SkyBet Chase Trends/Stats/Pointers

SkyBet Chase

Last 10 renwals, stats/trends/pointers

147 runners, 32 placed horses

 

TRENDS

Horse Age

  • 9/10 aged 7-9
    • 6yo: 0/9,1p
    • 10yo: 1/29,7p
    • 11+ : 0/22, 2p

Days Since Run

  • 10/10 ran 21-90 days ago
    • 1-20 days: 0/15,1p
    • 91+ : 0/6,1p

Horse Weight (exc claims)

  • 9/10 carried 11-2 or less on back
    • 9/91,19 places
    • 11-3+ : 1/56, 13 p.
      • 11-11: 1/4,2p
      • 11-12: 0/10,1p

Wins (Distance)

  • 2+ : 0/24,1p

Maximum Distance Winners Had RUN Over

  • 10/10 had Run over 3m ½ f+ previously
    • 0/24,3p had not

Maximum Distance Winners Had WON Over

  • 10/10 had WON over 2m7f+ previously
    • 0/42, 7p had not

Position In Market

  • 7/10 winners were top 3 in the market (inc joint)
    • 7/33,11p, +17 SP

Odds

  • 9/10 priced 16/1 or shorter SP
  • 28/1+ : 0/22,1P

 

***

OTHER STATS

Miscellaneous 1

Origin of Horse

  • GB: 3/32,10p
  • IRE: 6/82,17p
  • FR: 1/29,5p

Pos Wgts (ex Clm) –

  • Top weight: 1/11,2p
  • Top 4: 1/46, 7p

‘The ‘Running’ Characteristics’

H – Run (career)

  • 4/8 runners,4p, +26 SP, had 7 or fewer career runs

H- Run (Hncp/Non Hncp)

  • 8/10 had 10 or fewer handicap runs
    • 8/77,18p

H-Run (NH Race Type)

  • 5/10 had 6 or fewer chase runs
  • 8/10 had 10 or fewer chase runs

H-Run (Last Placing)

  • 10/10 had placed on at least one of last three starts
    • Had not: 0/32, 6p

The ‘Winning’ Characteristics

H-Win (Career)

  • 9/10 had 4 or fewer career wins
    • 9/50, 15p… +35 SP
    • 5+ : 1/97, 17 p

H-Win (NH Race Type).

  • 9/10 had 0-3 chase wins
    • 0 chase wins: 2/2
    • 4 chase wins: 1/30,9p
    • 5+ : 0/32, 3p

H-Win (Hcap NH)

  • 4+ handicap chase wins: 0/26,3p

H-Win (Class)

  • 1+ class win: 0/15,1p (Listed)

Horses ‘Last Race’ Characteristics

(LR) No. of Runners

  • 8 or fewer runners: 1/51,11p

 (LR) Track

  • Chelt: 4/24,8p, +18 SP
  • Chepst: 2/13,4p
  • 1 win: Catt/Hayd/Donc/Kempt
  • Newbury: 0/10,0p
  • Sand: 0/13, 2p

Trainers (of interest)

  • P Nicholls: 2/8,3p
  • 1 win: (still training): A King / D Pipe/K Bailey/P Hobbs
  • S Smith: 0/12,1p
  • V Williams: 0/9,1p
About This Author

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