Members Daily Post: 31/03/18 (complete)

1.All Qualifiers Against Stats Pack/Ratings Pointers

2.Any ‘Notes’ (my subjective thoughts/’tips’)

3.Micro System Test Zone

4.Any general messages/updates etc

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1.All Qualifiers Against Stats Pack/Ratings Pointers

JUMPS

Carlisle 

2.50 – Cockley Beck (hncp h) H3 9/4  UP

3.25 – 

Indian Voyage (all hncps + hncp c) ES   20/1 S2 S3  UP

Wolf Sword (hncp h + m1) I3 5/1  UP

4.00 – General Mahler (hncp h) I1 9/2   S5  UP

4.35 – Dick Darsie (hncp c + m1) I3 8/1  S5 UP

 

Haydock

2.05 – Crievehill (m1) w1  H1 I3  9/4 2nd 

3.15 – 

Abracadabra Sivola (all hncps + m1) w1 10/1 S2  UP

Wicked Willy (m1) w2 H3  13/2  UP

 

FLAT

Muss

1.50 – 

Hayadh (all hncps) ES+ H3 I3 G3 11/1  S3A S4 S5  UP

Lualiwa (all hncps) I1 G3 6/1 S2 S6 WON 6/1 (8.13 BFSP)

Imperial State (4yo+) w2 G1 8/1 S6 3rd 

Luis Vaz Des Torres (micro age) I3 13/2  UP

3.35 – Mount Tahan (all hncps) w1 H1 I3 14/1 S2 S6 UP

4.45 – 

Jacob’s Pillow (all hncps) ES+  8/1 S3A  WON 8/1>5/1 

Laughton (all hncps) I3 13/2 UP

Geoff Potts (micro age) H3 G3 5/1 S5 2nd 

 

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KEY

H1/H3 = HorseRaceBase Top Rated or Top 3 Rated (at time of posting)

G1/G3 = Geegeez Gold Speed Ratings (Dr Peter May) Top Rated or Top 3 Rated

I1/I3 =  Inform Racing Speed Ratings – Top Rated or Top 3

14,30 = Geegeez Gold ‘trainer form’ indicators. 14 – 5+ runs last 14 days, 20% win sr OR 51%+ place (inc wins) sr. 30 – 10+ runs last 30 days, 20% win sr OR 51%+ place (inc wins) sr

ES – ‘Elite Squad’ qualifiers:  Flat : HER     Jumps 2017/18HERE>>>

ES + – Elite Squad ‘Plus’ +   (rationale/ angles in link above)

S1-S6 : S = ‘Strategy’ and refers to the ‘advised strategies’ in the link below. S1 = ‘Strategy 1’. Added on morning of racing along with the price. w1– won last start.   w2– won two starts ago (tracking as of 15th Feb 2018)

‘Advised Flat Strategies‘: Flat 2017 Read HERE>>>   (updated to end 12th Nov – End of Flat 2017)

‘Advised Jumps Strategies’: Jumps 2017/18 Read HERE>>>  (updated to end 18th March 2018)

Research Articles: (TTP reports/Test Zone/Monthly Articles/Big Meetings Notes/David Peat Profiles) READ HERE>>>

VIDEOS: Members Repository: HERE>>> . All Public (non members only) Videos HERE>>>

IMPORTANT: Welcome Info  HERE>>> (please read) (inc must watch videos :)) 

Contact: email:  – info@racingtoprofit.co.uk  … or failing that… racingtoprofit@gmail.com 

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2.Any ‘Notes’ (my subjective thoughts/’tips’)

Test/trial  : ‘NOTES’  (2017 Sept-Dec: 31/176, +110.75)(2018: 4/48,17p, +2.5)  (1 point win bets)

NONE..  (a case of too busy to look today, rather than having looked and decided I don’t like anything, tipping wise) 

I think those Flat strategy pointer symbols are correct but in a rush and Flat eyes not fully in focus yet!

 

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3.Micro System Test Zone

Jumps Angles

D McCain (14/1< guide) 

3,25 Carl – The Clock Leary (m1) DNQ

3.15 Hayd – What Happens Now (m1) 

2.40 Hayd – Chti Balko (m2/3) 2nd 

2.40 Hayd – William Of Orange (m2) WON 8/1 

4.00 Carl- Volcanic (m3) 3rd 

R Hobson (33/1< guide) 

1.40 Carl – Going Gold WON 11/8 

Paddy Brennan (14/1< guide) 

4.25 Hayd – Hatchet Jack (m1) 3rd 

5.00 Hayd- 

Socksy (m1/3) 2nd 

5.35 Hayd – Talk of The South (m3) PU 

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Handicap Chase Starting Points (10/1<) 

5.35 Hayd – Talk of The South 

 

4.Any general messages/updates etc

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About This Author

A community committed to making racing fun, enjoyable and profitable in the long term. Josh

11 Comments

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  • Seeing as everyone else is “Off” this weekend it may be up to me to save the day…highly unlikely after Thursdays debacle!!?
    Here we go then..
    15:15 Haydock
    PRIVATE MALONE 8/1 gen
    At least arrives here in solid form having finished runner up in three of its five latest runs trainer Emma Lavelle has won twice from seven previous runners in the last fortnight giving hope for a good run here.
    HORATIO HORNBLOWER 9/1 gen
    Nick Williams rides this horse everyday and said he is a star in the making, bit like his jockey today Harry Cobden , who, is in form at the moment! This flatter track will suit and he should enjoy going back left handed..
    15:35 Mussleburgh
    NIGHT OF GLORY 8/1 gen
    Has ability, ran in the Queen’s Vase at Royal Ascot last summer on his 4th career start. Not disgraced when 5th in a warm handicap on his final start last Oct, against older quality runners. Dropped 4lb for that effort. Still going the right way, with a novice win this year and a hurdle win 44 days ago. This 14f should be ideal and looks to be on a decent mark.
    MISRAALE 20/1 gen
    Mainly been pursuing a career over the sticks, last two flat runs have been the Nov hcp & the Cesarewich so you could say its been highly tried & they were its only runs on the flat last season, won on first turf outing in 2016, obviously fit from NH & lowest mark since a win at Ripon, could go well at a price.

