Members Daily Post: 02/04/18 (complete)

1.All Qualifiers Against Stats Pack/Ratings Pointers

2.Any ‘Notes’ (my subjective thoughts/’tips’)

3.Micro System Test Zone

4.Any general messages/updates etc

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1.All Qualifiers Against Stats Pack/Ratings Pointers

 

ALL UK turf meetings abandoned. 

 

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KEY

H1/H3 = HorseRaceBase Top Rated or Top 3 Rated (at time of posting)

G1/G3 = Geegeez Gold Speed Ratings (Dr Peter May) Top Rated or Top 3 Rated

I1/I3 =  Inform Racing Speed Ratings – Top Rated or Top 3

14,30 = Geegeez Gold ‘trainer form’ indicators. 14 – 5+ runs last 14 days, 20% win sr OR 51%+ place (inc wins) sr. 30 – 10+ runs last 30 days, 20% win sr OR 51%+ place (inc wins) sr

ES – ‘Elite Squad’ qualifiers:  Flat : HER     Jumps 2017/18HERE>>>

ES + – Elite Squad ‘Plus’ +   (rationale/ angles in link above)

S1-S6 : S = ‘Strategy’ and refers to the ‘advised strategies’ in the link below. S1 = ‘Strategy 1’. Added on morning of racing along with the price. w1– won last start.   w2– won two starts ago (tracking as of 15th Feb 2018)

‘Advised Flat Strategies‘: Flat 2017 Read HERE>>>   (updated to end 12th Nov – End of Flat 2017)

‘Advised Jumps Strategies’: Jumps 2017/18 Read HERE>>>  (updated to end 18th March 2018)

Research Articles: (TTP reports/Test Zone/Monthly Articles/Big Meetings Notes/David Peat Profiles) READ HERE>>>

VIDEOS: Members Repository: HERE>>> . All Public (non members only) Videos HERE>>>

IMPORTANT: Welcome Info  HERE>>> (please read) (inc must watch videos :)) 

Contact: email:  – info@racingtoprofit.co.uk  … or failing that… racingtoprofit@gmail.com 

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2.Any ‘Notes’ (my subjective thoughts/’tips’)

Test/trial  : ‘NOTES’  (2017 Sept-Dec: 31/176, +110.75)(2018: 4/48,17p, +2.5)  (1 point win bets)

tbc

 

3.Micro System Test Zone

NONE.

 

4.Any general messages/updates etc

tbc

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About This Author

A community committed to making racing fun, enjoyable and profitable in the long term. Josh

16 Comments

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  • Morning Everyone, think I am suffering a Henri Parry Morgan hangover, so, will be brief today as only one race dominates and i have 3 rather than the usual 2…due to it being the Irish National.
    17:00 Fairyhouse
    FOREVER GOLD 25/1 gen
    Think price may have gone now, be quick i managed to get 50/1 with 365 this morning, form figures over C&D read 212 and he finished 2nd to Presenting Percy over C&D back in December while beating Mall Dini 10 lengths in the process. Could go well returned here with a first-time tongue-tie being added to cheek-pieces and Adam Short taking a useful 5lb off his back. Looks thrown in here, but, will the heavy ground find a few of these out and let this lightweight in??
    OSCAR KNIGHT 16/1 gen
    He’s had 57 days break after having a prep race over Hurdles at Leopardstown 3m soft when 2nd beaten 3 lengths by Total Recall , He ran in this last year when running well in mid division he unseated rider six from home with Mark Enright in saddle they change jockey to L P Dempsey today and that is significant.
    THUNDER AND ROSES 25/1 gen
    This is another one of my HPM horses, lost a fair bit on him over the years, but, he seems to do well here and i think the old boy can sneak a place whilst all the others will be floundering, can see him staying on in this heavy ground. Maybe just one more win in the locker, hope so!

    Stewart 02/04/18 9:01 AM Reply


  • Market Rasen abandoned, so glad i didn`t look at the 14:10 for nearly half an hour this morning…..

    Stewart 02/04/18 9:05 AM Reply


    • Wasted 2 hours on Chepstow last night and was very sweet on the chances of Saint John Henry at 20s, smelt a plot but maybe it was something else I smelt 😉

      Chris Mcilfatrick 02/04/18 9:17 AM Reply


  • I’m having a win bet on Foreseeable Future 5/1 in the 1.00 Wolverhampton for James Tate/Luke Morris.

