FREE DAILY POST: 14/01/17 (complete + Kempt Tips)

Tips Summary..

3.35 – Sego Success / Kaki De La Pree

3.15 Kempt – No Duffer

 

TIPS

3.35 Warwick

Sego Success – 1 point win – 12/1 (general) UP

Kaki De La Pree – 1 point win – 9/1 (general) Fell

Ah, bugger. Well at  least the stats profile worked. Only doubt was the ground for OneForArthur and bit perturbed by being a hold up horse,and a proper one at that. But handled both no problem, which is annoying. It was more his best form was on decent ground, rather than he hadn’t proved he couldn’t handle heavy I suppose. And yes, he was top rated Geegeez Speed, and Top 3 HRB, the only one on the shortlist to be so. 16/1. Oh this game is a mental challenge alright. Next time. Great ride from Fox. Painful watching him bounce over the last. 

 

Well I am hoping one of these two may help me bring up the hat-trick in this race, having tipped up both Russe Blanc (25/1) and Hawkes Point (14s) for the last two renewals, if my memory serves me correctly. Were any of you reading in Jan 2015,and have remained?

Where to start… well I did do a trends/stats piece for members and anyone using that may come up with their own shortlist depending on the stats that jump out to them.

A rough profile coule be.. 0-24 career runs, 0-6 career wins, 1-5 chase wins, NO win G3 level previously

Applying those stats leaves: Vivaldi Collonges (i think too much weight/not enough in hand/he isn’t Denman|Native River) Milansbar (backed in Welsh National..hmm..he made bad blunder 2nd fence,but even at that early stage looked like was struggling in a G3 field,but may be the interesting ‘biggie’) Sego Success, Viva Steve (unexposed,Brennan up,don’t like 66 day break – 10/10 winners actually ran within last 45 days,and doubt if he has the class and stamina on this ground-it could be very holding/tacky) One For Arthur (interested me,hold up type,but again his best form,outside of novice races,is on a fairly sound surface,wasn’t convinced as to stamina in this ground) Kaki De La Pree, Midnight Prayer (too old, gosh I know, leaving a 12yo! Surely too old,and not in best form) BallyCross (interesting,but with 0 chase win,a tad too inexperienced for me,tough for 6yo,concern that not hardy enough and in that context,8s short enough,but unexposed) Kingswell Theatre (too unpredictable,poor LTO,but big price) SpookyDooky (just no,surely not-well I shouldn’t be so dismissive,he might win. Unexposed enough,I would have liked to have seen more the last two runs,albeit ground may have been lively enough. An interesting outsider,albeit Jonjo still hit and miss and if aimed at this would have assumed another jock on maybe,albeit they are 2/3. Not 100% convinced as to stamina for test like this,but not a ‘fall of your seat’ winner by any means)

Another alternative is actually to use a couple of ‘trends/stats’ micro angles… indeed those that had 0-1 hncp chase wins (8/10 winners) and 0-1 handicap wins (7/10 winners) (good profits for both angles, small no. of runners) leaves a shortlist of…

Doctor Harper (not convinced as to stamina for a test like this,Pipe 0/6,0p in race,has won a G3,only ran 13 days ago,doesn’t feel like a target- a ‘get your mark down for Cheltenham run?) Sego Success, Shotgun Paddy (broke blood vessel last day, 60+ days off,previous G3 winner- this race- a neg) One For Arthur (damn) (as above) , Kaki De Le Pree, Knockanrawley (had too long off for me to consider,looks dour stayer though,tough ask) Ballycross (as above)

Knowing my luck the winner isn’t mentioned above, that would be typical.

But, even ignoring those stats as a starting point, there is plenty to recommend the selections…

Sego Success..

Well he was hammered into favouritism for this last year, coming down at the second, and I suspect he may be well backed again. King is in flying form and you wonder if this has been the target, he does have a great record in the race as a trainer. I like the first time blinkers- in the sense that he won well in first time Cheekpieces las season and may do so here. He needs soft ground I think to be at his best, and good ground can excuse that last run, and plenty of others. He made a pleasing reappearance at Bangor and caught the eye there. He also has 12lb less on his back than he did in this last year. That run in the 4 miler at Chelts, and various runs in the mud over 24/25f suggest he is well worth a crack at this trip. He can race prominently, he can be held off the pace. With restricted vision I hope they get him in the front line. With a clear round, he should give backers a run for their money. He looked the most interesting at double figures to my eyes.

