Members Daily Post: 20/10/17 (complete)

1.All Qualifiers Against Stats Pack/Ratings Pointers

2.Any ‘Notes’ (‘bet of the day’ + any other notes)

3.Micro System Test Zone

4.Any general messages/updates etc

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1.All Qualifiers Against Stats Pack/Ratings Pointers

FLAT 

Redcar

3.10 – The Navigator (2YO) ES 16/1 S3 3rd 14/1

 

Haydock (abandoned)

 

 

JUMPS

Fakenham

None

Wincanton

2.15 – Gentleman Jon (hncp chase) ES+ H3 5/1 S3 UP 

2.50-

Garo De Juilley (hncp hurdle + micro hncp h debut) 14,30 ES+ 3/1 S3 2nd 8/1

Ivors Queen (micro age) ES H3 16/1 S2, S3 UP

General Ginger (micro age) 8/1 UP 8/1>7/2

4.35 –

Sir Dylan (all hncps) 20/1 S2 UP

The Last But One (hncp hurdle + micro hncp h debut+dist) 14,30 ES+ 10/3 S3 UP

Vendredi Trios (hncp hurdle) I3 G1 13/2   UP

 

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KEY

H1/H3 = HorseRaceBase Top Rated or Top 3 Rated (at time of posting)

G1/G3 = Geegeez Gold Speed Ratings (Dr Peter May) Top Rated or Top 3 Rated

I1/I3 =  Inform Racing Speed Ratings – Top Rated or Top 3

14,30 = Geegeez Gold ‘trainer form’ indicators. 14 – 5+ runs last 14 days, 20% win sr OR 51%+ place (inc wins) sr. 30 – 10+ runs last 30 days, 20% win sr OR 51%+ place (inc wins) sr

ES – ‘Elite Squad’ qualifiers:  Flat : HER     Jumps 2017/18HERE>>>

ES + – Elite Squad ‘Plus’ +  :  Minimum 10 winners, 25% or bigger win strike rate (angles in link above)

‘Advised Flat Strategies‘: Flat 2017 Read HERE>>>   (updated 8th Oct)

‘Advised Jumps Strategies’: Jumps 2017/18 Read HERE>>>  (updated 8th Oct)

Test Zone:  | CD Jockeys: Read HERE>>>| Irish Angles: Read HERE>>> C Appleby/York Ebor: Read HERE>>> |NTD Sept/Oct: Read HERE>>>

IMPORTANT: Welcome Email/Note: READ HERE>>>   Welcome VIDEO: Watch HERE>>> (long!) Brief’ Welcome Intro: Watch HERE>>>

Main Stats Guides (used for section 1 quals) : Summer Stats: Read HERE>>> | JUMPS 2017/18: Read HERE>>>>

Contact: email:  – info@racingtoprofit.co.uk  … or failing that… racingtoprofit@gmail.com 

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2.Any ‘Notes’ (‘bet of the day’ + any other notes)

Test/trial : Bet of The Day…  (Flat: 7/77,28p, -8.1) (Jumps: 9/66, +23.5) (total: 17/150, +15.6)  ‘NOTES’  (01/09/17-) (22/102, +97.5)

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Nothing today, none at the odds really jumping out at me for purpose of the ‘notes’ anyway. Another decent 10/1 winner for those yesterday kept things ticking over, also won for S2 over jumps. Its always fun when a jumps race is effectively over after 3 fences…as soon as WK got the easy lead and pinged the first few I thought game over, esp as we knew he stayed further. A joy to watch. The ‘bet of the day’…well that was agony…I thought he was just going to sweep past but has been out-stayed in the end I think. Again it looked softer than ideal but who knows. No real excuses. He ran his race and is clearly at the more moderate end of the scale! Backing 7/1 shots at 20s/16s/12s is the way to do it long term. 

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3.Micro System Test Zone

None.

 

4.Any general messages/updates etc

Freebie…

Those of you who saw my email on Thursday (I’ll proof read the next one, that was littered with errors, awful) will have seen that Gavin Priestley has been giving away a quality freebie. It is a very good read. And his ‘Route 66’ idea is fascinating and something that gets the brain thinking. You can grab your copy HERE>>> His is one of the handful of email lists you should be on/blogs you should read, if you don’t already. Always quality content and thankfully his main approach is now quite a bit different from what I do!! 🙂 (Matt B, then himself, the founding members of the ‘trainer track stats’ approach, albeit I have long since put my own twist on it/always been very different…but without them I wouldn’t be such an anorak on that front)

 

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About This Author

A community committed to making racing fun, enjoyable and profitable in the long term. Josh

26 Comments

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  • Haydock Park has been abandoned

    John Welsh 19/10/17 6:53 PM Reply


  • If you are with Matt, just tell him I have just done SOD. Without giving anything away its the first time I have had a bet in that type of race for years, as I always thought conventional wisdom was to steer clear of them and I am 72. Well done with the McCain horse today wchich helped. I didnt back the Burke 20/1 poke due to his poor (red gg )course stats, and after Laurens which I did on Saturday I am kicking myself Should current form override course form ???discuss

    Tony Tolhurst 19/10/17 6:55 PM Reply


    • All about the odds Tony. At a certain price you can overlook plenty..albeit Burke was in red hot form before that big winner.

