Well, that was fun! 🙂
To Be Free, Or Not To Be Free, That Is The Question…
Let me try my best to add some clarification to all things ‘the blog’ (clarity is a quality some would argue I lack at times, self deprecation certainly isn’t). The following is non negotiable. You like it, or take your eyes somewhere else 🙂 No need for any comments on this one…
- I reserve the right to put any aspect of this blog behind a paywall. You should NOT expect a Free Daily Post EVERYDAY. While that has been the case for over 2 years, and in general will remain so, there may be times when there is no free daily post. That should be clear.
- There WILL ALWAYS be free content on this blog, and plenty of it, whether that is in regular general posts, or within the ‘Free Reports & Systems’ tab. Free content is the heart and soul of this blog and that will never disappear.
- Most of what is in the current free daily posts will never be put behind a permanent paywall, never to be accessed for free again. In that I include all ‘non test’ sections of the micro angles/systems. This includes profitable angles such as Harry Fry Mares/G McPherson/George Chasers/V Williams November/Monthly trainer angles/Sat TJC Combos and any others I have missed off.
- At some point in the future I reserve the right to move any ‘Live Test’ micro system/angle into the Members Club. If the trainer/jockey combos do well during 2017, I may well do that for 2018. But they are live tests for a reason. They may fly,they may sink. Getting the balance right between paid and free is always a challenge but I will try and be clearer from now on. And as always I try and be fair and open.
- I have no plans to charge for TIPs and never have, not behind a permanent paywall. Part of their allure is the write ups and the engagement, and also reading what Nick likes so that I can ditch my original bets and go with his! 🙂 And if we are being honest I wouldn’t pay for my tips on evidence to date- not consistent enough. (Nick Hardman, Nicky Doyle, and Chris at Geegeez are better Tipsters than me,on evidence to date. And there are many other good’uns out there I am sure)
- What may be introduced in the future? Well, there will be the Festival week, where there will be no free content. Because I have never done such a thing before, and because it may all turn out to be awful, that will be through ClickBank so that you can get a full refund, no questions asked. A ‘Day Pass’ function exists on this blog that I have never used as yet, whereby I can block off any post I wish, just for members or those who pay for 24 hour access to members content, for £3. I have considered a ‘Racing To Profit Supporters Club‘, £3-5 per month, whereby I block off 3-5 daily posts per month, mainly at Weekends, more so as a thank you to such supporters/existing members, rather than a money making exercise 🙂 + some added extras available to current members, the odd report etc. Believe it or not I have no intention to bleed you dry and think the content I do charge for is rather reasonably priced, some would say too cheap. But, that is an idea. It may be introduced one day. Certainly not this Jumps season, and I doubt this Flat season, but possibly from next jumps season, October time.
- The day you see any adverts on here from Bookmakers will be the day I have failed at the business side of things. Bookie adverts make me uncomfortable, mainly because the standard model of commission is for me to make X % amount on any losses you make over the lifetime of that account I believe. Now, there are other models, such as a flat fee for sign ups etc. But the first model raises all sorts of integrity questions that I just don’t think I would ever shake off. And a part of the blog would die if they were ever introduced. If I were a cash chaser,simply after your money, this blog would have been plastered with such adverts long ago. (you may be sensing the one particular sentence in one particular comment that really irked me)
- Finally, this blog will always be a mixed model where everyone should feel welcome, whether you donate, join the members club, or just enjoy the free content without ever throwing any money my way. There is no issue there or expectation on my part. Some people can’t afford to for example, or are ideologically opposed. But all readers should accept from now on that on some days, occasionally, there may be no free content relating to that day’s racing. Those days will be rare. In the short term that is Cheltenham Festival week. In the longer term it may be 3-5 days per month. ‘may’ being the important word. That is just an idea at this stage. (the donate button is in the top right hand corner, if you ever felt obliged 🙂 )
Believe it or not my sole purpose is to provide you all with something of interest that makes this game enjoyable, and over time, with any luck, profitable. It is about creating a space, a community, whereby we can all get along and try and profit. And have some fun along the way. As one of you said in a members post – being a racing nut can be a lonely place at times. We are a rare breed. And there is something enjoyable about our little set up here, being able to share in each others success, and sometimes failure. Without the engagement my days would be rather dull and I enjoy that bit the most. I think we have something rather good here, but I am biased.
That is what drives me, to provide you all with something of use, free or paid. NOT to make as much money as I can. Yes this is a business, and yes without the income side the free content would be much diminished, but there is only a business if I get that first bit right – the content, the feel, the community. If I do, the latter bit should take care if itself, if I do my job properly. My main fear is letting you down. I don’t take any reader for granted, any subscription paid or donation made. And never will.
