Members Daily Post: 03/03/18 (complete)

1.All Qualifiers Against Stats Pack/Ratings Pointers

2.Any ‘Notes’ (my subjective thoughts/’tips’)

3.Micro System Test Zone

4.Any general messages/updates etc

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1.All Qualifiers Against Stats Pack/Ratings Pointers

None.

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KEY

H1/H3 = HorseRaceBase Top Rated or Top 3 Rated (at time of posting)

G1/G3 = Geegeez Gold Speed Ratings (Dr Peter May) Top Rated or Top 3 Rated

I1/I3 =  Inform Racing Speed Ratings – Top Rated or Top 3

14,30 = Geegeez Gold ‘trainer form’ indicators. 14 – 5+ runs last 14 days, 20% win sr OR 51%+ place (inc wins) sr. 30 – 10+ runs last 30 days, 20% win sr OR 51%+ place (inc wins) sr

ES – ‘Elite Squad’ qualifiers:  Flat : HER     Jumps 2017/18HERE>>>

ES + – Elite Squad ‘Plus’ +   (rationale/ angles in link above)

S1-S6 : S = ‘Strategy’ and refers to the ‘advised strategies’ in the link below. S1 = ‘Strategy 1’. Added on morning of racing along with the price. w1 – won last start.   w2 – won two starts ago (tracking as of 15th Feb 2018)

‘Advised Flat Strategies‘: Flat 2017 Read HERE>>>   (updated to end 12th Nov – End of Flat 2017)

‘Advised Jumps Strategies’: Jumps 2017/18 Read HERE>>>  (updated to end 18th Feb 2018)

Research Articles: (TTP reports/Test Zone/Monthly Articles/Big Meetings Notes/David Peat Profiles) READ HERE>>>

VIDEOS: Members Repository: HERE>>> . All Public (non members only) Videos HERE>>>

IMPORTANT: Welcome Info  HERE>>> (please read) (inc must watch videos :)) 

 

Contact: email:  – info@racingtoprofit.co.uk  … or failing that… racingtoprofit@gmail.com 

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2.Any ‘Notes’ (my subjective thoughts/’tips’)

None.

 

3.Micro System Test Zone

TTP AW 

NO Geegeez Speed ratings today, the site seems to have died for the morning at least…

 

Ling

1.45 –

Towerlands Park (all hncps)

Poets Society (m1)

Chelm

7.15 – Born To Finish (m1) ES H3 I3

8.15 –

Mr Potter (all hncps + m1)

Strategic Heights (m1) ES H3 I3

8.45 – Outlaw Torn (all hncps + m1) H3 I3 

 

 

4.Any general messages/updates etc

CHELTENHAM FESTIVAL 2018

 

REPORT 1:READHERE>>>

  • Stats/trends/pointers for the 10 handicaps 
  • Other micros/research inc Owners (prev seen) + 3 Micros from last year (starting points)
  • I will pull together any relevant stats for any bonus races (mainly all those 3m+..Albert B, Gold Cup, NH Chase), a few trainer pointers building on last year’s content, + I’ll ponder any other micro research of interest/re cap on last year’s reports… I need to dig out the 1st time blinkers angle, + maybe have a look again at lightly raced horses. I think that will be it and all of this content… the trends/shortlists/micros/qualifiers/starting points will provide the main foundation for the week . 

 

REPORT 2:  READ HERE>>>

  • Touches on a few trainers of note for handicap chases + handicap hurdles…some interesting stats for Mullins. Plus some ‘1st time headgear’ stats. 
  • Reports 1 + 2 will form the main stats foundation for my own approach. The final touch will just be any further pointers for the ‘bonus’ races I usually cover, as above. I will get those complete asap. 