      Josh 19/10/17 9:32 PM Reply


  • First info..and this is quite unprofessional… I have missed a train for the first time ever…about 1 min late for the last train back to Liverpool. Someone will put me up. Bear with me in the morning 🙂

    Josh 19/10/17 9:31 PM Reply


    • I saw someone sleeping in the bus shelters at Euston station wearing a Liverpool beany hat and wrapped in a copy of the Daily Mail. Was it you?

      martin colwell 20/10/17 9:22 AM Reply


      • dougandnicky 20/10/17 9:31 AM Reply


      • haha, nope! Thankfully someone put me up for the evening! Just about to start my journey back north now, back in time to start looking at tomorrow’s cards etc. Albeit this train ticket isn’t as cheap as last nights, will need to find a winner!

        Josh 20/10/17 9:55 AM Reply


  • Hi, My first post here and I’d like to share a little micro system and qualifier for Friday’s racing

    David Pipe runners in class 4 Novice Chases over 3m to 3m 4f on good or good to firm going

    17 runners 8 winners 32.33 points profit and an ROI of over 190%.

    with a price stipulation of between 3/1 and 16/1 it cuts the bets down to
    11 runners 4 winners 28 points profit and an ROI of 254%

    Chris McIlfatrick 19/10/17 11:25 PM Reply


    • Is your qualifier, Red Square Revival, 325W?
      If so this is a h’cap for novices, not a novice chase.
      I’d also be concerned about the deteriorating going as it was already on the soft side of good at midday and they were due some heavy rain this evening, the course reported.
      Hope that helps?

      chrisrees 20/10/17 12:36 AM Reply


      • Thanks Chris, yes that’s the one I was referring to.
        The micro includes novice handicap chases and novice chases I believe.

        Chris Mcilfatrick 20/10/17 1:58 PM Reply


    • Cheers Chris.. a nice little micro to put away…Thanks.

      Tony Mc.

      tonymc 20/10/17 1:27 PM Reply


  • 2.15 wincanton dance floor king ….one for david’s horse profiles today ?

    steve 20/10/17 10:05 AM Reply


    • Also Jacob has impressive S/R on Front Runners

      Jack 20/10/17 10:35 AM Reply


      • You’ve read the same superb report from Ben A that I have! 🙂 will be sending it out to list next week. Great read. Think he used proform for that,can’t do such research in HRB.

        Josh 20/10/17 11:15 AM Reply


        • It’s a excellent report. Some great stats in it!

          Jack 20/10/17 12:24 PM Reply


  • General Ginger being heavily backed after 500+ day absence, interesting. Someone must know something

    jamesp 20/10/17 10:10 AM Reply


    • He has some quite handy form….but what i noticed was quite a bit of it was behind Nicholls horses

      Jack Houston 20/10/17 10:58 AM Reply


  • Friday nights Dundalk meeting for me means looking for a war front that will potentially improve on the surface. Red avenger seems to run every week and is now down to a workable mark in the 630, so will watch out for him. Of more interest in the same race is AoB’s Cenotaph. Was impressive in his maiden win the only time he has run at the track and has excuses lto on soft at goodwood. I thought the 4th at the curragh in class 3 type event 2 runs ago gives him a chance tonight with potential to improve back at Dundalk. 9/1 . Good luck

    jamesm 20/10/17 10:59 AM Reply


  • Jamesm- I agree he did stand out to me as well….competitive race, Hugo Palmers wouldnt be without a chance for me either!

    Jack Houston 20/10/17 11:29 AM Reply


  • Here’s to a Nicholls brigade spectacular in the West Country today!

    Not a fan of the bloke but hope he’s gone to Wincanton on a mission today.

    aallen 20/10/17 11:55 AM Reply


  • It’s a shame there are only 7 runners in the 2.40 Fakenham…
    At 16/1 Occasionally Yours would have been a good EW bet….but only 7 runners
    although it has won 6 times on the going…8 placings & 5 class wins….
    Is the going still good with all the rain does anyone know?

    Tony Mc

    tonymc 20/10/17 1:16 PM Reply


  • Garo De Juilly is a rogue i suspect!

    Jack Houston 20/10/17 2:56 PM Reply


    • A right monkey, looked winner all day long in final couple of furlongs. You wouldn’t trust that one moving forwards, will need a special ride/all those in front to fall into a hole!

      Josh 20/10/17 2:57 PM Reply


  • somehow nicholls horses never run for me !

    steve 20/10/17 3:22 PM Reply


    • Perhaps he will pay you not to back them? Were you on on Orbasa in the 2.15? Ian from SP2A put it up as his only bet today.

      martin colwell 20/10/17 4:04 PM Reply


      • I got 15/2 Martin on Ian’s advice…missed 8s…but a nice touch.

        Tony Mc.

        tonymc 20/10/17 5:02 PM Reply


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