Members Daily Post: 24/06/18 (complete)

1.All Qualifiers Against Stats Pack/Ratings Pointers

2.Any ‘Notes’ (my subjective thoughts/’tips’)

3.Micro System Test Zone

4.Any general messages/updates etc

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1.All Qualifiers Against Stats Pack/Ratings Pointers

FLAT 

Pontefract

3.00 – Indomeno (micro class drop) w2 I3 6/1 UP

4.00 – 

Zakatal (all hncps) I1 33/1 S6 UP

Suegioo (m class) H3 I1 G3 4/1 S2 S4 S5  WON 4/1>7/2 

5.00 – Round The Island (all hncps) H3 5/2 WON 5/2 

 

JUMPS

Worcester

2.40 – 

Action Replay (all hncps) ES+  5/1 S3A UP

Curious Carlos (hncp chase) 14,30 H1  5/2 UP

Call To Order (hncp chase) 14 11/1 S2 2nd 

4.10 – 

Leapaway (all hncps) ES+ 8/1 S3A WON 8/1 

The Twisler (m dist) 6/1 3rd 

5.10 – Rubys Cube (nov hncps)  20/1 S2A UP

 

Hexham

1.50 – 

Beyond The Flame (m TJC) 22/1 S2A UP

The Banastoir (m class) ES+ 11/1 S2 S3A UP

3.20- Quick Brew (all hncps) ES+ 14/1 S2 S3A UP

4.20 – 

No Such Number (all hncps)  ES+ I3 5/1  S3A UP

Sleep In First (all hncps) 30 ES H3 I3 11/4 S3  2nd 

 

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KEY

H1/H3= HorseRaceBase Top Rated or Top 3 Rated (at time of posting)

G1/G3 = Geegeez GoldSpeed Ratings (Dr Peter May) Top Rated or Top 3 Rated

I1/I3 =  Inform Racing Speed Ratings – Top Rated or Top 3

14,30 = Geegeez Gold‘trainer form’ indicators. 14 – 5+ runs last 14 days, 20% win sr OR 51%+ place (inc wins) sr. 30– 10+ runs last 30 days, 20% win sr OR 51%+ place (inc wins) sr

ES –‘Elite Squad’ qualifiers:  Flat : HER Jumps 2017/18HERE>>>

ES +– Elite Squad ‘Plus’ +   (rationale/ angles in link above)

S1-S6 : S = ‘Strategy’ and refers to the ‘advised strategies’ in the link below. S1 = ‘Strategy 1’. Added on morning of racing along with the price. w1– won last start.   w2– won two starts ago (tracking as of 15th Feb 2018)

The Strategies: Where should you start? Some ideas HERE>>>

‘Flat Strategies/results‘: Flat 2017 Read HERE>>>(updated to end 3rd June 2018)

‘Jumps Strategies/results’: Jumps 2017/18 Read HERE>>>(updated to end 3rd June 2018)

Research Articles: (TTP reports/Test Zone/Monthly Articles/Big Meetings Notes/David Peat Profiles) READ HERE>>>

VIDEOS: Members Repository: HERE>>> . All Public (non members only) Videos HERE>>>

IMPORTANT: Welcome Info  HERE>>> (please read) (inc must watch videos :)) 

Contact: email:  – info@racingtoprofit.co.uk  … or failing that… racingtoprofit@gmail.com 

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2.Any ‘Notes’ (my subjective thoughts/’tips’)

Test/trial  : ‘NOTES’ ‘aka Tips’(2017 Sept-Dec: 31/176, +110.75)(2018: 12/147,45p, -7)  (1 point win bets) (Festival Tips 2018: +156)

 

NONE, nothing today from the stats quals today exciting me too much at the prices, tipping wise. 

 

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Recent Tips(from section 2/’notes’ horses) 

(running total, from 07/06/18: 3/22,10p, +14.5) 

5.00 Ponte – Cosmic Chatter (3rd run)

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3.Micro System Test Zone

Jumps Angles

Paddy Brennan (14/1< guide) 

4.50 Hex- Imperial Elysian  UP

 

4.Any general messages/updates etc

Festival Tipping… as an aside I think that win yesterday takes the ‘Festival’ tips to around +230 points or so this year, when including the ‘National’s etc from the Free post tips. I think that’s probably from around a 70-90 point outlay, so not a bad ROI so far. We have Glorious Goodwood and Galway on the horizon, which given that record I’d best try and focus on! That winner was much needed, mentally, after a testing/quiet couple of months post the Jumps festivals. Now I just need to find an approach for the daily ‘notes’ tips, which is the only blip in 2018 so far, tipping wise. Still, +230 odd points on the tipping content isn’t too bad. 🙂 But, always work to do. 

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About This Author

A community committed to making racing fun, enjoyable and profitable in the long term. Josh

22 Comments

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  • Interesting stat of the Day. Or so I think.

    the sire Pastoral Pursuits has had 149 runners (not individual total) this turf season. Only 3 (2%) have won with 24 placing (16%). That compares with a life time average of 11% wins and 29% places.

    Can anyone tell me where to get stats for the following please.

    1) Trainers record with First time out runs from another stable. i.e switchers.
    I want the trainers overall record not from a particular stable.

    2) Trainers records with first time headgear.