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FESTIVAL WEEK: PLANS 

  • For those interested…blog coverage will be much like last year. There will be a daily post that I will create asap. As always there are two strands…
  • 1 . providing information/qualifiers/shortlists against the race stats/trends (10 handicaps minimum,+ any bonus races TBC…NH Chase will be covered esp after last year) and the various stats reports. I will post qualifiers for the 4 ‘Micros’ across the two reports above and I will endeavour to post up various horses of interest from the other research including the owners/trainers research. As with most things on this blog the info will be there to use as you please. I’ll try and get all of that posted as soon as is practical, which in essence is when the race cards/qualifiers are available in Horse Race Base. 
  • 2. My own opinion… ‘TIPS’ to use, abuse, ignore as you please. I have yet to have a shocking festival ‘week’ (Midlands National saved the week on year… +9 instead of 0) and last year we creamed +43 points from the Festival and another 20 or so from the Midlands National on the Sat. I’ll be surprised if my approach/content doesn’t throw up plenty of winners…just whether my own pins land on them, how many I/we back, and how many losers we avoid. I usually set a 25 point ‘tipping’ bank for the week and spread out the points accordingly. I’ll do the odd video preview I suspect. The main idea is not to lose to much and to have some fun! With any luck we/you cheer a few winners home and may even come out in front. Do set a budget for the week. 
  • And that’s it really. Plenty of content to read and use as you please, in addition to plenty of chat in the comments no doubt. NON MEMBERS (that isn’t you if you’re reading this) will be charged £9 if they wish to access the content that week. Given the amount of effort it takes it is now the only week of the year where there is no free content. You DO NOT have to do anything on that front, unless you just enjoy throwing extra subs at me 🙂 . 
  • The usual daily members posts will continue with Section 1 + test zone. I doubt I will do anything on the AW stats that week and may wind down that TTP ‘test’ soon enough. The flat isn’t too far away either. So each day there will be two posts, Festival Day X, + Daily Members Post as usual. 

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YOUR FEEDBACK/THOUGHTS….. VIDEOS…

On a quiet day I thought I’d ask you about my video output moving forwards and the sort of videos you enjoy watching or may wish to see more of. You can tick as many boxes below as you wish but I’m interested in your thoughts. By all means do use the comments to throw your thoughts my way. And you are permitted to say ‘Josh, they are too long and bore me to tears, I’d like to see…’ 🙂 I really should get into a routine on the recording front and produce at least 2 videos a week, even if short. But, it depends on the demand…

 

What Videos Do You Enjoy/Want To See More Of...

View Results

 

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Have You Grabbed Your Free 32 Page Festival Magazine? 

If you missed Friday’s email to the general list, do take a read HERE>>>

Or you can jump straight to the download page HERE>>> 

This is the third year I have sent out this magazine and it is a very good read, details in the email link above. 

For each person that downloads the mag I am giving 50p to Charity. As I type £111 £150  £175 will be split between Moorcroft rehoming of racehorses and Whitechapel Centre for the homeless, up in Liverpool. 

So, you get a decent magazine and something to read online while there is no jumps racing, and those two charities get some financial support. Winners all round. And as always, once you have the magazine, you can unsubscribe from the email list 🙂 A win win win. 

You can grab your free magazine and send 50p to charity, HERE>>>

Thanks in advance, Josh 

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About This Author

A community committed to making racing fun, enjoyable and profitable in the long term. Josh

24 Comments

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  • thanks josh,got the 32 page write-up much appreciated

    william 02/03/18 8:50 PM Reply


  • ITV have 4 races on the aw at Lingfield weather allowing as i have said before aw isn’t really my thing but i’l have a go,
    1-45. Franco’s Secret 8-1 looks fairly handicapped and could be running into some form.
    2-20. Betsalottie 10-1 a c/d winner who was well up with the leaders lto but didn’t last home dropping back 1f should suit and looks value at the price.
    2-55. i’ll stick with Boom the Groom 6-1 4th when i tipped him last week but this is no where near as strong a race and should go close.
    3-30. Bengali Boys 5-1 makes his aw debut and if he takes to the surface could romp home.

    martin whittle 03/03/18 6:07 AM Reply


  • Good morning. Is anyone else having trouble logging in to Geegeez Gold page?

    jc3152 03/03/18 8:54 AM Reply


    • Morning…hmm, yea, well… I can’t seem to get the site to load! They are usually quickly onto issues etc. Good job not much quality racing on today!! 🙂

      Josh 03/03/18 9:13 AM Reply


    • my pc is snail pace loading up…so i think it’s deeper than geegee’s. It drives me crazy.

