Streets Of Promise – 1 point win – 12/1 (general) 3rd 16/1
Well a distant 3rd, only three finishers. That was attritional and clearly no shock result with the fav winning. If building on that last run he was entitled to do that but I was content to take him on- he must be a tough horse to do that, in those conditions, on the back of his effort LTO. Mountainous ran his race and he just keeps going when most cry enough. Lee will find a race for him, further the better. Streets of Promise drifted in price as if needing the run but went well for a time- possibly doing too much with the McCain horse but I am not sure that made the difference. Still, one to keep an eye on.
IF, and it is an IF, this one is fully tuned up here, I think she should be 7s,8s maybe – i think this price looks generous. Last season was her first chasing and she didn’t do much wrong, progressing all the way through. This is her second season chasing and in that sense has the most interesting profile here, now 2/5,3p p chasing. She has a tendency to jump to the right a tad and did well around those LH chase tracks and I am interested to see if he is more comfortable going this way round. She is a proven mud lover and has stayed on well up the Towcester hill before, over hurdles, which is always a good sign as to stamina. Michael Scudamore can ready them, as we saw with Mysteree at Haydock. That was 180 or so days off in deep mud- no problem. So, if he wants her fit here, and has decided this pot is worth going for, she will be ready. If it is a prep for something else,that is 1 point gone. But, with horses 12s+, I can live with that. She is also usually a prominent racer and could make all here- or at least give Waldorf Salad company before going on. It may be she just isn’t good enough but I would like to think there could be more to come and at a double figure price, I am more than happy to pay to find out. Any marked drift would concern me, and if she is held up, then I will know also. But, rarely do you find 12+ shots without some sort of question to answer. The trainer’s horses have been going well also and this mare looks one to keep an eye on this season.
Of the rest…
Goodtoknow may bolt up but is 3s, had a tough race LTO,has nearly 1 stone more on his back, the headgear may not work again. Clear chance, happy to take on. Racing Pulse is also short enough to me given his profile. Again a clear chance I suppose but hasn’t been one to trust recently. Has ability and conditions should be fine, although still need to be convinced he wants a true slog in the mud over this far. Not a shock winner. Neither is Mountainous who is a system bet below, and I may have some of my ‘system’ bank on that one- well I probably should, as my subjective judgement is useless with those sometimes. But he isn’t getting any younger, he only ran OK the last day and I am not convinced this drop in trip is in his favour. Now, if the rest fall in a hole, he could just keep going- well he will keep going, and a big run wouldn’t be a shock if getting back to his Welsh National form. Lee’s horses are going much better now. If he were double figures I may have been lured in for tipping purposes. He is 0/5,0p going RH also-only a minor niggle when you look at those races,but a question. Waldorf Salad- that PU puts me off LTO, that was a poor run given his record fresh and that of the trainer in such race types. He also has a question over his level of form also as this is deep enough and I am not sure he is good enough.
Federici- he was the other one I looked at for a time, but he is 15/2 and not 12/1, and that kind of made my mind up. Also, I am yest to be convinced he wants a proper slog in the mud over this far- although there is enough bits and pieces of Irish form to suggest that probably shouldn’t be a concern. Like the Warwick horses, he had a tough race LTO also and had every chance. He may prefer going RH here but ran well enough the last day. He is now 0/5,0p chasing OR 131+, and I do wonder if the handicapper has him for the time being. He may not, but it is a niggle. He will track the pace and be in the right spot. Were he 12s I would have had a play I think as he looks to stay well, on good at least. This could be a real test though and at 15/2, given the above, I was happy to leave him.
I can’t have the rest for one reason or another.
PACE… well mine should be up there, leading with any luck, if she is here to run her race. It won’t be fun to watch if she is held up. But, I am comfortable taking on the rest at the prices.
It should be an informative race and looks decent mid week chasing fare.
Good luck whatever you go with, and brave souls if you follow me in! (I am still backing them, don’t worry)
Tom George Chasers
3.40 Leic – Some Are Lucky
K Lee Chasers (12/1<)
3.30 Here – Mountainous
Handicap Hurdle/Chase Portfolio– Live Test
2.10 Leic – Ballinvarrig
4.40 Leic – Xhale
That will be all for today.