Free Daily Post: 23/04/18 (complete)

TIPS

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Not much today but I will just repeat a snippet from my Members’ post…this isn’t a tip, just a horse mentioned in passing after i’d spotted a few stats as a way in, while trawling through the cards etc…do with this info as you please…

I will mention Delph Crescent in the 5.45 Ponte… only because I was flicking through the Geegeez stats reports and saw that in the last 5 years, Fahey is 6/20,9p with ALL handicap debutants here… they look worth backing blind on that basis as it is clearly a track he targets with unexposed handicappers, across the range of races..2YO, 3YO only and the all age brackets which my stats in Section 1 focus on. Having had a deeper look… with all 3 year olds at Ponte, in handicaps, over 1m, he is 7/23,10p. The horse moves up in trip and drops in class but is draw wide. That may not matter so much over this trip but the start/early position will be crucial. And it is a 3YO handicap where plenty could step forward and having had a few months off to strengthen up, be thrown in. I’ll have a crisp £5 note I suspect to find out, and maybe secure the week’s beer fund. As always, do with that info as you please.

 

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A community committed to making racing fun, enjoyable and profitable in the long term. Josh

8 Comments

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  • AW BETS
    Update of results so far April always a tricky month whether it be NH,FLAT or AW(Josh does not agree)
    Feb + 22.225
    Mar + 14.166
    Apr – 6.25
    Total Profit + 30.141 or to £10 stakes at Bookmakers SP + £301.41.

    colin leafe 23/04/18 9:56 AM Reply


    • I agree with you Colin, Josh probably doesn’t because he’s crushed all the festivals!! but apart from that winners have been trickier than usual to find imo. Very much a rollercoaster rather than a steady incline.

      Chris Albin 23/04/18 11:42 AM Reply


      • Oh, let’s be honest, outside of ‘festival’ type races, I have been pretty average/crap! Thankfully I have that string to my bow, but you only have to look at my members ‘notes’ horses to see how I have struggled…well, it’s just been stop/start/going nowhere, for much of the jumps season, in terms of ‘normal’ racing (non ‘festivals’).. albeit i’m still 2x 12/1 winners away from a respectable 30% ROI. A spike will come on that front at some point.
        I don’t pay attention to the AW at all, but certainly jumps has been very stop start it seems – no rhythm at all, maybe down to the weather etc. Hopefully we can hit some consistency over the summer, and some confidence come a couple months time that all trainers have got the work into their strings they’d have wanted to… i suspect plenty of flat yards haven’t got much grass work into horses given how wet it has been, a possibility that it may pay more than usual in next few weeks ahead to go with proven fitness/had a run etc. We shall see.
        Josh

        Josh 23/04/18 12:04 PM Reply


    • Great results Colin…..do you have any results going further back month by month?

      Chris Sengelow 23/04/18 9:12 PM Reply


  • Sorry for late post but stuck it in yesterday’s by accident

    23rd April Windsor and Pontefract

    Pontefract 2.10
    Ratings
    1. Bengali Spirit
    2. Allen A Dale, Five Amarones, House Deposit, Minas Gerais.

    Ratings Bets Can’t really see a way in, if there were only three second ranked I may have done a reverse exacta excluding Bengali S and may still do so if he drifts out of favouritism. The market at the moment suggests no one knows. I did have a small bet on Allen A Dale at 14s last night and may have a similar small bet e/w on House Deposit but these are just for fun.
    I’ve watched Bengali Spirit’s debut at Musselburgh again and he looks small and ordinary. Notwithstanding his having beaten I Am A Dreamer who was 4th behind Jackstar at HQ last week there could easily be something here to beat him.

    Windsor

    Ratings
    1. Nina Petrovna
    2. Karalini, Swiss Chime, Blasim, Mayfair Madame

    Ratings Bet: 1pt win Nina Petrovna.

    Not too keen on the draw for Nina P; David Egan on Blasim with the experience may jump out well get the rail and be impossible to pass. I shall be going today so will make up my mind about other possibilities at the track and tweet if I have time.
    Hugh

    alpha2 23/04/18 3:01 PM Reply


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