Members Daily Post: SAT 01/07/17 (complete)

1.All Qualifiers Against Stats Pack/Ratings Pointers

2.Any ‘Notes’ (‘bet of the day’ + any other notes)

3.Micro System Test Zone

4.Any general messages/updates etc

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1.All Qualifiers Against Stats Pack/Ratings Pointers

FLAT 

Chester

None.

 

York

2.30 – Sainted (micro age) 30 G1 6/4

 

Newmarket (July)

4.20 – Melodic Motion (all hncps+ micro runs) H1 I3  9/4

5.30 – Shaaqaaf (3yo+) H3 I3 G3 3/1

 

Windsor

3.55 – Desert God (all hncps) 14,30 8/1

5.00-

Sayem (all hncps) I3 9/1

Funky Footsteps (3yo+) 12/1

Dance Teacher (micro runs) G1

 

Lingfield

7.40 – Beepeecee (micro class)  14,30  H3 4/1

 

Doncaster

5.55 – Hanseatic (micro age) G3  14/1

 

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H1/H3 = HorseRaceBase Top Rated or Top 3 Rated (at time of posting)

G1/G3 = Geegeez Gold Speed Ratings (Dr Peter May) Top Rated or Top 3 Rated

I1/I3 =  Inform Racing Speed Ratings – Top Rated or Top 3

14,30 = Geegeez Gold ‘trainer form’ indicators. 14 – 5+ runs last 14 days, 20% win sr OR 51%+ place (inc wins) sr. 30 – 10+ runs last 20 days, 20% win sr OR 51%+ place (inc wins) sr

ES – ‘Elite Squad’ qualifiers from the report HERE

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2.Any ‘Notes’ (‘bet of the day’ + any other notes)

Bet of The Day…  (test) (Flat: 4/29,15p, +6.6) (Jumps: 8/55, +24.5) (total: 12/84, +31.1)

 

3.55 Windsor- Desert God – 1 point win 10/1 – (PP/BV/SJ/Betstars)

I don’t know what to say about this one other than he ‘could be anything’ He was a star in India, winning their Derby and numerous other races worth a fair old chunk of cash. I’ll be honest – I don’t know the Indian racing scene very well. I couldn’t tell you if winning the Indian Derby is like winning a C3 at Yarmouth! I have no idea. In that scenario you want a price, and we get that here. He could be rated a few pounds too high, he could actually be very good and hack up. I think you can make excuses for his Dubai runs. The market will no doubt guide. Richard Hughes is in the form of his training career to date- 8/32,15p last 14 days, 14/66,29 last 30. He is 3/28 with flat handicappers returning after 60+ days off but of some interest is 2/4 with those types at Windsor. At 10/1 there is enough juice there to roll the dice, and roll it I shall.

 

5.00 Windsor- Funky Footsteps – 1 point win – 12/1 (WH/BetF/BV/SJ)

It is hard to resist this one at a double figure price on just the 6th start of her life. Her run the last day was a bit underwhelming but it was her first start of the season and she looked a tad keen through the first part of the race. I also don’t know what her best going is – she won her novice on soft and maybe connections thought that’s what she wanted. Her next two starts on a decent surface didn’t go well but one was a C2 and it could be the trip, on that going, did for her. She looks like she may well stay further than this in time and her breeding would suggest as much. They return to a track where she ran an ok race last season, fading in the last 75 yards over 1/2 furlong further than today. It could be she didn’t pick up in the ground also. Anyway, there is a bit to go on. She is unexposed and could/should be fitter than for last time out. She was 16/1 that day and wasn’t fancied by all accounts. It is hard to say she can’t get involved here. She may prove that she does need a deep surface but at 12s she is worth a dart for me.

Sayem- it would be typical for her to beat me here, and I may have a saver- but on balance I prefer the one above, and at the time of writing was generally around 4 points bigger. I don’t think they know what her best trip is. For me at Leicester two starts ago she looked to be out-stayed over 7f, albeit it was a C4. They then dropped her back in trip where she was sent of fav and didn’t run well. And now they step up back up another 2f to 8f. Trainer/Jockey are 0/15,7p in handicaps, maybe they are due a winner and there could be some pace for JS to aim at. She is unexposed, so nothing would surprise, and is ‘doing something different’ in trying this trip for the first time. We shall see if I have ‘tipped’ the right one. Don’t let those thoughts put you off if you like her chance.

 

 

We have a few Curragh darts and the start of the Mark Johnston July experiment to interest us also…

 

 

AOB Curragh

2.00-

Battle of Jericho (micro 2) 9/4

Fleet Review (micro 2) 10/1

US Navy Flag (notes) 8/1

4.10 – Asking (micro 1) 10/1

4.40 – Rostropovich (notes) 14/1

5.20 –

Capri (notes) 10/1

Taj Mahal (micro 1) 40/1

 

3.Micro System Test Zone

July Trainer (any odds,bigger the better) (link below)

3.05 York – Teofonic – 20/1

3.30 Newc – Jaameh – 11/1

4.00 Chest – Hochfeld – 4/1

 

4.Any general messages/updates etc

July Trainer: Post/Report HERE>>>

 

ELITE SQUAD… The flat ‘qualifiers’ are now 20 bets / 5 wins / 6 w|p / 25% sr / +2  .. over the first few days. Winners at 2/1,9/2,9/2,5/2,7/2. With any luck they keep up that SR as if they do that profit figure will only go one way. Early days. 

