Members Daily Post: 27/11/17 (complete)

1.All Qualifiers Against Stats Pack/Ratings Pointers

2.Any ‘Notes’ (my subjective thoughts/’tips’)

3.Micro System Test Zone

4.Any general messages/updates etc

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1.All Qualifiers Against Stats Pack/Ratings Pointers

Ludlow

2.45 – Number One London (all hncps) ES I3 G3 11/2  S3  PU

Kempton

2.30 – Forever Field (m1) 14,30 8/1 UP

3.05 – Le Dauphin (m2) 14,30 I3 12/1  S2 S5  UP

3.35 – Cool Macavity (m2) 14,30 H3 I1 9/4   UP

 

 

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KEY

H1/H3 = HorseRaceBase Top Rated or Top 3 Rated (at time of posting)

G1/G3 = Geegeez Gold Speed Ratings (Dr Peter May) Top Rated or Top 3 Rated

I1/I3 =  Inform Racing Speed Ratings – Top Rated or Top 3

14,30 = Geegeez Gold ‘trainer form’ indicators. 14 – 5+ runs last 14 days, 20% win sr OR 51%+ place (inc wins) sr. 30 – 10+ runs last 30 days, 20% win sr OR 51%+ place (inc wins) sr

ES – ‘Elite Squad’ qualifiers:  Flat : HER     Jumps 2017/18HERE>>>

ES + – Elite Squad ‘Plus’ +   (rationale/ angles in link above)

S1-S6 : S = ‘Strategy’ and refers to the ‘advised strategies’ in the link below. S1/’Strategy 1′. Added on morning of racing along with the price.

‘Advised Flat Strategies‘: Flat 2017 Read HERE>>>   (updated to end 12th Nov – End of Flat 2017)

‘Advised Jumps Strategies’: Jumps 2017/18 Read HERE>>>  (updated to end 19th Nov)

All Members’ Research Articles: (TTP reports/Test Zone/Monthly Articles/Big Meetings Notes/David Peat Profiles) READ HERE>>>

IMPORTANT: Welcome Info – all  HERE>>> (please flick through,esp if new) 

Contact: email:  – info@racingtoprofit.co.uk  … or failing that… racingtoprofit@gmail.com 

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2.Any ‘Notes’ (my subjective thoughts/’tips’)

Test/trial  : ‘NOTES’  (01/09/17-) (27/144, +116.5) (1 point win bets)

 

Nothing today, none of those leaping out at me, for tipping purposes, at the prices.

 

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3.Micro System Test Zone

Paddy Watch

I will add this micro to the research repository post, and specify the different angles…for now…

2.15 Lud – Waldon Prince (chase inc track exp) (14/1< guide) ‘DNQ’ 3rd 33/1

3.20 Lud – The Artful Cobbler (chases) (14/1< guide) WON 6/1>7/2 

 

4.Any general messages/updates etc

Weekly Results Update:Advised Strategies

Summary

Weekly TOTAL (advised strategies) (all Jumps now): 

  • Backing all strategy quals every time they hit a strategy: 6/46,14p, -23.45 
  • Backing all strategy quals just once, regardless of how many strategies they hit: 4/32,11p, -18
  • S1 (0/5,1p, -5) S2 (0/13,1p, -13) S3 (1/8,2p, -2.5) S3A (2/7,4p, +1.25) S4 (3/10,6p, +1.3) S5 (0/3,0p, -3)

 

NOTES: 0/5,0p, -5

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About This Author

A community committed to making racing fun, enjoyable and profitable in the long term. Josh

12 Comments

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  • Muthabir Kempton 15:05 1pt e/w-Muthabir looks a solid bet here. He rarely runs a bad race and has been running consistently. Now only 1lb above his last winning mark with the jockey taking off 5lb. All his wins are right handed and on his last run at the track he was a close 6th in a much better race than this. Expecting him to be there or thereabouts. Trainer could be in better form but all his runners sent off at single figures have ran well.

    Nick Mazur 26/11/17 8:27 PM Reply


    • Considering Sky are paying 3 places on a 7 runner race and 3 of the 7 are having their first run of the season I have had a small £5 ew bet on Prairie Town in the last at Kempton who is down to a nice mark and was a solid enough performer in class 3s and weak class 2s last season off higher marks.

      Nick Mazur 27/11/17 12:52 PM Reply


    • Volt Face-Kempton 14:30 1pt e/w-I was looking at this one last night but wasn’t happy with the price but it has now drifted to 13/2 so need to be bet. Tipped up by Josh 2 starts ago at the track when I just managed to pip him with Exitas who has gone on to win a listed race and was than placed in a class 2 off 18lbs higher. The 3rd who was 14 lengths back also won NTO. Was fav NTO but I think 2m is too sharp for him. Goes back up in distance here which is a plus (was 2nd to Shelford over 3m only beaten 7l off level weights earlier this year) and returns to Kempton. He has placed in all 3 starts on flat tracks. His two wins have come with cut in the ground so you could argue the rain will have improved his chances. Hopefully Burke can get him out front here. Longsdon is 3/11, 4p +18 in handicap chases here in the past 2 years. I would be disappointed if he is out of the first three although given my luck right now will probably be a first fence faller.

      Nick Mazur 27/11/17 2:13 PM Reply


    • Magnificent pick Nick, very well done!!

      Paul 27/11/17 3:21 PM Reply


      • Thanks. Nice to get my first winner in over a week. Prairie managed to sneak in 3rd at 20/1 as well. Volt finished where all good e/w bets do.

        Nick Mazur 27/11/17 3:45 PM Reply


    • Thank you very much Nick appreciated

      Aaron Lumsden 27/11/17 4:05 PM Reply


  • Looking at tomorrow’s section 1 runners COOL MACAVITY 3:35 Kempton may have been unlucky last time out when fell.
    Looking through the cards DANCE FLOOR KING 2:30 Kempton looks interesting at 7/1 since 2013 Daryl Jacob Distances of less than 2m5f 48/110 | 44% S/R | +£79.50 BFLSP front running horses

    Warren bottomley 26/11/17 11:04 PM Reply


  • 3.05 Kempton
    Royalraise 18/1
    Chaser, FTO a Hurdle run, GS, Distance winner J: Leighton Aspell, T: Oliver Sherwood, Quick.

    2.15 Ludlow
    Truckers Highway 16/1
    3rd run of new season, 2X wins, CD winner C4, GS, Quick.

    Edmund Brooke 27/11/17 2:15 AM Reply


    • Royalraise, 7th Ran out of Puff.
      Entered Thur 1.40 Towester.

      Truckers Highway, 18/1>9/2, Fell when leading.

      Edmund Brooke 27/11/17 6:17 PM Reply


  • Nicky Henderson’s runners haven’t been quite ready until Saturday when the stable notched a 33% SR. A team of eight out today and value to be found with the longer priced ones (at favoured Kempton):-
    230K Forever Field – had a 2 month break before last run, back on easy going
    305K Le Dauphin – new trip to suit breeding
    335K Milzipa – drop in trip may help

    chrisrees 27/11/17 5:41 AM Reply


    • I’ve learnt that Milzipa has had a wind op. and is working better now.
      The other two are not much fancied by the yard, it seems.
      105L Protek des Flos will like the going, soft, g-s, on the chase course and has schooled well.

      chrisrees 27/11/17 9:08 AM Reply


  • The 5/1 for Clenagh Castle in the 3.20 LUD seems OK value to me? No weight compared to the other fancied horses. Not much else of value really. You would have thought that Jers Girl would win if the horse is making the journey over to KP.

    martin colwell 27/11/17 10:18 AM Reply


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