Members Daily Post: 04/03/18 (complete)

1.All Qualifiers Against Stats Pack/Ratings Pointers

2.Any ‘Notes’ (my subjective thoughts/’tips’)

3.Micro System Test Zone

4.Any general messages/updates etc

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1.All Qualifiers Against Stats Pack/Ratings Pointers

None.

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KEY

H1/H3 = HorseRaceBase Top Rated or Top 3 Rated (at time of posting)

G1/G3 = Geegeez Gold Speed Ratings (Dr Peter May) Top Rated or Top 3 Rated

I1/I3 =  Inform Racing Speed Ratings – Top Rated or Top 3

14,30 = Geegeez Gold ‘trainer form’ indicators. 14 – 5+ runs last 14 days, 20% win sr OR 51%+ place (inc wins) sr. 30 – 10+ runs last 30 days, 20% win sr OR 51%+ place (inc wins) sr

ES – ‘Elite Squad’ qualifiers:  Flat : HER     Jumps 2017/18HERE>>>

ES + – Elite Squad ‘Plus’ +   (rationale/ angles in link above)

S1-S6 : S = ‘Strategy’ and refers to the ‘advised strategies’ in the link below. S1 = ‘Strategy 1’. Added on morning of racing along with the price. w1 – won last start.   w2 – won two starts ago (tracking as of 15th Feb 2018)

‘Advised Flat Strategies‘: Flat 2017 Read HERE>>>   (updated to end 12th Nov – End of Flat 2017)

‘Advised Jumps Strategies’: Jumps 2017/18 Read HERE>>>  (updated to end 18th Feb 2018)

Research Articles: (TTP reports/Test Zone/Monthly Articles/Big Meetings Notes/David Peat Profiles) READ HERE>>>

VIDEOS: Members Repository: HERE>>> . All Public (non members only) Videos HERE>>>

IMPORTANT: Welcome Info  HERE>>> (please read) (inc must watch videos :)) 

Contact: email:  – info@racingtoprofit.co.uk  … or failing that… racingtoprofit@gmail.com 

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2.Any ‘Notes’ (my subjective thoughts/’tips’)

None.

 

3.Micro System Test Zone

TTP AW 

South

3.15 – Canford Thompson (m1) G3 I1 H1  2/1. S1 S2 S4 

350 – Win Lose Draw (m1/m2) ES+ G1 I3 H3 6/1. S1 S2 S3A S4 S6 

 

4.Any general messages/updates etc

CHELTENHAM FESTIVAL 2018

 

REPORT 1:READHERE>>>

  • Stats/trends/pointers for the 10 handicaps 
  • Other micros/research inc Owners (prev seen) + 3 Micros from last year (starting points)
  • I will pull together any relevant stats for any bonus races (mainly all those 3m+..Albert B, Gold Cup, NH Chase), a few trainer pointers building on last year’s content, + I’ll ponder any other micro research of interest/re cap on last year’s reports… I need to dig out the 1st time blinkers angle, + maybe have a look again at lightly raced horses. I think that will be it and all of this content… the trends/shortlists/micros/qualifiers/starting points will provide the main foundation for the week . 

 

REPORT 2:  READ HERE>>>

  • Touches on a few trainers of note for handicap chases + handicap hurdles…some interesting stats for Mullins. Plus some ‘1st time headgear’ stats. 
  • Reports 1 + 2 will form the main stats foundation for my own approach. The final touch will just be any further pointers for the ‘bonus’ races I usually cover, as above. I will get those complete asap. 

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FESTIVAL WEEK: PLANS 

  • For those interested…blog coverage will be much like last year. There will be a daily post that I will create asap. As always there are two strands…
  • 1 . providing information/qualifiers/shortlists against the race stats/trends (10 handicaps minimum,+ any bonus races TBC…NH Chase will be covered esp after last year) and the various stats reports. I will post qualifiers for the 4 ‘Micros’ across the two reports above and I will endeavour to post up various horses of interest from the other research including the owners/trainers research. As with most things on this blog the info will be there to use as you please. I’ll try and get all of that posted as soon as is practical, which in essence is when the race cards/qualifiers are available in Horse Race Base. 
  • 2. My own opinion… ‘TIPS’ to use, abuse, ignore as you please. I have yet to have a shocking festival ‘week’ (Midlands National saved the week on year… +9 instead of 0) and last year we creamed +43 points from the Festival and another 20 or so from the Midlands National on the Sat. I’ll be surprised if my approach/content doesn’t throw up plenty of winners…just whether my own pins land on them, how many I/we back, and how many losers we avoid. I usually set a 25 point ‘tipping’ bank for the week and spread out the points accordingly. I’ll do the odd video preview I suspect. The main idea is not to lose to much and to have some fun! With any luck we/you cheer a few winners home and may even come out in front. Do set a budget for the week. 
  • And that’s it really. Plenty of content to read and use as you please, in addition to plenty of chat in the comments no doubt. NON MEMBERS (that isn’t you if you’re reading this) will be charged £9 if they wish to access the content that week. Given the amount of effort it takes it is now the only week of the year where there is no free content. You DO NOT have to do anything on that front, unless you just enjoy throwing extra subs at me 🙂 . 
  • The usual daily members posts will continue with Section 1 + test zone. I doubt I will do anything on the AW stats that week and may wind down that TTP ‘test’ soon enough. The flat isn’t too far away either. So each day there will be two posts, Festival Day X, + Daily Members Post as usual. 