      Tony Mc

      tonymc 03/03/18 11:00 AM Reply


    • my pc had gone dead slow…so maybe it’s affecting other areas too.

      Tony Mc

      tonymc 03/03/18 11:04 AM Reply


  • Wasn’t loading last night either. Haven’t seen any tweets either, must be having an denial of service attack.

    alpha2 03/03/18 9:46 AM Reply


    • Tweet went out 10 mins ago, aware of problems, ‘IT guys are working on it’. It will be back soon…my eyes are not conditioned to read a race card in the Racing Post, no idea where to start!!

      Josh 03/03/18 9:50 AM Reply


      • AW Quals to help you a bit Josh

        Ling

        1.45 – Towerlands Park (all Hc’s)

        Poets Society (micro TJC)

        5.10 – Seaport (all Hc’s)

        Chelm

        7.45 – Bungee Jump (micro age)

        8.15 – Strategic Heights (micro dist)

        Mr Potter (all Hc’s, micro TJC)

        8.45 – Outlaw Torn (all Hc’s, micro TJC)

        Not sure of ES’s

        Mike

        titus_a_duxass 03/03/18 10:14 AM Reply


        • ah, you posted as I was writing

          titus_a_duxass 03/03/18 10:16 AM Reply


          • Cocked up there, Bungee is 3yo only and missed Born to Finish. doh

            titus_a_duxass 03/03/18 10:19 AM Reply


            • Ah, I was just keeping you on your toes Mike haha. 🙂 Much appreciated.
              Josh

              Josh 03/03/18 10:36 AM Reply


  • Hi Josh
    Can you please put the Free Daily Post page up so can put the AW bets up
    Thanks
    Colin

    colin leafe 03/03/18 10:23 AM Reply


  • Sorry a bit late today. Got back from GC at midnight and been digging the cars out from 18″ snow this morning! I’ll put Lingfield qualifiers up just now with Chelmsford to follow later.
    1.45 Sea Fox 5/1 & Chevalier 8/1
    2.20 Top Beak 12/1 & Attain 15/2
    3.30 Bengali Boys 15/2
    4.00 Nag’s Wag 16/1
    1pt win each

    Good Luck.

    Ken McKenzie 03/03/18 12:06 PM Reply


    • Nags Wag was 2nd, 20/1, so an EW price. do you include these drifters in your results tally?

      chrisrees 04/03/18 4:31 AM Reply


      • Hi Chris. I base my results on advised stakes and odds. So for Nag’s Wag, unfortunately, I will be reporting it as a loss as I advised win only.

        Ken McKenzie 04/03/18 10:44 AM Reply


  • Chelmsford qualifiers as follows:
    6.45 Snowy Winter 4/1 & St. Mary’s 9/1
    8.15 Desert Fox 4/1
    8.45 Outlaw Torn 13/2
    1pt win each

    Good Luck

    Ken McKenzie 03/03/18 12:40 PM Reply


    • Nice Ken! Hope you had a good holiday

      Nige C 04/03/18 7:15 AM Reply


  • Hi josh
    Just a quickie about the videos. Myself I enjoy the variety it’s what sets your sight out from the rest. The only thing I’d like to see is just a separate page with easy access for members to all your past videos. Perhaps even list the timing for each video so if we’ve got a spare 10 mins or if we fancy ( I mean really fancy lol ) the marathon videos it’s easy to find.
    Hope this helps

    jamie2255 03/03/18 1:33 PM Reply


  • who’s going to avago on Avago Josh tomorrow 2-45 100-1 🙂

    martin whittle 03/03/18 10:01 PM Reply


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