Members Daily Post: 12/02/18 (complete)

1.All Qualifiers Against Stats Pack/Ratings Pointers

2.Any ‘Notes’ (my subjective thoughts/’tips’)

3.Micro System Test Zone

4.Any general messages/updates etc

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1.All Qualifiers Against Stats Pack/Ratings Pointers

Catterick

2.35 – Rockalzaro (m1) ES H3 I1 11/4 S3 UP

3.05 – Sharpe Response (nov HcCh) H3  I3 G3 6/4 S4 WON 6/4 

3.35 –

Hit and Run (m1/2) ES H3 6/1 S3  2nd 

Adherence (all Hc’s) ES 20/1 S2 S3  UP

4.05 –

Straidnahanna (all Hc’s, HcCh, m1/1/2) ES+ 2/1 S3A WON 9/4 

No Planning (all Hc’s, HcCh, m1) ES+ I3 G3 7/1 S3A  PU

 

Plumpton

3.50 – Ramore Will (nov HcCh) H3 I1 G3 4/1 S4  UP 5/1 

4.50 –

Ormskirk (m2) 14/1 S2  3rd 16/1 

Be Daring (m1) H3 I3 G3 5/2 S4  2nd 3/1 

 

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KEY

H1/H3 = HorseRaceBase Top Rated or Top 3 Rated (at time of posting)

G1/G3 = Geegeez Gold Speed Ratings (Dr Peter May) Top Rated or Top 3 Rated

I1/I3 =  Inform Racing Speed Ratings – Top Rated or Top 3

14,30 = Geegeez Gold ‘trainer form’ indicators. 14 – 5+ runs last 14 days, 20% win sr OR 51%+ place (inc wins) sr. 30 – 10+ runs last 30 days, 20% win sr OR 51%+ place (inc wins) sr

ES – ‘Elite Squad’ qualifiers:  Flat : HER     Jumps 2017/18HERE>>>

ES + – Elite Squad ‘Plus’ +   (rationale/ angles in link above)

S1-S6 : S = ‘Strategy’ and refers to the ‘advised strategies’ in the link below. S1 = ‘Strategy 1’. Added on morning of racing along with the price.

‘Advised Flat Strategies‘: Flat 2017 Read HERE>>>   (updated to end 12th Nov – End of Flat 2017)

‘Advised Jumps Strategies’: Jumps 2017/18 Read HERE>>>  (updated to end 28th Jan 2018)

Research Articles: (TTP reports/Test Zone/Monthly Articles/Big Meetings Notes/David Peat Profiles) READ HERE>>>

IMPORTANT: Welcome Info  HERE>>> (please read) (inc must watch videos :)) 

Contact: email:  – info@racingtoprofit.co.uk  … or failing that… racingtoprofit@gmail.com 

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2.Any ‘Notes’ (my subjective thoughts/’tips’)

None.

It will be ‘back to normal’ from Tuesday as I’ll take the time to flick through selections properly and attempt to spark my own jumps ‘notes’ performance into life. I have just had a quick flick through (I am shattered…too old for 4am nights out in a row!)… do note that Adherence makes ‘handicap hurdle debut’… Slack is 2/5,+15 with such types… I suspect the market will guide…the break suggests they may have done something with him (clearly not wind as not declared) or he just wasn’t fit for his two novice hurdle runs. He has won on the flat so has some ability. It will be interesting to see how he goes and the market will guide. If he drifts I wouldn’t expect much, if the prices crashes into 8s< or something then strap yourselves in. I should start tracking ‘handicap debutants’ as I’m fairly confident they’d be profitable to back blind…the starting point being they qualify on this page somewhere against my various stats angles etc.

 

3.Micro System Test Zone

D McCain (14/1< guide)

3.05 Catt- Golden Investment (m1+m2) fell

 

No AW quals

4.Any general messages/updates etc

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About This Author

A community committed to making racing fun, enjoyable and profitable in the long term. Josh

17 Comments

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  • Just in case Josh is as pissed as I am (the only way to watch the Reds at times woeful defending, and I’m in the comfort of my armchair), here’s tomorrow’s quals.

    Catterick

    2.35 – Rockalzaro (micro going if soft) ES

    3.05 – Sharpe Response (nov HcCh)

    3.35 – Hit and Run (micro runs, going if soft) ES

    Adherence (all Hc’s) ES

    4.05 – Straidnahanna (all Hc’s, HcCh, micro TJC, class, runs) ES+

    No Planning (all Hc’s, HcCh, micro class) ES+

    Plumpton

    3.50 – Ramore Will (nov HcCh)

    4.50 – Ormskirk (micro runs)

    Be Daring (micro dist)

    Mike

    titus_a_duxass 11/02/18 6:39 PM Reply


    • Also, got a give a BIG thumbs up to Rafa and Jonjo. Superb tactics and a Souness performance.

      titus_a_duxass 11/02/18 6:43 PM Reply


  • Unfortunately a blank day yesterday bringing us back into negative territory for the week. Now I have my PC up and running and data up-to-date here are the results from the last 2 weeks:

    w/c 29 Jan – Staked 53pts, Profit 23pts, ROI 43.4% or £115.00 to £5 stakes
    BFSP – Profit 18.31pts, ROI 34.55% or £91.55 to £5 stakes (5% commission).

    w/c 5 Feb – Staked 69pts, Profit -8.32pts, ROI -12.06% or -£41.62 to £5 stakes
    BFSP – Profit -21.01pts, ROI -30.46% or -£105.07 to £5 stakes.