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YOUR FEEDBACK/THOUGHTS….. VIDEOS…

On a quiet day I thought I’d ask you about my video output moving forwards and the sort of videos you enjoy watching or may wish to see more of. You can tick as many boxes below as you wish but I’m interested in your thoughts. By all means do use the comments to throw your thoughts my way. And you are permitted to say ‘Josh, they are too long and bore me to tears, I’d like to see…’ 🙂 I really should get into a routine on the recording front and produce at least 2 videos a week, even if short. But, it depends on the demand…

 

What Videos Do You Enjoy/Want To See More Of...

View Results

 

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Have You Grabbed Your Free 32 Page Festival Magazine? 

If you missed Friday’s email to the general list, do take a read HERE>>>

Or you can jump straight to the download page HERE>>> 

This is the third year I have sent out this magazine and it is a very good read, details in the email link above. 

For each person that downloads the mag I am giving 50p to Charity. As I type £111 £150  £175 £240 will be split between Moorcroft rehoming of racehorses and Whitechapel Centre for the homeless, up in Liverpool. 

So, you get a decent magazine and something to read online while there is no jumps racing, and those two charities get some financial support. Winners all round. And as always, once you have the magazine, you can unsubscribe from the email list 🙂 A win win win. 

You can grab your free magazine and send 50p to charity, HERE>>>

Thanks in advance, Josh 

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NOTE: I have added a couple of ‘videos’ links in The Key, to a members’ repository and the youtube channel where you can find everything. 

About This Author

A community committed to making racing fun, enjoyable and profitable in the long term. Josh

6 Comments

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  • A good start to March with 3 winners yesterday to give us 11pts profit on the day.

    My usual strategy has not found any qualifiers at Southwell today, so I’m going to trial an alternative strategy which shows some promise. Qualifiers are as follows:
    2.15 See Vermont 14/1
    3.15 Cloud Nine 11/1
    3.50 Unnoticed 7/1
    4.20 Epitaph 6/1
    4.55 Tilly Devine 6/1 & Urban Spirit 6/1

    As it is a trial I’m suggesting no more than 0.5pt per horse.

    Good Luck

    Ken McKenzie 04/03/18 10:48 AM Reply


    • and lets not forget Avago Josh 100-1 2-45 must be worth a quid 🙂

      martin whittle 04/03/18 11:18 AM Reply


      • Just got 130-1 with Ladbrokes, fingers crossed

        Nige C 04/03/18 11:25 AM Reply


        • Didn’t watch race but jockey has been cautioned for not achieving best possible position… prematurely easing off in final 1f or something? Sounds a bit dodgy but has he now qualified for handicap mark or will do…interesting, add to tracker… think Furtado is what we could call ‘shrewd’ ! 🙂

          Josh 04/03/18 3:20 PM Reply


  • After forgetting to put up Assimile a while back,I should put up Stay In The Light Southwell 2.45 for Karl Burke.This one was heavily backed on its debut at Wolverhampton but didn’t live up to its billing.Steps up a furlong and a new surface,we know how Burke excels on the surface with his 3yo.Ben Curtiss is on one for David Barron who might have first call on his services so Joey Haynes takes over.I thought 5/1 was about right so 7/1 is just about worth having a go.Roger Fells runners worth a look also.Filudo 3.15 has been backed from 16/1-8/1,moved over from Gordon Elliots,didn’t fire first start,maybe better is expected and Tony Hamilton does well for the trainer,who isn’t really in great form.Roll on the jumps card at Southwell?

    gearoid180468 04/03/18 12:35 PM Reply


  • Hi Josh
    I’ve tried to download the magazine but I haven’t had any luck. Keeps saying I’m already subscribed. Any ideas.

    Geoffrey Haines 04/03/18 8:30 PM Reply


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