    The horse has a penalty as a previous winner which was in class 4 and this is a class 5 novice stakes so i’m not too concerned by that.
    I think he will race prominently/ make the running and hopefully get first run on likely fav but disappointing Last Page who has ran in much better races than this.

    The trainer has a decent strike rate here which improves slightly when ridden by Morris, excellent 1st time out stats enhances his claims further and adds confidence. I see his price has shortened since i started writing this to a best priced 9/2, I actually got 11/2 last night

    Chris Mcilfatrick 02/04/18 9:09 AM Reply


    • FF didn’t break quite how i expected and i think cost me a winner, but what a great price for Last Page who finally got his head in front.

      Chris Mcilfatrick 02/04/18 1:26 PM Reply


  • so it’s over to Fairyhouse for some fun bets.
    3-50. Barra 14-1 is 6lb better off with Bleu Berry for 1.5 length defeat lto and as long as he’s recovered should be worth a ew bet,
    Bleu Et Rouge has drifted to 33-1 and on his best form must be worth a small ew at the price.
    4-25. Boylesports are going money back if 2nd beaten by sp fav so i have had a bit of a punt on Kylemore Lough 9-1 looks to be going in the right direction and if you take out Un De Sceaux could be best of the rest, danger Doctor Phoenix.
    5-00. not going to mention anything already tipped or from sp2a so just a couple i like the look of,
    Snow Falcon 25-1 and Westerner Point 50-1 a couple of quid ew on both.

    martin whittle 02/04/18 9:51 AM Reply


  • Irish National moulin a vent for me 33/1 each way

    jamie2255 02/04/18 10:14 AM Reply


  • Some Irish National pokes, with some stats pointers etc…
    https://racingtoprofit.co.uk/2018/04/02/free-daily-post-02-04-18-upd1/

    Looks a minefield of a race! GL with any stabs.

    Josh 02/04/18 10:51 AM Reply


  • good luck all today, great pick with Henri Parry Morgan yesterday Stewart

    PAUL EBREY 02/04/18 11:03 AM Reply


  • My free skybet fiver has gone on Jetstream Jack @ 50s ew in the Irish national.
    Go big or go home ha!

    Darren 02/04/18 11:17 AM Reply


  • My bit of fun in the irish national ARKWRISHT 25/1 e/w

    Warren bottomley 02/04/18 11:34 AM Reply


  • Just to throw more confusion into the Irish National mix for fans of the wind op, Squouateur is having his second run after one of those things, he ran well at Cheltenham on his first run after the op. I don’t know if that could point to another improvement or not but sometimes they throw up vastly improved performances now and again. He may well not be good enough but does like Fairyhouse and the ground shouldn’t be too much bother but the trip maybe, I guess carrying 9-10 may help a little. If my memory is right he has always been one that flatters to deceive so could the wind op make the difference here?
    I don’t know!
    The only other to runner today after a wind op is Barca in the 2:35 at Wolves (first run after op). Used to be with some trainer called AP O’Brien. Only 3 runs on AW and was 2nd in one of them. Second run in a handicap today and down in class. Jockey is 0-14 though so now I’m wondering what is the point in posting this in the first place!
    I don’t know!
    Wind ops is a curious subject though none the less.

    Chris Albin 02/04/18 12:30 PM Reply


  • Hi all, after my abysmal selections yesterday I hope I’m not subjecting you all to the same today.
    Wolves 1.30 Awesome Allan 7/1, best C/D speed figures of these and a good claimer on.
    Fairyhouse 2.10 Whisperinthebreeze 15/2, carried more weight when it won it’s maiden, must have E/W claims.
    Wolves 2.35 Jack of Diamonds 9/1, 4 time C/D winner like jockey booking, best C/D speed ratings.
    Wolves 4.20 Grey Destiny 11/1, has won before after a break and from a wide draw, hopefully will be picking them off late a bit worried by the price drift but trainers only runner today.
    Good luck everyone

    Greg Phillips 02/04/18 12:52 PM Reply


  • Well done yet again Josh. Why are the tips only on the free page and not on Members page

    Abdul Hamid 02/04/18 5:25 PM Reply


    • Hi Abdul… this blog started out with free posts and me tipping in 3m+ handicap chases – and that race types will always remain free – bar Festival week, which is the only week of the year where I don’t have any free content. The members club isn’t a ‘tipping’ service as such, bar Festival week which I suppose it could be viewed as but it’s a tad bit more than that and mainly all stats based content etc.
      Josh

      Josh 02/04/18 5:29 PM Reply


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