices and I have thrown some change at him also. 

Musharrif... well his price was going as I deliberated but in the context of this race, I thought 5s still offered some value to my eye. I say that in the context that with jockey claims, there is an 11lb swing between himself and the fav, Dapper Man. In theory that should bring them together and it was a step forward LTO. Looking at his profile he’s never enjoyed going LH, 0/10,1p going that way round in handicaps,0/4,0p at Pontefract. He is 3/12,4p on flat tracks, which he appears to prefer. He’s a CD winner at Nottingham and the hope is that he will be fully tuned up on his 3rd start after a short break. His mark is plummeting – 3 turf starts ago in Nov 17 he was racing off 80, and now comes here off 69. I bet the trainer can’t believe his luck. He must have friends in the handicapping team! Ger O’Neill jumps back on also which caught the eye, and his 5lb will help even more. Trainer and jockey are 4/12,5p in 5f turf handicaps, 3/9,4p at the track. All in all, everything pointed to a decent run I thought, and I’d say he was probably the one I was most confident on…sorry Nick, I’ve put the mockers on him there for you! 

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Recent Tips(from section 2/’notes’ horses) 

(running total, from 07/06/18: 3/31,11p, +5.5) 

4.35 Nott- Tallinski (tipped twice, 1st run)

8.40 Ham – Foxtrot Knight (3rd run)

 

3.Micro System Test Zone

None.

 

4.Any general messages/updates etc

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About This Author

A community committed to making racing fun, enjoyable and profitable in the long term. Josh

12 Comments

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  • Bawaasil Newmarket Thursday 15:50 1pt e/w Price taken 16-18/1
    Musharrif Nottingham Thursday 17:10 1.5pt win Price taken 8/1
    Faithful Promise Leicester Thursday 19:15 1pt e/w Price taken 14-16/1

    Nick Mazur 27/06/18 9:53 PM Reply


  • No joy at Kempton tonight so a 1pt loss.

    Newcastle tomorrow. Qualifiers as follows:
    1.30 Foxrush Take Time 7/1 & Top Offer 9/2
    2.00 Captain Peaky 15/2 & Mimic’s Memory 11/1

    1pt win each.

    Good Luck

    Ken McKenzie 27/06/18 10:37 PM Reply


  • 2 qualifiers for today.
    4-35 Nottingham. Meshardal 10-1 wh
    8-50 leicester. Affair 7-1 sky 4 places

    martin whittle 28/06/18 1:06 AM Reply


  • No joy from my stat-based selections yesterday, a 5/1 runner-up was as good as it got.

    7.50 Leicester – Highland Pass (2nd HC run inside 90 days)
    5.20 Newcastle – Macgregors Pal (A/W HCPS)
    5.20 Newcastle – True North (Class Dropper)
    2.10 Newmarket – Hyanna (Class Dropper)
    5.00 Newmarket – Bint Dandy (trainer’s only runner today)
    4.00 Nottingham – Skydiving (Class Dropper)

    traf69 28/06/18 1:57 AM Reply


  • 13:30 Newcastle
    Secret Memories 16/1 lads 1pt ew
    Foxy Lady 14/1 gen 1pt ew
    16:15 Newcastle
    My Target 12/1 gen 1pt ew
    Constantino 10/1 gen 1pt ew
    19:00 Hamilton
    On The High Tops 8/1 gen 1pt ew
    Thornaby Princess 20/1 gen 1pt ew
    20:10 Hamilton
    What Wonders Weave 16/1 gen 1pt ew
    Bush Beauty 7/2 365 2pt win

    Good luck with whatever you back today.

    Stewart 28/06/18 8:33 AM Reply


  • Well it’s safe to say the first half of the week has been dismal. Fingers crossed the second half perks up a bit.

    Chris M Selections:
    14:10 Newmarket – Starlight Mystery (7/1 gen)
    16:25 Newmarket – Burguillos (13/2 Bet365, 6/1 gen)
    17:50 Tipperary – Ursa (6/1 gen)
    19:35 Hamilton – Moved (13/2 gen)
    21:10 Hamilton – Vallarta (11/2 gen)

    All from me today. Good luck with your bets!

    Chris M 28/06/18 9:18 AM Reply


  • Tips – a poor day yesterday after a good run in June. Minus £290 on the day. An early post today as I am off to Cambridge for a few days for one of my sons graduation ceremony, related celebrations and to clear him out of his accommodation after 4 years at University.
    2.00 NC Global Wonder 12.50 each way; 2.10 NKT Starlight Memory 15 each way; 3.40 NC Snookered £12.50 each way; 3.50 NKT Bawaasil 15 each way; 4.15 NC Constantino 12.50 each way; 5.10 NOT Musharrif 15 each way; 5.20 NC Cocktail 12.50 each way.

    Good luck.

    martin colwell 28/06/18 10:10 AM Reply


    • One more, 5.30 NKT Diamond Lady 25 win.

      martin colwell 28/06/18 10:53 AM Reply


  • COLINS BETS
    Newcastle
    2.00 Supreme Power
    3.40 Archipeligo
    Newmarket
    2.10 Starlight Mystery
    3.40 Rockies Spirit
    Nottingham
    4.35 Meshardal
    Hamilton
    9.10 Mujassam
    9.10 Vallarta

    colin leafe 28/06/18 10:39 AM Reply


  • I backed 2 today
    1615 Newcastle
    Constantino 15/2
    Poet’s Society 11/1
    1p WIN both
    Both are course and distance winners, trainers and horses are in form. Hoping for a good run and a bit of luck as well.
    – 5p since I started putting my selections on here, so not a good start.
    Good luck with your bets.

    Maz 28/06/18 1:45 PM Reply


  • just 1 from me, 1pt each-way SALUTI, 425 Newmarket around 8-1
    This lad has the top speed rating on Geegeez
    He’s won his last 2, is 2 wins from 2 on good to firm, 2/2 at course, 4/6, 4 places at distance and 1/1 under Atzeni

    Paul Ebrey 28/06/18 2:46 PM Reply


  • He’s a canny lad!
    A back of Picketts Charge and a lay of Snookered 🙁
    Happy Birthday, Brian.

    chrisrees 28/06/18 3:45 PM Reply


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