Members Daily Post: 22/05/17 (upd2)

1.All Qualifiers Against Stats Pack/Ratings Pointers 

2.Any ‘Notes’ (‘bet of the day’ + any other notes)

3.Any general messages/updates etc

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1.All Qualifiers Against Stats Pack/Ratings Pointers 

FLAT 

Redcar

4.10 –

Khamaary (all/3yo+) H1,I1 7/4 WON 11/10

Cabal (micro TJC) H3,I3,G3 14/1 3rd 12/1

Mama Africa (micro class) 14/1 2nd 

Sunnua (micro runs) I3, G1  14/1 UP

 

Carlisle

2.20 – Magic Mark (2YO) 13/2 3rd 9/2

6.00 – Medina Sidonia (micro age) G3 8/1 UP 8/1

 

Windsor

6.55 – Perfect Quest (4yo+, + micro runs) H1 7/2 2nd 

 

Leicester

none.

 

JUMPS

Towcester

3.00 –

Vice Et Vertu (all hncps+micro age) 14,30 I3 10/1 WON 10/1>3/1

Clubs Are Trumps (micro dist) I3 8/1 UP

 

Bonus

8.15 Punch – Emigrated (all hncps) 9/1 UP 16/1

 

KEY:

H1/H3 = HorseRaceBase Top Rated or Top 3 Rated (at time of posting)

G1/G3 = Geegeez Gold Speed Ratings (Dr Peter May) Top Rated or Top 3 Rated

I1/I3 =  Inform Racing Speed Ratings – Master Rating+Average Rating (M+A) Top Rated or Top 3

14,30 = Geegeez Gold ‘trainer form’ indicators. 14 – 5+ runs last 14 days, 20% win sr OR 51%+ place (inc wins) sr. 30 – 10+ runs last 20 days, 20% win sr OR 51%+ place (inc wins) sr

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2.Any ‘Notes’ (‘bet of the day’ + any other notes)

Bet of The Day…  (test) (Flat: 2/12,9p, +10.8) (Jumps: 8/51, +28.5) (total: 10/63, +39.3)

 

6.00 Carlisle – Medina Sidonia – 1 point win – 8/1 – (bet365/BV) 7/1 (gen)*

*UP 9/1, hmm…market weakness, didn’t run very well! 

8.15 Punch – Emigrated – 1 point win – 9/1 (general) UP 16/1 (big drift,ran poorly)

 

Medina Sidonia – 8/1 seems fair for a horse with a decent record over similar trips, who has placed over CD, and who may well come on from the run 10 days ago. He is 2/5,3p in C5 handicaps and is back to the mark of his last win. When he placed over CD, losing by 3 lengths, he carried 10-7 on his back, which over this trip and this hill would have taken some effort I think. In any case he had 9-10 on his back with the claim. He is generally consistent at this level over these marathon trips and if he does come on for his last run, should be in the mix. The price seemed a tad on the generous side to me. It looks an interesting little race where you could make a case for a few. The yard form would be a slight concern but Easterby fires a lot of bullets and there have been enough placed horses in recent days not for me to be put off.

Emigrated- well he ticks that box of being lightly raced/unexposed and there should be more to come in handicap hurdles. He also arrives here in form having run well LTO. That was his first run since November and they drop him back by a couple of furlongs here also. There is a chance he was just out-stayed the last day. He also gets a tongue tie on and the trainer is in better form than he has been, 2/13,3p in the last 14 days, 0/26,8p the 16 days before that. In a race which doesn’t seem to be full of quality he looks to have as good a chance as many. He also races prominently, or did do the last day.

 

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3.Any general messages/updates etc

None.

 

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About This Author

A community committed to making racing fun, enjoyable and profitable in the long term. Josh

10 Comments

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  • Good morning all,

    Another tough but quite week only 10 bets. Results -10pts for the week (there were three 2nd places) so overall -4.86pts, hopefully things can turn around for the end of May.

    My qualifiers for today

    FLAT
    Redcar
    4.10 – Cabal (micro TJC) H3,I3,G3 24%, 3/1+ price taken 14/1(Skybet)

    Windsor
    6.55 – Perfect Quest (4yo+, + micro runs) H1, 30% 5/2+ price taken 7/2(Ladbrokes)

    Good luck for today

    Gavin 22/05/17 9:21 AM Reply


  • Update… 6pm… Teak.. I can’t fail to notice he has halved in price in a matter of minutes, seems to be plenty of money around and on closer inspection I can see why… he last ran on the flat turf in October off 80, and turns up off 62 here. Could well be a very shrewd plot from Williams to get the old boy back in the winners enclosure. A chance he makes all also, with Franny now booked. I may have just had a saver at 8s, as the money still pours on. Do with that musing as you please.

    Josh 22/05/17 9:54 AM Reply


    • I heard about Teak from someone early this morning. I got on at 10/1. Nothing substantial though why it should win.

      I also like Oceanus, 5.00R, on at 10/1. I hear that the stable are travelling expecting the horse to go well.

      martin colwell 22/05/17 12:31 PM Reply


  • Tipped up by Tony Stafford on his Monday Gee Gee.com blog @12/1

    finalflight 22/05/17 11:54 AM Reply


  • josh
    Is Hersigh (SBS) not a 60+ selection 8.05 L 17/2?

    Mike

    mickeydee 22/05/17 2:35 PM Reply


    • Nope, moving up in class isn’t he? ran C5 LTO, C4 today, main filter for him, other than price (14/1<) is running at same class or drop in class. May still win of course, but systematically those moving up in class didn't to too well. Josh

      Josh 22/05/17 2:47 PM Reply


    • Hi Mike
      Re yesterday Ian’s (INFORM RACING) 80/20 system of betting
      Have bet this way way for the last10 years with great success
      http://www.informracing.com/freesystem8020free/

      Graham Ashford 22/05/17 4:17 PM Reply


      • Cheers Graham.

        Mike

        mickeydee 22/05/17 7:04 PM Reply


  • Paddy does it again 10/1 today after 10/1 yesterday,has been a real money spinner all year

    gearoid180468 22/05/17 5:20 PM Reply


    • yep, nice for the Inform Racing ones to pick out a 10/1+ winner also! They needed that. Hopefully they may bag a few more.

      Josh 22/05/17 5:25 PM Reply


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