PLEASE NOTE: My ‘techie friend’ as I affectionately call him has been upgrading the sites security and doing some things that are above my head, but in theory should mean that there are no ‘this site is insecure’ warnings, which usually sends a feeling of concern coursing through a reader’s veins. The site is more secure than it was, although there was nothing to worry about before, but it will be better moving forwards. It would appear that on the odd different browser, different ‘this site is insecure’ messages crop up. It may be something specific with Google. My friend thinks he knows the problem and will be sorting it asap. I should stress, for anyone concerned, that A) the site isn’t less secure than it used to be and B) I do not deal with payment details etc- all of that is secure through Paypal’s and/or ClickBank’s systems. All email addresses are secure through both Getresponse and in my membership software which is all protected.
Any questions, fire away. I won’t be able to answer them, but my friend may!
Trainer/Jockey Combo – Live Test
3.20 Catt- Nomoreblackjack (12/1<) WON 5/2>7/4
Handicap hurdle/chase portfolio – live test
2.20 Cat – Pertuis UP
Not much else today but I will repeat below a section from Today’s Members Post… as you know those daily jumps notes posts are a stats based/trainer based approach, with qualifiers against my stats pack and some ratings pointers from HRB and Geegeez Gold/Speed. There is a section where I discuss any 10/1+ shots (that is where the big long term profit looks to be) but I thought I should dabble in highlighting a ‘bet of the day’, if there is one to be had…that is my subjective view based on the stats picks as a starting point, using the other tools available to me to highlight what stands out to my faltering eyes…so… as a treat, or indeed a curse… from the members post…
So, my ‘bet of the day’… well if NoMoreBlackJack (3.20 Catt) WON 9/4>7/4 was 7/2+ I would probably nominate him. Everything we know about him, inc that last run, suggests he will devour this step up in trip. He will have gained experience on that last run and I wonder if Cook will now adopt more aggressive tactics. They must be confident he will relish every yard of this trip. If there was a ‘banker’- on this page today, I think it may be him. He looks the most exciting. But, 9/4,2/1 getting short enough for me. He may make that look a big price though. Bar a fall I can see him demolishing that lot as he could have any amount in hand at this distance, and further. (cue, fall at first)
But, for my ‘bet of the day’ I will go with Nafaath,(2.20 Catt) (UP 5/1>11/1, market told the story this time,I thought he looked good on paper! Solid start) who at 5s I think just offers a tad of value. I wouldn’t want shorter than that as there are a couple of niggles but… on the positive side, he is 2/3,2p in C5 handicaps, 3/4 in all C5 hurdle races, and 3/6,3p when OR100 or below. He also comes from a ‘hot form’ race LTO… the winner has since bolted up again, the second has placed, and the horse that finished just behind Nafaath has since gone in two times since. So, there is some strength to that form. He drops in class here, has course form, and looks likely to run an OK race. The doubts? Well McCain is now 0/23,4p in the last 14 days, but a few have gone close enough. Maybe he is hitting a cold spell. Then there is the distance… not fully proven over it although he did win over 20f in a maiden hurdle. He also came a running on place at Royal Ascot back in the day, in the Ascot Stakes handicap over 20f. And they will plod at a slower pace in this, than they did that day. And finally, he has never raced over this distance in class 5. He has placed a couple of times at C4 and gone close enough for me to think at this level he is worth a dart.
So, on balance, at 5s, I personally think there is just enough to go on there.
If you missed my free Festival Jockeys report you can grab that HERE>>>
That will be all for today.