TTP Jumps Notes: 27/01/17 (complete)

1.The Ratings Pointers

2.All Qualifiers against stats pack

3.Any ‘Notes’ (subjective views mainly, on some of the qualifiers)

4.Any general messages/updates etc

**

1.The Ratings Pointers

HorseRaceBase

Top Rated

none.

Top 3

1.25 Donc – Midnight Cowboy 14,30 2nd 5/1>3/1

1.55 Donc – Behind The Wire 2nd 6/4>11/4

 

 

Geegeez Speed

Top Rated

1.25 Donc – Minstrel Royal 14,30 UP 8/1

Top 3 

1.55 Donc – Behind The Wire 2nd 6/4>11/4

 

 

2.All Qualifiers against stats pack

DONCASTER

1.25

Midnight Cowboy (all hncps) 14,30 2nd 5/1>3/1

Harry Hunt (all hncps + hncp hurdle) UP

Minstrel Royal (hncp hurdle) 14,30 UP 8/1

1.55

Behind The Wire (hncp chase) 2nd 6/4>11/4

 

HUNTINGDON  (Abandoned) 

 

 

TAUNTON

4.15 – War Singer (all hncps)

 

3.Any ‘Notes’ (subjective views mainly, on some of the qualifiers)

Well sadly Huntingdon is off, which is a shame,as all three of those RP horses were going to win, never mind! There is one big priced horse at the moment, Harry Hunt in the 1.25. I am comfortable leaving him and indeed he may be worth adding into trackers, as having some kind of profile… in handicap hurdles, in October and November, he is 3/8,5p, +27Sp. It may well be that he has regressed given his age but he may be worth keeping an eye on later in the year, as he may pop up somewhere. It is likely he will be on a career high low mark by then also, unless winning beforehand. He is currently 0/14,1p in handicap hurdles Jan-April, 0/16,1p all handicaps, so he looks like an autumn horse. Also 0/5,0p 16+ runners, and 0/10,1p 31-60 days rest. So, I am happy to leave him today, he can beat me and I can live with that.

Nothing else is in the 16s/20s+ range.

 

4.Any general messages/updates etc

RESULTS… following some discussions it is apparent that I should really up my professionalism when it comes to recording results. While I urge you all to keep your own records, however basic, in terms of the content on these pages, I should start keeping more detailed records. So, I will go back to the start of Jan and record ratings pointers to ISP and BFSP, detailing every selection.(one reader has been keeping such records so that will help!) I will also do the same with all non ratings selections and try and record relevant information. In reality that shouldn’t be more than a 10-15 min job most days and there isn’t really an excuse for not doing it. From the start of next week I will also record best/common available price with BOG bookies.

TRENDS… there will be a Members Post up by lunchtime looking at any SkyBet trends/stats, if anything stands out.

 

**

KEY:(applicable across the blog) 

H1/H3 = HorseRaceBase Top Rated or Top 3 Rated (at time of posting)

G1/G3 = Geegeez Gold Speed Ratings (Dr Peter May) Top Rated or Top 3 Rated

14,30 = Geegeez Gold ‘trainer form’ indicators. 14 – 5+ runs last 14 days, 20% win sr OR 51%+ place (inc wins) sr. 30 10+ runs last 20 days, 20% win sr OR 51%+ place (inc wins) sr

NOTE: In the ratings pointers above, BOLD indicates a ‘double qualifier,against both ratings’ in RED is a ‘double top rated qualifier- they are 3/4 so far…) (no such qualifiers today)

About This Author

A community committed to making racing fun, enjoyable and profitable in the long term. Josh

3 Comments

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  • Hi Josh,
    After last nights debacle I’m not surprised you’re a bit hungover and missed this one…
    Nicky H @ H3.00 with Volnay de Thaix all Hc’s.

    Listened post match to 5live and some numpty screaming for Klopps head ??? erm, probably a manc.

    titus_a_duxass 26/01/17 6:04 PM Reply


    • Hi ‘titus’ , that is two in two days I have missed first run through, a shocker! Thanks as always to you eagle eyed folk. Isn’t on any ratings pointers.

      Ha, while I don’t digress to talk about footy too often, that is rather laughable. Would be interesting to see how many managers could do what he has with the net spend etc. We are just one dimensional without Mane, and Phil still working his way back. We had a kid at right back, we don’t as yet have a world class spine, that is the problem. From goalkeeper, another centre back,not convinced on Can, so another in there, and we don’t have a world class striker, not one. Chelsea,City,United,maybe even spurs, arguably have a WC striker. He will know where he needs to strengthen. There was a graph being banded around about our January form, which across numerous regimes has been awful. No idea why. That would have been our third final under Klopp if we had won. It’s only a game. The majority of football fans would like to experience going out of semis and losing finals etc.

      Credit to them also, they did a defensive job on us. Teams seem to be working out how to play us and at times we just struggle to break them down. On another night Studge scores twice and who knows what would have happened. But, if he stops finishing, I don’t know what else he brings to the party. Injuries seem to have caught up with his speed etc sadly.

      Top 4 will be a fight mind, we need to turn around pretty sharpish.
      Josh

      Josh 26/01/17 6:15 PM Reply


  • SkyBet trends/stats/pointers etc…

    http://racingtoprofit.co.uk/2017/01/27/skybet-chase-trendsstatspointers/

    Josh

    Josh 27/01/17 10:11 AM Reply


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