nothing from me today.
GL with any bets.
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A lot of catching up to do here. Most of it below. Other Leicester race report and points update to follow later. Hedges to trim!
Sunday 10th June
Review of Beverley Hilary Needler and other 2yo races plus photos and commentary on Fanaar and Secret Venture’s wins from Leicester on 29th May. Nottingham today. Points update.
Some of my pride salvaged by the placing of Gypsy Spirit at 25/1 (took 40s) but the disappointment of Wedding Date’s run was compounded by Spa2’s selection winning (ignored by me). Kodyanna looked impressive but what to make of Wedding Date’s run. Perhaps the Hannon’s putting up Pat Dobbs should have been a warning. He used to be there top man always used if Ryan or Richard Hughes were not available. In the last couple of seasons he has dropped down the pecking order and the ride he gave Wedding Date here might help to explain why. I nicknamed him the Dobbmeister a few years ago because he was mr reliable. Here although he seemed to get an ok break he didn’t take advantage of it which you have to do at Beverley but left her drift back to last after a furlong then having to come around the wide outside left it too late to get her going to challenge for a place. The comment that she was outpaced is hard to agree with given the pace she showed in the National stakes. Maybe the ground was a tad firm or she just had a bad day or Pat got it wrong, who knows? Even with a perfect run I think she would have struggled to beat Kodyanna.
Clever old Mick Channon got this with Jungleinthebungle from the 1 draw. My selection to go with him was the debutant Midnight Sands who ran a good race but was not good enough on debut. Should win a novice nto I would think. The fun trifecta had 1st 3rd and 4th!
Ballistic who features in the Leicester race below was made favourite here but looks as though he is not very tough. Nurseries for him now.
Fannar review from Leicester 29th May.
My confidence in Fanaar was rewarded although at times he made it look in question. Mr Haggas had certainly still left something to work on and if he turns up at Royal Ascot (not entered yet) I would think he’ll be competitive although just a slight niggle whether he won’t find something too fast over 6f. Maybe he’s a Chesham horse although I would think he’s better than that. Perhaps he’ll be saved for York.
Pictures can be seen here https://imgur.com/a/CYXe4EA
Fanaar – Second impressions did not disappoint. Rangy, powerful, still perhaps with a bit left to work on and will improve further. Possibly still a bit down hill but the first of the unsaddled photos really shows his power. 102 so listed/Gp3 potential at least.
Liberation Day – A better run than I was expecting, clearly got plenty of talent, not the raw strength and scope of the winner. I would think given the price that this one out performed expectations. 84
Alnasherat – A nice introduction and a very typical Stoute fto run. Not hurried away, given plenty of time to learn his job, threatened briefly but then lack of full fitness told late on. Well made in a lighter frame than the winner. First Kingman I have seen and plenty to like. Win soon. 90+
Critical Data – Very green and a solid intro. 78
Almurr – an unflattering picture with Adam Kirby up does not flatter this one. Better to look at his unsaddle photo. Pretty fit and ran alongside Fanaar for most of the race. Adam Kirby uncharacteristically dropped his whip out a furlong out having given Almurr just one tap and he then coasted home. Room for lots of improvement here. 79
Tzar Nicholas – Good first run, trundled through 75
Glorious Dane – Like the other Hannon horse strageley green for this stable. Solid chunky, 75
Sword Of Gold – 73
Prince Llyr – If only Heather Main could train 2yos. This one is a fine big strong boy. Still fat. Still way too free early on. If dropped to a weak race might win nto but if kept to highly competitive races like this will continue to find better prepared ones. I only rated him 62 on debut but this is not about the horse it is about the trainer. He could easily be a 75 if he can teach himself.
Purgatory – Nowhere near ready on debut as is mostly the norm from Chris Wall. Nothing wrong with this one that some weight loss won’t help with. Worth keeping an eye on may strike before nurseries. 74
Secret Venture review to follow
1. Shine So Bright
3. Deanozoff, Moveonup, Napanook, Siberica
Shinesobright looks to be bred for further, Implicit was poor on debut and I rated her 67. No Bet.
10/06/18 11:30 AM
Shine So Bright Talk about over thinking it. Clear top rated. I am an idiot. Josh, pass the kit!
10/06/18 1:50 PM
you mentioned 2 horses
sods law 1st 9/1 and 2nd 4/1
10/06/18 1:57 PM
Just read through the above. My apologies for the grammatical and spelling errors. Too hurried. I did also look at the Goodwood seller and decided Solesmes was the most likely but not at less than 6’s.
10/06/18 11:59 AM
World Cup early thoughts – England to go out in the quarter finals at 4/5; Germany to reach at least the the semi finals at 6/5; Russia v Saudi Arabia +3.5 goals ( I know that the opening game is low scoring normally) at 10/3; Egypt v Uruguay – Uruguay to win to nil at 6/5 (Salah struggling with injury); Morocco v Iran under 1.5 goals 11/8.
10/06/18 12:24 PM
Wouldn’t the 4/5 on England losing in the 1/4 finals be a fairly similar price to what you’d get on the day, assuming they get there?
10/06/18 3:20 PM
Backing England after 1966 would have lost a fortune unless you laid them,the press and bookmakers did a wonderful job in over hyping such average players the golden generation of Beckham and especially Rooney who after his disgraceful antics in South Africa should never have played for England again.
Southgate never rated him as a club manager but he has done a wonderful job with the young England teams and he is the first manager who as had the courage to get rid of the ageing old dross and with no hype these young players can give us a pleasant surprise,and i do feel that they will do us proud,especially Danny Rose who is an outstanding player not in many peoples eyes,but a player who is always there,he reminds me of John Mcgovern who the Derby County fans did not rate but Sir Brian Clough did and John won 2 titles at Derby and then 1 at Forest along with 2 back to back European Cups,did Sir Alex and Sir Bobby Robson achieve this in Europe from two unfashionable clubs at the time both being close to the bottom of the old second division when he took them on.
So i am fully behind England and Southgate and the young lads to do us proud.
10/06/18 1:19 PM
THE WARRIOR 7/1 generally – E/W
THE WARRIOR has run some nice races at Goodwood previously of around the same mark as he is on today. They have also been in better races so I think he ought to go close in this Class 3 today. THE WARRIOR is on a mark of 85 which is very workable. He has been as high as 90 previously but the main thing with THE WARRIOR is he is consistent. Comes here in good form after only getting beak by a neck on hi last start and was a decent 3rd on his penultimate start. 7/1 is a decent price. E/W.
10/06/18 1:27 PM
just got no run .. sour grapes and all that 🙂 …….. watch for nto ! 🙂
10/06/18 2:20 PM
speculative trixie for the day !
15:45 Goodwood – Mancini – ew @ 7/1
16:05 Nottingham – Elysian Flyer – ew @ 7/1
17:15 Nottingham – Hope Is High ew @ 11/2
not a day to go wild .. just trying to relieve the boredom 🙂
10/06/18 1:32 PM
Really considering a bet to lay on Belgium as per norm a super squad but like the French and indeed brazil and croatia have been known to leave there tournament in the dressing room i cant see the spanish collecting anything other them pensions allthough as an outside bet I’m going to try and make on Alonso who for a full back/midfielder gets an awful lot of goals
It’s a long 6 weeks that could require a big bank or you could use the multi markets in place I have never seen such prep from the bookies from group winner to RFC within groups and even group losers as the saying goes only spend what you can afford to lose best of luck to all
10/06/18 7:59 PM