    Thanks in advance.

    If you have a theory have a theory about Pastoral Pursuits drop off in performance Im all ears. In the meantime i would suggest not backing them.

    Thks.

    Steven Clowes 24/06/18 7:24 AM Reply


    • You can get these on Geegeez or Horseracebase but you would have to become a member of the services. I do not use the Racing Post site but they may have it as well?

      martin colwell 24/06/18 8:34 AM Reply


  • well the system test looks to be on a bit of a downward trend but i’ll do the full 100 to get a better idea and today for only the 2nd time (including when i was paper trading) a race has thrown up 2 qualifiers with identical ratings, i have backed both and will be included in figures.
    results update 28 selections 1 wins,5 places, staked 28 pts returns 14.25 pts down 13.75 pts.
    todays qualifiers.
    3-40 Worcester. Cool Sky 6-1
    4-10 Worcester. Idder 10-1
    5-00 Pontefract. Mishaal 14-1 and Crosse Fire 11-1

    martin whittle 24/06/18 8:15 AM Reply


    • I like Mishaal too but research shows that Araqeel and Ace Master (fresh form) are also off lowered ratings.

      chrisrees 24/06/18 12:15 PM Reply


  • Leapaway Worcester 16:10 1pt e/w Price taken 9/1 4 places
    Cosmic Chatter Pontefract 17:00 1pt e/w Price taken 12-14/1 4 places

    Nick Mazur 24/06/18 9:24 AM Reply


    • I was slightly kicking myself for leaving out Voodoo Doll given the headgear got taken off and up 2 classes but that more than makes up for it

      Nick Mazur 24/06/18 4:16 PM Reply


      • Fantastic stuff Nick. Won hard held love it. Thank you

        Paul Ebrey 24/06/18 4:29 PM Reply


    • Nice each way double there Sir

      Chris Albin 24/06/18 5:12 PM Reply


    • Cheers Nick! Lovely profit today. Well done

      Max H 24/06/18 5:58 PM Reply


  • COLINS BETS

    3.00 Pontefract Rainbow Rebel

    colin leafe 24/06/18 10:17 AM Reply


  • Pontefract 3:30 Alwaysandforever Went into my tracker when I understood that she went better on the gallops under a stable hand than God Given with Spencer up the week before she (GG)won her Group 3. Had entry next month in Irish G3 but comes here instead 2/1 short enough but may well be just too classy for this opposition

    finalflight 24/06/18 10:40 AM Reply


    • She’s too short for me but found it striking Ryan Moore is at pontefract today.

      Paul 24/06/18 11:22 AM Reply


  • 4.00 Pontefract Suegioo 4/1 available,Richard Fahey as kept this 9yo in training and this must be its best chance of a win since winning the Chester Cup in 2014.
    Last 16 runs competed in 13 class 2 races and todays race is class 4 and the last time raced in a class 4 finished 2nd of 9 with the distance to short.
    Last run Chester class 2 4th of 16,report from Racing Post behind plenty to do over 2 furlongs out,ridden and headway when switched right over 1 furlong out,stayed on well final 100 yards going on at finish.
    Do what you want with this but i do expect a bold show today.

    colin leafe 24/06/18 11:02 AM Reply


    • Well done Colin, great minds and all that!

      Stewart 24/06/18 4:08 PM Reply


  • 100% with you Colin, Group form behind Pallasator; wouldn’t want to take less than 4/1. I backed it in last year’s Ascot Stakes so fifth hurt.

    chrisrees 24/06/18 12:13 PM Reply


  • I’m a shareholder in the lovely Indomeneo, a horse who loves and understands racing – so only does enough when he wins! He has progressed from the lowest grade to his present rating and will be giving it his best, in ideal conditions. Backed at 6/1.
    If he has a target in the last furlong, he will beat it.

    chrisrees 24/06/18 12:23 PM Reply


  • Hangover today and i know they say you shouldn’t bet when your not fully focussed, but i fancied a few today.
    just the tips then.
    14:10 Worcester
    AUENWIRBEL 14/1 gen 1pt ew
    BOGOSS DU PERRET 11/1 this morning, now 9/1 1pt ew
    16:00 Pontefract
    SUEGIOO 4/1 2pt win
    GRACEFUL LADY 11/2 1pt ew
    16:10 Worcester
    SOLSTALLA 16/1 this morning now 7/1 1pt ew
    LETTHERIVERRUNDRRY 25/1 1pt ew
    17:00 Pontefract
    CROSSE FIRE 8/1 gen 1pt ew
    MONSIEUR JIMMY 18/1 1pt ew

    good luck with whatever you back today.

    Stewart 24/06/18 1:03 PM Reply


    • Should just stick with the jumpers…haha

      Stewart 24/06/18 2:17 PM Reply


    • Easy this tipping malarkey, said nobody ever!!

      Stewart 24/06/18 4:07 PM Reply


      • Well done Stewart. I was just going to say you take the 1st 2 races and I will grab the last 2 if that’s OK?

        Nick Mazur 24/06/18 4:25 PM Reply


        • Help yourself, it pays not to be greedy in this game… 🙂

          Stewart 24/06/18 4:42 PM Reply


    • Well done stewaet

      Paul Ebrey 24/06/18 4:29 PM Reply


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