    January – Staked 271pts, Profit 113.53pts, ROI 41.89% or £567.65 to £5 stakes.

    12 Dec to date – Staked 520pts, Profit £121.73pts, ROI 23.41% or £608.64 to £5 stakes

    Wolves again tomorrow. Qualifiers as follows:
    5.10 Crown Walk 14/1
    5.40 Normandy Blue 12/1 & Battle Lines 6/1
    6.10 Qaffaal 9/1 & Pactolus 5/1
    6.40 Velvet Revolution 5/1
    7.10 Ask The Guru 6/1
    7.40 See Vermont 15/2
    8.40 Idol Deputy 11/1
    1pt win each

    Most of these odds are still available. One or two up and one or two down depending on which bookies you use.

    Good Luck

    Ken McKenzie 11/02/18 8:35 PM Reply


    • Ah if only. Crown Walk is 1.4, not 14/1 🙂

      neilmck 11/02/18 8:37 PM Reply


      • Sorry that should be Dorella 14/1. Crown Walk is not a qualifier.

        Ken McKenzie 12/02/18 7:38 AM Reply


        • Thanks God I read the comments below!

          Nice winner with Dorella, Ken (I got 23 on BF, nice) – was nearly tempted not to bet given the price of the odds on fav but Ive learned that this only inflates the price of the other runners as the herd follow. The penalty looks like it did the trick!

          Josh needs to update the website to add an edit button 🙂

          All the best

          Eamon

          Eamon Roberts 12/02/18 5:35 PM Reply


    • Congratulations on your results to date Ken, very good ROI. Well done and thanks for sharing!

      PAUL 12/02/18 9:34 AM Reply


    • Great start Ken, BFSP was 26.13 for Dorella

      Linda 12/02/18 5:27 PM Reply


      • Well done if you got that Linda. I’ll take 14/1. Hope everyone saw my update this morning.

        Ken McKenzie 12/02/18 5:35 PM Reply


        • Wonder if anyone got anything matched at 1000 in running?

          kevil9 12/02/18 5:39 PM Reply


          • Hi Ken.

            Well done on another good day. I’m wondering if you have any stats on your results if there was a minimum odds range much like Josh’s strategy 1, 10/1 or greater. The reason I ask is there seems to have been a decent number of bigger prices winning. A lot of the selections seem to fall in the 4/1-10/1 range and from what I remember a disproportionate amount by of the longer odds qualifiers seem to win. Might be a way of narrowing down the number of bets. Keep up the good work.

            jamiem 12/02/18 8:17 PM Reply


  • Here we go with today’s very tentative selections, fields are balanced at both 8 runners and if they do drop to 7 the each way option is taken out somewhat, can almost guarantee one will have a non-runner.
    Up to your discretion as to whether you want to do them each way or straight win.
    16:20 Plumpton
    ACHILLE 8/1 gen
    back over hurdles after 2 spins over fences confirmed he doesn`t like them, well treated even off top weight.(claimer takes 7lb off).price is value.
    SARTORIAL ELEGANCE 11/2 gen
    First start since a wind op and has Tom Scudamore riding for Colin Tizzard, Value at 11/2 in this company.

    16:50 Plumpton
    UPHAM RUNNING 5/1 gen
    It`s the Bryony factor on this one, she is winning on anything at the moment, 2nd running back after wind op and 1lb lower also.
    SIXTIES IDOL 8/1 gen
    was hampered crucially just before 3 out when the pace quickened and still made up ground between the last 2 to grab a place,a clear run today will be interesting.

    There you go, do with them what you will, posted at 06:15 before any other tipster is probably out of bed…

    Stewart 12/02/18 6:16 AM Reply


  • the only one that catches my eye today is Hit and Run catt 3-35 @ 6-1 good run lto over c&d and won this race last year.
    might have a small ew on Landscape plum 4-20 @20-1 inconsistent but in with a chance on a going day.

    martin whittle 12/02/18 7:04 AM Reply


    • Hi Martin, Mc Cain won the 3.35 race last year but not with Hit And Run.

      Chris 12/02/18 1:24 PM Reply


  • It is sunny with a light frost in the South East. I would imagine Plumpton will be pudding like going and so you need a horse that stays and stays more.

    I think Kaloci, 2.15, will keep on winning; I would lay Cheque En Blanc in the 4.20. He does not win easy anyway and I think it is getting harder for him now.

    Johnny G sends one to Wolves, 5.40, Orchid Lily. However it is drifting at present and so keep an eye for any money for it before backing.

    Hopefully racing will beat the weather this week and give us some sport? Champions League though again and so some value there I think? Will post thoughts tomorrow.

    Good luck.

    martin colwell 12/02/18 10:08 AM Reply


  • Hello All,
    2 AW qualifiers today, both at Wolves:
    17.40 Michael Attwater System PASSING CLOUDS
    20.40 Rebecca Bastiman System GONE WITH THE WIND

    Chris

    chrisalt 12/02/18 1:13 PM Reply


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