    Let us see how these go, good luck in whatever you back today..

    Stewart 31/03/18 8:29 AM Reply


    • good luck Stewart

      paul 31/03/18 8:58 AM Reply


    • Stewart, I am here and you are not alone on the tipping front today. For March I am +9 points but on the £10 a point to the end of April we are £40 down.
      Today we go with 2.30 KP Escalator each way 1 point at 20/1. He has been gelded and the trainer is in form and it is not the deepest race despite the favourite. Also 3.35 Mus Time To Study, 3 points win at 4/1. Won 5 from 10 career starts inc course and distance and goes on soft ground.

      Good luck.

      martin colwell 31/03/18 11:18 AM Reply


  • I’m off to Haydock,a good afternoon’s sport but alot of races where you can make a case for virtually all the field! However 3 wild stabs here:
    2:40 Zulu Oscar. Needs a return to form but well handicapped pace should be run to suit and fancied by a couple of better judges than me! Fair enough at 16/1. Will have a little saver on Jenny Candlish’s Sleepy Haven 14/1 as the stable might just be about to go on one of its little runs.
    3:15 Potters Legend looks really well handicapped on back form? 11/2 might be a little short but i’ll still back it.
    15:50 Lamanver Odyssey. Ground no problem, pace might be but if jumping is up to scratch then must go close. 11/2

    Steve Plant 31/03/18 9:44 AM Reply


  • Hi, all, just thought I would give my thoughts, been working so no great studying involved here go’s.
    Haydock 2.40 Chti Balko 6/1 E/W, C/D winner twice now only 3lbs higher than when won here before and had a few of these behind him then.
    Carlisle 3.25 Un Guet Apens 22/1 E/W, another C/D winner who has won a class 2 at Kelso, worth a go at the price.
    Haydock 4.25 Culture De Sivola 25/1 E/W, this is a tough race has been getting better speedratings the last 3 runs, best last time out figure of these and carrys 12lb less in this, weight not handicap mark hope she is progressive.
    Haydock 5.00 Tara Mist 9/1 E/W, Just like the way Henry Daly has his string at the moment,this horse seems to like a break between it’s races and 44days should be long enough for her to run her race.
    good luck everyone, lets hope they all come back safe and sound.

    Greg Phillips 31/03/18 12:14 PM Reply


    • Well done Greg.
      Nice 25/1 Winner coming from the clouds

      ian straker 31/03/18 5:49 PM Reply


      • Thanks Ian, I thought Harry Cobden gave her a lovely ride, she was on and off the bridle he just kept her interested knowing she would stay until the end.
        Of the others I think Chti Balko ran his race, the wind op worked for the winner.
        Un Guet Apens got badly outpaced and was staying on at the end but needs further now I think.
        Tara Mist I thought her jumping wasn’t the best and that told at the finish just getting run out of the places,
        I am happy with my selections and the way they ran, always happy to make a profit.

        Greg Phillips 31/03/18 8:35 PM Reply


    • Well Done Greg, on the Harry Cobden front, I really enjoy watching him, he reminds me of AP, if you watch the race back and others he has ridden, if he thinks the horse has a quarter of a chance to win he galvanises them with hands and heels and the kitchen sink… In this race all the other jockeys had the whips out whilst Harry was just hands and heels, a lot more to come from this lad I will stake my reputation on it!

      Stewart 01/04/18 6:10 AM Reply


      • Thanks Stewart, I agree having never ridden the horse in public before, I’m sure Nick Williams and Lizzie Kelly would have given him their opinion of the horse and as you said he gave it every encouragement without beating it up to win the race.
        I always say to people that a little ten stone bloke/woman will never be able to make a half a ton of horse run if it didn’t want too, always remember AP getting banned for whacking Deano’s Beano umpteen times before the start of a race at Cheltenham and he never ran, he just hated the place.

        Greg Phillips 01/04/18 10:36 AM Reply


  • Hi guys,
    Thought I’d chip in on a quite day.

    I echo Stewarts view of Mirsaale in the 3.35Muss.
    I also like Gregs first two picks. Both have a great chance.

    I’d like to chip in with a couple I fancy today 2.05 Native Robin is overpriced I think…. I’m having a comb trifecta on 3,4,6
    3.50 hay. Midtech Valentine comes alive at this time of year. Plus T. O’Brien never been out the first four on him. Ticks boxes in my eyes.
    4.35 Car. Onderun is a crazy price… If running to any sort of form he should be up there at the end.
    5.00 Hay. The Nipper. Came out of and hot race. Think this may have been a late season target.
    Good luck all

    jarrodholmes68 31/03/18 1:25 PM Reply


  • No one mentioned the K Ryan/K Stott combo; Lualiwa in the 1.50 Muss.
    Won by ~4 lengths at 6/1.
    Covered my losses on some of the others I backed.
    Mike

    Mike Webster 31/03/18 7:45 PM Reply


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