Jumps, both ‘winter’ and ‘summer’ are 0/10, 1 place.

 

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About This Author

A community committed to making racing fun, enjoyable and profitable in the long term. Josh

20 Comments

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  • If you are like me and tired of the flat there is some respite on Sunday,with a good race card at Uttoxeter(including horses we have heard of before) and a mini festival at Perth midweek.

    gearoid180468 30/06/17 6:57 PM Reply


    • I’ve been looking forward to the Summer Cup. Sadly doesn’t look as simple as last year when half the field was out of the handicap.

      nickmazur 30/06/17 7:01 PM Reply


      • Yep no stats/trends to ‘help’ either really, relatively new race. A head scratcher.

        Josh 01/07/17 11:31 AM Reply


        • You have 5 years worth of trends on HRB Josh so there is something.

          nickmazur 01/07/17 11:32 AM Reply


          • Hmm yea have seen those, but that is a small enough sample- and even more so as you say with last year’s race X being out of the handicap. 7 year olds are 3/15 runners, 6 places, +28. That’s interesting enough given no runners etc. I wouldn’t want to be tied to any stats, most are x from 10-20 runners etc.

            Josh 01/07/17 11:37 AM Reply


    • I agree….The flat gets up my nose mainly…. I love over the sticks….proper racing. lol.
      Tony Mc.

      tonymc 01/07/17 1:26 PM Reply


  • Ive backed Berea Boru @ 25/1 e/w with Bet365 (also went in again @ 20/1) Bowen is already on the “radar” on here with 7 winners from last 17 … on a nice mark with young Bowens claim and wont be an issue if the rain gets in ….

    joners 01/07/17 8:31 AM Reply


  • Should have mentioned also , it was NRNB in the summer cup for Berea Boru 🙂

    joners 01/07/17 8:33 AM Reply


    • Yet to look at that race Joners, but I no doubt will! BB been on my radar for a while- mainly as he loves heavy – now 5/8,+27 LSP all runs on heavy, 0/15,4p the rest albeit some ok runs on a decent surface. I thought with that record,and his record at Chepstow,that he may be one for the Welsh National one day – I think I backed him in last year’s Scottish National as well when running no sort of race.
      Many a pointing/jockey expert suggest that this ‘younger bowen’ may well end up being a much better jockey than Sean. So, one to watch. Very talented.

      Josh 01/07/17 8:39 AM Reply


  • Quantity over quality today, but a new month and new micros to follow.

    Some small stake selections – 3.00 Nc I Am Not Here; 3.35Y Instant Attraction; 3.30Nc Higher Power; 7.40 Lp Tennessee Rose; 8.55 Don The New Pharoah.

    Good luck.

    martin colwell 01/07/17 11:23 AM Reply


    • I also like I am Not Here in the 15:00 at Newcastle. I am also on Normal Equilibrium in the 16:35 at Chester and have had a small bet on Drumochter in the 16:15 at York given the form of his last race although today might not be the day.

      nickmazur 01/07/17 11:31 AM Reply


      • Cracking Franny Norton ride to bail me out and keep things going in the right direction.

        nickmazur 01/07/17 4:52 PM Reply


      • Well played Nick

        joners 01/07/17 5:04 PM Reply


  • What a terrible incompetent ride given to I am not here….It’s fate was sealed a long way out. Grrr.

    tonymc 01/07/17 3:06 PM Reply


  • excellent day so far with still a few to go 🙂

    martin whittle 01/07/17 5:19 PM Reply


    • split some of the AOB and July trainer micro’s between this and my fun account,on this account 6 winners,staked 39pts returns 106.28pts ,up 67.28pts.
      after a slight downturn profit back up to +225.57pts

      martin whittle 01/07/17 9:51 PM Reply


  • Nice result for the O’Brien – Heffernan micro 2/2; 7/1 and 8/1. Nice one Josh, I owe you a a few pints.

    martin colwell 01/07/17 5:47 PM Reply


  • Team Racing To Profit have had it right off today haha. I’ve lost count of the winners. The only ‘downside’ was not ‘tipping’ Sayem but hope you may have had a saver! AOB angles winners 8/1 10/1 10/1, MJ July +2, 60+ day angle on free post +7 on day. Nick chipping in as did Chris on free post. Saturdays don’t really get better than that. Hope you backed one or two of those. Or more. 🙂 Wallop.

    Josh 01/07/17 6:00 PM Reply


  • Tomorrow’s post will be up Sunday morning by 11am latest. Nothing else tonight as I am out. Will try not too drink too many bottles of Malbec 🙂 Back Sunday.

    Josh 01/07/17 6:19 PM Reply


    • Have a good night Josh, been a cracking day with the winners I’ve got from here and a few of my own.

      Enjoy your well deserved bottles of Malbec 😉

      Gavin 01/07/17 7:32 PM Reply


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