No tips or system quals today.
Nothing else really catching my eye so I will repeat today’s Members’ ‘bet of the day’…
Bet of The Day… (test) (Flat: 2/12,9p, +10.8) (Jumps: 8/51, +28.5) (total: 10/63, +39.3)
6.00 Carlisle – Medina Sidonia – 1 point win – 8/1 – (bet365/BV) 7/1 (gen) UP 9/1
8.15 Punch – Emigrated – 1 point win – 9/1 (general) UP 16/1
Medina Sidonia – 8/1 seems fair for a horse with a decent record over similar trips, who has placed over CD, and who may well come on from the run 10 days ago. He is 2/5,3p in C5 handicaps and is back to the mark of his last win. When he placed over CD, losing by 3 lengths, he carried 10-7 on his back, which over this trip and this hill would have taken some effort I think. In any case he had 9-10 on his back with the claim. He is generally consistent at this level over these marathon trips and if he does come on for his last run, should be in the mix. The price seemed a tad on the generous side to me. It looks an interesting little race where you could make a case for a few. The yard form would be a slight concern but Easterby fires a lot of bullets and there have been enough placed horses in recent days not for me to be put off.
Emigrated- well he ticks that box of being lightly raced/unexposed and there should be more to come in handicap hurdles. He also arrives here in form having run well LTO. That was his first run since November and they drop him back by a couple of furlongs here also. There is a chance he was just out-stayed the last day. He also gets a tongue tie on and the trainer is in better form than he has been, 2/13,3p in the last 14 days, 0/26,8p the 16 days before that. In a race which doesn’t seem to be full of quality he looks to have as good a chance as many. He also races prominently, or did do the last day.
That is all for today. Good luck with any bets.