Kaki De La Pree…

Well this 10 year old is rather lightly raced, unexposed and looks a possible dour stayer in the making.. he hacked up in soft, at Carlisle, over 25f, in a C2 handicap hurdle, and in 2013 (he has had a few problems it seems down the years) in a way that screamed stayer- any horse that does that at Carlisle stays. And it was a similar kind of performance,admittedly over fences, that marked Russe Blanc out as a possible 3m5f+ horse, before his win in this last year. It looks like he likes the mud and will stay. He may not, but is well worth a crack. He could have a fair bit in hand also. He ran with credit at Bangor, which may have been sharp enough, and bumped into a nice young Richards chaser that had buckets in hand. Both horses pulled well clear of the rest. His jumping will have to stand the test but, I haven’t seen anything to put me off yet, and of course he will need to come on for that last run/stay sound. I have to take that on trust. I take some confidence that Fehily has been booked, some sign of confidence with any luck. The trainer is in decent form also, most of his running well. He looked interesting, given all of the above.

 

You can read the reasons why I am against those others above. The rest, not mentioned, do not inspire me- most are old boys and/or out of form to my eye,and/or do not look good enough to my eyes. Clearly I may be nowhere near the winner, but hopefully they both run a good race. Hopefully Milansbar doesn’t plod passed the lot, that would be heartbreaking at 22s!

PACE..well, there is a bit on paper, but I am not convinced they will blast off, much like Sandown last weekend. Jockeys will know it is testing,and that in theory there is a lot of pace, and I don’t envisage 6/7 blasting over the first two. We shall see. No excuse for either my two. They can both race prominently enough and I hope Sego may try and lead, or be up there, going his pace. Kaki hopefully not too far behind. Front 3rd would be nice. Of course if there is loads of pace, and they are a bit further back, that will be no bad thing. This will be slow motion stuff come the end.

 

 

3.15 Kempton

No Duffer – 1 point win – 6/1 (general) UP  10/1, poor run.

I will keep this shorter- I have tipped this horse twice before, and he has won both times. At this price, I just thought why not have one more go on him, he owes me nothing..and… he is in form, lightly raced for his age, runs up with the pace, jumps well usually, and has guts- plenty of guts. He pulled away from the rest LTO with one other, in what was a decent enough race- he went at it a long way from home also. I don’t think this mark is beyond him and some cut in the ground is fine. It can be a test around here and he stays further, which is no bad thing. He looks solid enough.

He is also a TTP ratings pointer horse..the other two, Volnaix De Thaix and Carlos Way Back- the former has a great chance ‘IF’ he stays- and that is an if, I don’t think there will be a hiding place here- but he hasn’t had many goes over the trip and it may well be fine. Not a shock winner by any means, but he will need to stay- I am not 100% convinced, but his price is fine. Carlos Way Back is a long shot but could place, and you just never know- (i have an EW bet on him as part of members post) – the trip was too far the last day, and he bolted up before that- I suspect his legs may just not go quick enough, but stranger things have happened.

Kruzlinin can clearly take this but 8lb higher than when winning this last year. He had a gruelling race the last day and it will be interesting how much that may have taken out of him. He can jump to his left as well. But, he could clearly win. Sandy Beach is unexposed also. So, really, this is a competitive race, and probably one to just watch. But I can’t resist, and No Duffer would be my most confident of those in this race. The rest have some questions to answer, mainly Silvergrove- he looks out of sorts- well, hated Aintree fences LTO- it would be nice to see him bounce back but I would like to see more before getting involved again.

That will do for this one.

 

**

MICRO SYSTEMS/ANGLES

Jumps Angles

Saturday TJC (14/1<)

3.15 K- Kruzhlinin H1

K Lee Chasers (12/1<)

2.15 Weth – Grey Gold G3

3.35 Warw – Mountainous

Pam Sly Fillies/Mares

3.25 Weth – Bonnets Vino H1

NTD Unexp Chasers

3.35 War- Ballycross

 

Handicap hurdle/chase portfolio– LIVE TEST

Hurdle

2.40 Kemp- Old Guard/ Little Boy Boru G3

1.40 Weth- Murray Mount H3

Chase

3.25 Weth- Huff And Puff

3.15 Kemp- No Duffer H3

3.35 War – BallyCross

Other

Jan Trainers (pointers)

1.25 Ling – Jordan Sport (x2 angles) H3 – WON 9/2 

 

**

BONUS

My good friends over at The Betting Insiders Club allow me to share one Big Race with you every Saturday- albeit I keep forgetting to do so it appears! There star big race tipster, Dr Nick Hardman, had a decent 2016..

555 bets / 26% win|place SR (think win% sr 12% or so) / 41.6% Return on Investment / +481.36 points / or £4,813.60 to £10 bets.

