With the UK racing fixtures lost to the weather and no bonus qualifiers from Limerick (C Byrnes handicap hurlers) it is a quiet day ahead. No bad thing given the week we have just had and a non betting/racing day can be good for the mind. I actually think the lack of racing we had leading up to Cheltenham, thanks to the weather, played a big part in the week I had – while some were bemoaning the lack of action I thoroughly enjoyed a 7+ day stint or so of not analysing a horse race! When you are looking at racing every day, thinking about it during most waking hours, it can wear you down, especially if you feel a bit ‘out of form’. I think I may be back ‘in form’ ! 🙂 (for now at least)
Festival 2018 final tally… 13 races covered / 6 winners (8/1,28/1,12/1,50/1,12/1,25/1) / +92 points profit to advised stakes/widely available prices. Now, just to get myself into ‘the zone’ where I can try and be a bit more productive for the rest of the racing year! 🙂
Just a note… I had an email from one of you asking who this was, given a few of you have mentioned them in various comments etc etc… SP2A is the best stand alone ‘tipping service’ that I have ever had the pleasure of encountering. Back in the summer time last year one of you long term members emailed me and said ‘take a look at these guys’. This member had been with them 5+ years and couldn’t speak highly enough of their experience. I am very cautious about what services I advise readers/those on my email list to try- they were the first daily tipping service I had advised my followers to join since I had started out here in late 2013. In part that stemmed from my experience in my first year at University when I blew around £2600 on following a dodgy service, diving in at £20 per point and blowing a 100 point bank over around 8 months, + service costs. Urgh. I’m a fast enough learner though, in general! But I suppose we have all been there, well most of us maybe, and thankfully I got the crappy racing experience out the way right at the beginning of my ‘racing journey’. Anyway… they are more than just a tipping service,with superb analysis and reasoning. Following discussions with Ian (who owns Sp2A) over the summer we did an exclusive 3 month trial from Oct-Dec, for my followers. That went rather well with around 80% of trialists staying on after that period. We are a few weeks away from the end of the second 3 month trial period we have done- it’s 50% off and a money back guarantee if they lose points over the period – in 7 years since they started they have never had a 3 month losing period, so fingers crossed they keep that record up! It is a unique approach in that Ian has a a team of tipsters that he can call on exclusive to him – he tips himself and is a fine judge also. There will be another 3 month offer I suspect over the summer at some point although we will reach a point when Ian is happy with numbers and any more may compromise the experience of existing members. I don’t have a problem recommending them as they are different to what I do here and they compliment my approach well I think, if you also like to follow the odd tipping service. I do not class myself as such- ‘tipping’ is just one element of what I do here and the last week has been an intense version of that. If I can add 100-200 points from my members ‘Notes’ horses over a calendar year then that would be great. At £2.50 per point that more than pays for subs and leaves a bit left over. I think Ian and his team made around +350 points to 1 point EW bets in the first trial period, Oct-Dec. In 7 years they have consistently made a 20% return on investment to industry starting price! Madness. So, for those of you wondering why certain members mention them, hopefully that explains it. On all known evidence to date, if you were ever to try just one ‘tipping’ service, I have no hesitation in saying it should be them. You can sign up HERE>> outside of any trial, and have a look around. With any luck you won’t regret giving them a go but you may wish to wait until another 3 month special trial period over the summer, probably July/Sept I suspect. I know plenty of you have added them to your ‘portfolio’ and are happy enough!
The KEY below is worth flicking through if you haven’t already… some of you may enjoy the Videos page or the Research repository post, plenty in the ‘Week That Was’ articles which will return next week I think, and the ‘Fact Sheet’. Plenty there, especially if you like your trainer/jockey stats!
I will update the advised strategies results on Monday, or maybe later today. They were last updated on the 18th of Feb which looks worse than it is (I try and update weekly) given the number of non racing days we had since then. And a certain Festival took priority.
The Flat season is nearly upon us! That comes around quickly. I need to spend around 40 hours or so with my head stuck in HorseRaceBase researching this season’s Trainer Track Profiles stats pack, the foundation of everything that will follow in Section 1. I am looking forward to Strategy 6 returning and seeing if I can build on last year’s ‘tipping’ success in ‘the Notes’ from the back end of last season. Come October I had really started to enjoy the Flat! It has taken me around 9 years to get to that point 🙂 There will be Summer Jumps again also. As with everything, my job is to offer you choice about what you may wish to get stuck into/follow.
Aintree is on the horizon! Hurrah. I really do enjoy those three days. I go to the meeting every day and it is more a social occasion for me. There will be some stats, free to all, and the odd race preview in the free posts. I think from 3–5 races or so last year (I forget) I tipped around +16 points profit. There is not nearly as much going on as with at Cheltenham, quite deliberately. But, there will be some content to get stuck into. I’ll also pull together some stats/angles for us to follow at Punchestown (just for members I think) and I suppose I should focus on the handicap hurdles! Maybe I need to try and become a handicap hurdle specialist.
In the diary…. not that you care but I like to keep you informed of my whereabouts…. I am trekking back down to the family home in Suffolk on Thursday for a couple of weeks. You won’t notice any difference in service- it isn’t a holiday! I have two weddings to go to, the second of which I am Best Man for (i really need to start and finish my speech!), so that will be great fun. I appear to be reaching that age where my friends are having kids and getting married…anyone know any single women who may like horse racing?? (asking for a friend… ahem)
I will be back later this evening with Monday’s blog post….Section 1 + test zone, before I flick through any qualifiers and work out if I wish to tip anything early Monday morning.
I will record a Festival Review video at some point in the next week also. There is always plenty to take away and ponder.
Enjoy what is left of your weekend,
H1/H3 = HorseRaceBase Top Rated or Top 3 Rated (at time of posting)
G1/G3 = Geegeez Gold Speed Ratings (Dr Peter May) Top Rated or Top 3 Rated
I1/I3 = Inform Racing Speed Ratings – Top Rated or Top 3
14,30 = Geegeez Gold ‘trainer form’ indicators. 14 – 5+ runs last 14 days, 20% win sr OR 51%+ place (inc wins) sr. 30 – 10+ runs last 30 days, 20% win sr OR 51%+ place (inc wins) sr
ES + – Elite Squad ‘Plus’ + (rationale/ angles in link above)
S1-S6 : S = ‘Strategy’ and refers to the ‘advised strategies’ in the link below. S1 = ‘Strategy 1’. Added on morning of racing along with the price. w1 – won last start. w2 – won two starts ago (tracking as of 15th Feb 2018)
‘Advised Flat Strategies‘: Flat 2017 Read HERE>>> (updated to end 12th Nov – End of Flat 2017)
‘Advised Jumps Strategies’: Jumps 2017/18 Read HERE>>> (updated to end 18th Feb 2018)
Research Articles: (TTP reports/Test Zone/Monthly Articles/Big Meetings Notes/David Peat Profiles) READ HERE>>>
IMPORTANT: Welcome Info HERE>>> (please read) (inc must watch videos :))
Contact: email: – firstname.lastname@example.org … or failing that… email@example.com