Scottish Sprint Cup (handicap)
16/17 Top 8 LTO
16/17 Age 4-6
10 Years (last 10 at Muss,exc 2008 run at York)
10/10 Top 8 LTO
10/10 Age 4-6
10/10 1-7 career wins
9/10 Top 3 at least once last 3 starts
1 run only this season: 0/28,3p (fresh or ‘hard fit’ seems best)
Track LTO: Epsom – 0/25,8p
Trainers: No multiple winners last 10 years: Barron 0/11,3p, Goldie 0/14,1p
Age 4-6, Top 8 LTO, 1-7 career wins… leaves.. (well just the first two of those stats..)
Orion’s Bow / Harry Hurricane / El Astronaute / Gameson
Harry Hurricane wasn’t top 3 on any of last three runs and has only had one run this turf season, both slight negatives. El A + Gameson tick both those boxes albeit the former ran at Epsom LTO,but the place stats are decent from a small enough sample, Orion’s Bow hasn’t been top 3 on any of last three runs but has had 2+ runs this season.
This looks tricky. Most of the pace seems low to me, with Stepper Point, El Astronaute and Caspian Prince all that side. But over this CD they all seem to come to the nearside from memory which means this three will likely be up the middle of the track. Those drawn 6 or lower have won 4 of the last 10. It’s not impossible these three are doing battle from some way out- the question is whether they keep going or set it up for a closer.
Orion’s Bow is the only out and out pace drawn high but he has been running/winning over 6f most of his recent career and I don’t know if this drop back to 5f on decent ground will suit him. If he can get out and bag the rail he should keep going but something is niggling at me, over this specialist distance. It’s his first try over 5f on turf I think and he is on a career high mark, even with the claim. Last win off 97.
El Atronaute – well he ran well the last day but did run in a way which suggests the capper may have him. In any case it looks like he needs more, which could be possible.
For the test tips i will go with…
Gamesome – 1 point win – 9/1 / 8/1 UP
Harry Hurricane – 1 point win – 11/1 , 10/1 2nd, painful- hit front too soon albeit one of those
Both of these will need luck in running and are probably ok EW wagers. They will need the odd gap and both would have been closer in their runs LTO had they had clear runs. They both seem in ok form and tick most of the boxes. No doubt one of the other two will win and I will be cursing for not going 1 point on each.
Do with that as you please.
That is all for Saturday.