That is some record. Rather enviable! If you want a big race tipster, you can do a lot worse, and can always take a look HERE>>>

“Anyway, given the horse he has tipped here, I have gone with the following from Nick’s Saturday tips..

Warwick 2.25pm

Cogry relished the slog in the mud back over hurdles last time and could go in again if reproducing that effort as he stays well and will

enjoy the forecast ground.  Barney Dwan has been unlucky on both his chase starts and could gain compensation back over hurdles. 

The Fergal O’Brien/ Paddy Brennan partnership are having a fine season.

Cogry @9/1 UP

Barney Dwan @7/1” Fell

***

That is all for today.

Good luck with your bets

Josh

 

 

About This Author

A community committed to making racing fun, enjoyable and profitable in the long term. Josh

45 Comments

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  • Nice races,hope weather will not disturbe

    Pab 13/01/17 9:10 PM Reply


  • i am away for the weekend and so ahev had a run through Saturday’s racing early.

    I am with Josh re Sego Success, 3.35 War. In the 2.25 War I like Clondaw Cian at 8/1 and as an outsider (in the ground) Buddy Bolero who I have backed on Betfair at 62.

    I hear that Dark Amber is fancied to go close in the 3.40 at LP, 10/1 available at present.

    I think that Cloudy Bob could go well at 20/1 in the 12.55 at KP.

    Finally, going for another outsider, a horse with form P0PP (Josh likes a P or two). Turban has some good form before the P’s and will likely like some bad ground. 50/1 available.

    Some each way stabs there. Good luck.

    martin colwell 13/01/17 9:32 PM Reply


  • Jock Du Jour

    Been hitting the crossbar with the first 3 selections 2-3-2,Lucky Louie ran on strongly but needed another 10 yards,oh well thats the frustration of flat races,

    Nothing tomorrow,Roger Teal maybe about to hit form with Jack Of Diamonds 7/1 generally in the 6.15 Wolverhampton.Rob Hornby is a good 3lb claimer
    Nothing jumps out on the jumps cards
    Paddy has a dire record at Warwick,but i might back The Floating Bear 4.05 nhf

    Good Luck with all your bets

    gearoid180468 13/01/17 10:07 PM Reply


    • There is My Target Ling specialist at 2:00 just check the weight and odds

      Pab 13/01/17 10:20 PM Reply


  • Hi Josh / All

    A good day for the “Super Stallions” with 2 out of 2 winners and with BOG a decent 5.5 payout on Red Avenger, Another 2 for tomorrow at Wolves……

    Wolves 6.15 – Ice Royal 7.0 best odds with 5 books
    Frozen Power 9 runs, 4 wins, 5 places 44.44% win SR, 55.56% place SR
    Staking £19.30 – 2% of £965.17

    Wolves 8.15 – Deeley’s Double 17.0 best odds Betvic / Paddy / Betstars
    Makfi 4 runs, 2 wins, 3 places 50.0% win SR, 75.00% place SR
    Staking £18.90 – 2% of £945.87

    One to note

    Wolves 7.15 – Higher Court 9.0 best odds Betbright / Betfred / Totesport
    Shamardal 33 runs, 13 wins, 20 places 39.39% win SR 60.61% place SR

    Good Luck All
    Cheers
    Steve

    Steve Wiseman 13/01/17 10:16 PM Reply


  • That woodwork sure is taking a banging at the moment but back on the bike we go.

    Volney De Thaix looks a cracking bet tomorrow in the 15:15 at Kempton. He is has been virtually automatic in class 2 or lower (111112). He is 1/1 at the track. Barry on board is another plus given he is 4/7, 6p. Henderson is 10/22, 11p over Kempton chases in the past 2 years and he is flying right now with 8 wins and 11 places from his last 18 runners over the past 8 days. Really not sure how he isnt favourite and expect to go off at 3/1 or less tomorrow.

    In the Classic Chase (Warwick 15:35) I agree with Josh on Kaki De Pree. Its quite nice that the handicapper only put him up 2lbs for that 2nd LTO. He seems to fit most of the trends. Both the 1st and 3rd LTO were backed very well so considering he was 10 lengths ahead of 3rd make me think he might have a decent amount in hand here. Trainer is in excellent form and Noel Fehily’s first ever ride for the trainer was eye-catching.

    For the Lanzarote (Kempton 14:40) the tentative vote goes to Modus who steps down back to listed level (12) and I think has been crying for this step up in trip. I feel his last run was just to keep him fresh and they put the hood back on which has been present for most his career.

