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  • I seem to be running bad right now so take these with a pinch of salt but there are three I like tomorrow. Firstly there are too many reasons why Earls Fort doesn’t deserve to be the outsider of the field in the 16:35 at Worcester. Both Mulholland and Fehily are in great form at the moment. The horse has been dying for a step up in trip based on his hurdles runs and is put up an extra 3.5f here. (Trainer is 3/8, 4p +32 in chases when a horse is stepped up between 3f and 4.5f this year) Its also significant that this is Fehily’s only ride of the day given his record when he has just the one ride at the track and is riding for Mulholland this summer reads 24121221. The horse has been dropped 14lbs for his two chase runs and is now below his last winning hurdle mark. Given he had been ridden prominently or led during his best hurdle form it appears he has been held up by design to get him to learn the ropes. There doesn’t appear to be a massive amount of pace so I am hoping they ride him more prominently here.

    I also like the chances of Salvatore Fury in the 15:50 at Catterick. Now 8lbs below his last winning mark (actually went close off 18lbs higher last November) and they finally put the cheekpieces back on which have been present for all his wins. He is 2/9, 6p in class 6 flat handicaps and 2/8, 7p in flat handicaps in August. He has won on his only start over course and distance. The booking of Graham Lee is eye-catching given he has an excellent 13/55, 23p in handicaps this season including 6/19, 9p in August.

    Lastly in what looks a terrible race I want a bet on Brother In Arms in the 20:55 at Kempton. He didn’t stay the 1m 2 starts ago and didn’t handle soft ground LTO in a race which has worked out very well (1st and 2nd have won since and 4th has won twice). The 6th in that race was only a neck ahead and is the 5/2 favourite here despite being 5lbs worse off. That horse didn’t appear to enjoy this track whilst our selection won comfortably the last time he was at the track. On top of that he gets a massive jockey upgrade with Jim Crowley taking the ride. He is only 1lb higher than that Kempton win. He gets a nice draw in 3 and hopefully should be able to get a decent position tomorrow.

    Nick Mazur 29/08/17 10:48 PM Reply


    • Hi Nick, thanks for your thoughts. I had a good word for Brother In Arms last night and so had a few quid on. More or less said the same as you. Good luck.

      martin colwell 30/08/17 9:50 AM Reply


  • after watching the 5-00 ripon yesterday i’ll be keeping an eye out for when Venutius runs again , badly hampered when coming to challenge and jockey eased him right down when chance had gone.

    martin whittle 30/08/17 1:07 AM Reply


  • On this rainy day with low grade racing I have taken an early look at the football coming up over the next few days. It has been hard to find vale but here go some thoughts:

    On Thursday Bulgaria are strong at home and poor away, Therefore the 4/1 available at home to Sweden may be value?

    On Friday USA at home to Costa Rica should be a banker at 4/5.

    On Saturday Spain v Italy should be low scoring and the draw at 9/4 may be best? Blackpool are going well at home and go off at 5/4 v AFC Wimbledon; Southend are usually strong at home and are 11/10 v a struggling Rochdale; Peterborough are also in form and if you can get 2/1 + away to Doncaster it may be worth a punt?

    Good luck.

    martin colwell 30/08/17 4:51 PM Reply


  • Martin my tip of the Internationals is
    Lithuania to beat Scotland 4/1 on an artifical pitch 5000 capacity ground.
    Scotland struggled against them at home. They seem to struggle against the smaller countries.
    I will put your Bulgaria in with Lithuania for a wee double singles as well.

    GL

    Mike

    mickeydee 30/08/17 5:37 PM Reply


    • That may be a good call Mickey. Scotland did not look bad against England and need the win but I accept that they are no world beaters and struggle away on occasion.

      martin colwell 30/08/17 5:50 PM Reply


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