I hope that is clear. It probably isn’t. But, that is that. The End. Moving on…
NEW POST! I have had a top level look at some jockeys and trainers it may be worth following in Hunter Chases.
BUTLERGROVE KING – 1 point win – 8/1 (SJ/32 Red) 15/2 (Bet365/SkybB/Betway) 7/1 (general) PU 7/1>7/2
hmm. Gamble gone astray. He was never really going, held up again. Carnage there in that race with 3 horses travelling well taken out by one of them who fell. Well done Nick, again. Think it best I give up on Butlergrove King. He will win one day, but looks like he may have issues. Maybe something went wrong again. His best runs have come from on the pace and I cannot work out those tactics. The most solid horse in the race, in conditions, won. No shock there albeit I have no idea how that race may have panned out but for the trouble. But none of that takes away from how poor Butlergrove was. Someone clearly expected better maybe.
I have had my eye on this one since tipping him during my long summer of discontent last year, at Worcester. Something went amiss that day and he was given some time out/fixed, before his run at Chepstow- which was very much a case of ‘this is what a race course looks like ride’ never sighted, potted around the back. I have just watched his last race again that has pushed me over the line into having another go on him here. I thought he might run ok the last day but I knew early he wouldn’t be running a race as he was held up. When he runs well he either leads, tries to lead, or runs up with the pace. So, I will know early on if I am to get a run for my money. But, that run was ok. He travelled well turning for home and was given a very friendly ride by Dunne, not really picking the stick up or looking that vigorous to my eye. I think he could have got closer maybe. In the end he just let him coast home but that move from the last in the back straight, through the home turn, showed something. And of course his handicap mark is dropping.
He is a course winner over 24f and was pulling away that day. Some of those seconds last year were in ok races and that Fontwell run produced plenty of winners. This race looks very winnable and there really is no excuse. He should be going close here. On his 3rd run back after his break they come back to Ludlow with him and hopefully that does the trick. I am happy to have one more go in a moderate race, but this may well be the last chance. He should be going close here, on his best chase form. And, compared to a few in here, is lightly enough raced for his age, over fences at least.
PACE…well he does like to get on with it when he is here to run well. Winged Crusader can but given they step back up in trip, in faster ground, will hopefully settle for a tracking 2nd/3rd. Sunny Legend can be up there but he isn’t getting any younger either. Dunne could get the lead here I suspect, if he wants, and he may not see another rival. Or he can track them. I don’t think he has to lead, but he should be up there.
Of the rest..well it is a moderate race. Ultimatum Du Roy has been consistent and there may be excuses for that PU the last day. I expect Butlergrove to overturn that Wincanton run where he wasn’t given a forceful ride and UDR only plugged on there. But, he likes it here and should run his race. I can see some appeal albeit the selection has more potential I feel, to suddenly show himself to be well handicapped.
I can’t have the top two in the market. Venetia’s horse is short given the stamina unknown. He may relish it, but 7/2 isn’t a price I want to take to find out really, combined with the fact that he was very poor the last day. Winged Crusader is 0/9,0p OR 111+ which is enough to be put me off at those odds. Twirling Magnet isn’t getting any younger and is too inconsistent for me, I don’t know what we will get. Has an inexperienced jockey on also. Conditions are ok although a stamina question also. Sunny Legend is 12 now and I am happy to leave the old boy. He has been running ok but I can’t tempt myself. He also has a stamina niggle,albeit on this ground will probably be ok.
The Leech horse is probably the other interesting one at a price in the sense he is unexposed and has run ok in some chases, although they have generally been poor contests. He didn’t show much LTO, is a hold up horse, can make errors and the trainer is 0/14,1p here with handicap chasers. Any money should probably be noted and I suppose a big run wouldn’t be a shock, although it is hard to know just how good he is, that chase form being in novice handicaps.
The other two need to show a bit more for me.
So, hopefully this is the day Butlergrove makes all and hacks up- if Dunne is aggressive on the front end early, I will know he is here to run a good race. If he is held up, maybe not so much!
Tom George Chasers
3.25 Lud – Big Windmill- UR (on the flat)
Trainer/Jockey Combos – Live Test
2.15 Lud – Butlergrove King (16/1<) UP 7/1>7/2
Handicap Chase/Hurdle Portfolio- Live Test
2.15 Lud – Azert De coeur- BD
2.05 Ling – Tell A Story (x2 angles) UP
Lud CATT- Cracking Find WON 4/1>9/4
3.25 Lud- Nefyn Bay 2nd 6/1
That will be all for today.
Good luck with any bets