    I also want an e/w bet on New Member in the last at Kempton. He ran very well LTO in a better race than this at the track and might have won if not hitting the last. He win 2 starts ago has also been franked with the 2nd and 3rd winning very easily. Tom Lacey has been incredibly profitable to follow in the past 6 months (13/51, 19p +78). Should out run his price.

    nickmazur 13/01/17 11:56 PM Reply


  • In that big race i like Kaki De La Pree and Pipe Doctor Harper

    Pab 14/01/17 12:47 AM Reply


  • as previously mentioned i’m running a tweaked system that’s supposed to give me a best bet a day!!!
    so far 0/1 -3pts (yesterdays pick was at abandoned meet)
    today 1-40 wetherby Middlebrow @4-1 3pt win
    i think most gamblers are dreamers and i’m no different so here’s my 16 pence accum on todays pick 7 would return £250k + £100k prize
    2-25 cogry
    2-40 jaleo
    3-00 peregrine run
    3-15 no duffer
    3-35 houblon des obeaux
    3-45 artifice sivola
    4-05 amoola gold
    good luck today everyone .

    martin whittle 14/01/17 7:07 AM Reply


    • just a quick add on, sometimes a strange placement stands out and in the 2-00 ling Hawatif is up in trip, first time on all weather, new trainer a.carson was with m.johnstone so a silly £2 @ 70’s (betfair).

      martin whittle 14/01/17 7:23 AM Reply


  • Ericht has almost perfect conditions at Kempton today. Loves the track and taken I think from NTF…If you pull his four main conditions together (less than 8k – 2m5f or less – Dec-Feb – Good to Soft & Soft) then you get a form line of 113217111 (6/9). Been backed from 4s to 3s.

    Found it interesting that last 3 winners of the Lanzarote have gone onto to be 3M chasers. I will be sticking with NH bred, likely stayers… so like the look of Kolondra and Will O’ The West.

    Otherwise I think Jamie Codd is a significant booking for Riverside City at Punchestown in the 1.35. Available at 6s.

    Good luck all

    JV 14/01/17 7:51 AM Reply


    • Hop you are right on Ericht JV, he is double top rated in the members post, and such stats/ratings fusion qualifiers are a perfect 3/3 so far, we shall see if he can make it 4. GL with them all.

      Josh 14/01/17 11:35 AM Reply


  • No Pete the Feat this week Josh but you must throw half a point at RUSSE BLANC

    Richard Patrick’s 7lb claim means Russe Blanc arrives here in the same net position as 2016.

    The yard are in form and Richard Patrick is regularly riding their winners. Patrick had a nice quiet spin aboard the selection last month.

    Worth £10 ew Josh – The horse owes you nowt

    Best of Luck

    Joe 14/01/17 9:26 AM Reply


    • I’m with you on Russe Blanc Joe…at 28/1 Betfair…..and K Lee training…got to have a go.
      Best of Luck mate.

      Tony Mc 14/01/17 11:12 AM Reply


      • I really can’t see it, just looks out of form to my eyes, even if this was ‘a plan’ – no horse has won this twice before, but then there are a few lining up today, so maybe today is the day! I will see what spare change I have lying around. This is a deeper race than last year also I think, I would be mildly surprised if he won this. But, GL, at that price, you can over think things.

        Josh 14/01/17 11:28 AM Reply


  • Hi.
    I like Houblon Des Obeaux at 335 Warwick just got the feeling that this is the target race. I’m also on Carloswayback at 315 Kempton I just hope it’s not gonna finish in his name style 🙂

    Marcin Sudol 14/01/17 12:03 PM Reply


    • Good luck Marcin, Yep Houblon has a touch of class, but that is a lot of weight and his legs not getting any faster, and was beaten well enough in this last year. We shall see. Not many in here would make you fall of your seat if they won, ultra competitive.

      Carlos- well he is a nice price. He hacked up two runs ago, and is lightly raced for his age. He ran OK LTO, stamina looked stretched. A place wouldn’t surprise, a win wouldn’t be a total shock, and neither would a tailed off effort! 28/1 to roll the EW TTP dice. No Duffer the main one I think. We shall see. Money for Silvergrove interesting, maybe they expect more today,. Bounced back to his best he will go close.
      GL Josh

      Josh 14/01/17 12:13 PM Reply


  • Hopefully Heskin will take the Paddy approach and take the iniative from the flag on No Duffer

    gearoid180468 14/01/17 12:34 PM Reply


  • Jordan Sport won 9/2

    did not expect that SP, I backed it @ 5/2 BOG so very pleased that was highlighted by the Blog….especially when it was a racing certainty !!

