Free Daily Post: 31/12/17 (complete)

TIPS

None.

 

MICRO SYSTEMS/ANGLES

Trainer/Jockey Combo – Live Test

2.35 War – Native Robin (9/1<)

2.25 Uttox- Town Parks (12/1<)

Kerry Lee (12/1<)

2.25 Uttox- Town Parks

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Below I have repeated a ‘tip’ from today’s Members’ Post…

Test/trial  : ‘NOTES’  (01/09/17-) (31/175, +111.75) (1 point win bets)

NOTES

3.10 Warwick – Colt Lightening – 6/1 (gen) PU

*oh well I can only conclude he’s hated the going there- he has never really looked comfortable. A bit green/pulling early but he was being niggled as they headed out for the final circuit. I can only think it was the going which was the unknown. With any luck he’ll be a bigger price if/when reappearing on better ground! Beaten long before any lack of ability etc. 

One from the test zone today but if you just backed every Lacey qualifier that had this sort of profile you’d do just fine over time. Well, that’s what the evidence suggests so far. This one is unexposed over hurdles and is doing a couple of things different – namely making handicap hurdle debut (trainer 8/25,12p with hncp debutants,+36 – a micro in itself) and the horse moves up in trip by 3f, which is another of Lacey’s successful methods. He drops into a class 5 here and ‘could be anything’ now he goes handicapping. He could just be moderate and his mark needs to come down a few more pounds. Or he has plenty in hand. Heavy ground is an unknown to most in here but he has been pitched into a very weak race on paper. Lacey continues in fine form also, 6/21,10 places in the last 30 days, 4/10,6p the last 14. Fair to say they are going well. He ticks all the boxes here for the ‘magic formula’ (stats qualifier/unexposed/doing something different) and at 6s is a must for me. I get the impression he’ll be winning a weak handicap soon enough (Carlisle run two starts ago looked ‘interesting’ and last race looked decent enough, he kept going at least), possibly on better ground, but i’m guessing there. Price, in the context of his profile/this race, allows the play.

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GL with any bets,

Josh

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A community committed to making racing fun, enjoyable and profitable in the long term. Josh

3 Comments

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  • i respect your pick and reasoning in the 3.10 josh but ive backed CHANDOS BELLE in the same race same sort of price now 11/2 was 8/1 my reasoning chandos will properly like the going and is dropping in class trainer jockey in good form a weak race and colts last race against dont ask in my eyes is poor form but i will play a r/fc on the two because of your take on the race good luck antony

    antony church 31/12/17 12:55 PM Reply


  • MICRO SYSTEMS/ANGLES

    Trainer/Jockey Combo – Live Test

    2.35 War – Native Robin (9/1<)

    2.25 Uttox- Town Parks (12/1<)

    Amazing Josh, two big priced winners there.

    Cheers and happy new year to you.

    Nigel

    Nigel Barnes 31/12/17 2:48 PM Reply


    • No problem Nigel, yep a good afternoon for those… the price limits always a guide, late drift on Native Robin technically took him out of range but that won’t matter if you backed him! 🙂
      Town Parks – the Kerry Lee angles are the best/most consistent on the free micros front- need to go through them all next week for results in 2017, but they have added a good wedge. Horse was lightly raced over fences, first run on heavy seems to have done the trick.

      Josh 31/12/17 2:54 PM Reply


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