Members Daily Post: 12/04/17 (complete)

1.All Qualifiers Against Stats Pack/Ratings Pointers 

2.Any ‘Notes’ (subjective views mainly, on some of the qualifiers)

3.Any general messages/updates etc

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1.All Qualifiers Against Stats Pack/Ratings Pointers 

Jumps

Fontwell

3.10 – Dites Rein (all hncps + hncp hurdle)  H3, G1 7/2

5.10 – Cornish Warrior (all hncps + handicap hurdle) H1, G3 11/4

 

Flat

Nottingham

3.50 –

Marsh Pride (all hncps +4yo+) G3 22/1

Shady McCoy (4yo+) G3  14,30 12/1 (messed up there, he isn’t a G3, prob romp home now)

4.20 StoneBoat Bill (all hncps) G3 20/1

(left him on my notepad first run through) 

 

Catterick

2.30 –

Kajak (all hncps + micro age) H3 7/1

Deinonychus (4yo+) 22/1

4.00-

Instant Karma (all hncps) 30 H3 4/1

Sellingallthetime (4yo+, + micro distance) 8/1

 

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KEY:

H1/H3 = HorseRaceBase Top Rated or Top 3 Rated (at time of posting)

G1/G3 = Geegeez Gold Speed Ratings (Dr Peter May) Top Rated or Top 3 Rated

14,30 = Geegeez Gold ‘trainer form’ indicators. 14 – 5+ runs last 14 days, 20% win sr OR 51%+ place (inc wins) sr. 30 – 10+ runs last 20 days, 20% win sr OR 51%+ place (inc wins) sr

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2.Any ‘Notes’ (subjective views mainly, on some of the qualifiers)

Nothing today. (Bet of the Day Test: 6/31, +31 points).

Redbridge Miller ran a strange sort of race. There was late money for him, his price almost halving on BF in the minutes before the race. He travelled well for the first 3rd or so and it was getting exciting, before he seemingly just stopped and went backwards. It was too early to say it was a fitness question. Maybe he has mental or psychical issues but he seemed to go from running well, to being out the back, in a matter of strides.

No ‘bet of the day’, today which I will try and restrict to the jumps for now until I get my flat eyes fixed/season settles down,and maybe run a separate one for that.

 

3.Any general messages/updates etc

RESULTS:  Finalised Analysis, Including Ratings Pointers: HERE>>>

(PART 2 is worth some of your time- if you have already read Part 1- especially if you would like some more options on top of the #1 advised strategy. A bit there to give you some ideas, esp on double rated qualifiers, and those priced 6/1+ BFSP, and the performance of Geegeez vs HRB. The #1 Advised Strategy is still that. It is a solid systematic foundation, from which to then try and find a few winners/profits that it won’t cover) 

Flat: A small sample I know but the last couple of days have given some confidence that the flat stats may work just as well as the jumps, with a couple of decent priced winners and a few out-running their odds/going close.

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I think that is the lot for today.

About This Author

A community committed to making racing fun, enjoyable and profitable in the long term. Josh

3 Comments

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  • Hi Josh
    New here enjoying the trial thanks and will be staying on!
    I see 350 Nott Marsh Pride qualifies under (all Hncps) doesn’t that bring in other Karl Burke Hcap entries 220 Twizzel 450 Costa Percy?
    Cheers
    Kevin

    Kevin 12/04/17 2:49 AM Reply


    • Hi Kevin,
      Glad to hear you are enjoying your stay, and questions about how to engage in the content then you know where to find me, some of the fun is plotting a course no doubt, using the #1 strategy as a solid foundation.

      Yep I should clarify- my flat stats pack does not cover 3 year old only handicaps – they are a specialist area in themselves and is also a way to cut down on the number of bets. All stats qualifiers refer to 3yo+ and 4yo+ handicaps only (standard handicaps- no selling handicaps etc)

      I may try and find some ‘bonus’ stats on 3yo only qualifiers, we shall see.

      BUT.. always post such questions… I do make a howler every now and then, and if ‘we’ can spot that before 10am on the day, even better! And as I write, you made me look back at my note pad and for some reason I didn’t add the horses in the 4.20 above, so it was worth it!!Another long day maybe.

      Cheers
      Josh

      Josh 12/04/17 7:30 AM Reply


  • Thanks Josh appreciate that. Good luck to all!

    Kevin 12/04/17 1:46 PM Reply


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