    Norman 14/01/17 1:35 PM Reply


    • Good stuff, yep I waited , and waited, and then dived in when hit 4s, thought that was ok give won LTO, and Simcock been in cracking form. Pays for a few losers anyway 🙂

      Josh 14/01/17 1:37 PM Reply


      • When I saw the price I did jump in, even thou I said I was going to leave the race alone too big a price to miss.

        Gavin 14/01/17 3:53 PM Reply


  • Hi all,
    I don’t like maiden race’s but I can’t quite understand why Bessemer lady is 33/1 2.35 Ling.
    Beckett does do well with his fillies ,stable going OK and good draw.
    The other I fancy at a price is 3.25 Wetherby Ballybogey @20’s…..no particular reason

    jarrodholmes68 14/01/17 1:48 PM Reply


  • American won @ 4/1

    one for the “Dream Team” combo of Fry & Fehily…drifted from an early 3/1 BOG out to win @ 4/1….a surprising day, not big prices but a winner never the less

    Norman 14/01/17 2:10 PM Reply


  • No Duffer+No Paddy=No Win,but the drift said it all

    gearoid180468 14/01/17 3:30 PM Reply


  • Almost a clear round – Back to plan B for next week

    Jo 14/01/17 3:54 PM Reply


  • oops 30 pts not taken at wetherby

    gearoid180468 14/01/17 4:08 PM Reply


    • Ohhh nooo… a few members backed him, some getting 50s on BF. If in doubt, back the NHF runners, have something on- 25/1 ISP. Next time. Made up for a really shit day in truth, well for me anyway!

      Josh 14/01/17 4:18 PM Reply


  • Josh
    I read all your blogs watched your various videos about how many points you made in November/December which makes you think RTP must be something worth joining.
    Why is it when i do join everything goes belly up, like today , looking through all the selections given from TTP, Free tips etc.etc i have seen just one winner ( one for harry ) so far.

    Okay i haven’t been with you very long, no doubt i’m being impatient but am i impressed with the selections , hardly.
    Having to rely on the so called big price winner is just mindless punting to me. The form of the horse doesn’t seem to be of any importance to you.
    Sorry to be negative where most of the other reports you get are more positive although no more profitable.
    I know all about losing runs but its never nice to see a balance of any kind dwindling day by day.

    Best regards

    Keith

    Keith Tibbett 14/01/17 4:21 PM Reply


    • Hi Keith,

      Firstly, we can now add in Mountain Path (25/1) to those winners today. Those members that have just backed him at 50/1 BFSP, seem to be happy.

      Secondly, your comment suggests that despite having read everything, esp TTP/Members, you still do not understand that service at all. Which is fine, probably my at times useless way of explaining things.

      Have you read the welcome note, that I have posted on most posts this week, inc today?

      There you will see a clear advised strategy, and a bank of points. The ratings pointers won 38 points last week, sadly the racing gods have had their revenge, we may have given 20 or so of those back I think- ratings pointers wise, with a few decent price placed horses. There have only been three winners so far bigger than 10/1, in the ratings points, and I am quite comfortable that it is not ‘brainless punting’ but if that’s what you think it is, then it clearly won’t be for you. They do find big priced winners, there are no odds caps, but the profit is more than satisfactory if you stripped those out.

      Given the performance of the ratings pointers, the advice has been for that to be the main focus.

      May I ask what success looks like to you? Do you have an idea in your mind of how many points you like to average over a season, a year, what is acceptable?

      We had won 90 points in the first 28 days of ratings pointers- that wasn’t going to be sustainable – I haven’t found the magic money tree- more something that looks likely to be profitable over time (as yet I don’t know to what level)

      Oh, there is a 9/2 winner above also, Jan Pointers.

      The FREE tips won 70 points last year, they are on around +15 points so far this year maybe, I need to tot up. I make errors, I don’t find as many winners as I would like, I make annoying misjudgements, like with the winner of the 3.35, but, you do with it as you please.

      Everything is always all about timing. Which is why the advice is ALWAYS to start small, and build up. If you started following the ratings pointers last monday, you would be concerned. As would those that started on Boxing day.. a week or so later we won 38 points and everyone was ahead.

      Losing runs happen, sadly I can’t pick their timing.

      To say my selections show no appreciation of form shows a lack of understanding as to the approach.

      The TPP ratings pointers use speed ratings and HRB ratings with the sole purpose of adding more sophistication to selections- horse based, form selections. Not just trainer habits, which my stats are based on.

      The micro systems above- well again, they don’t touch horse form as part of the micro angles, they are trainer based- and again I have started adding HRB and Geegeez Speed indicators to help.

      I don’t really know what else to say. I have tried to explain everything clearly, and repeatedly. Over and over again.

      You will have a profitable time , over time, here, I think. If you judge this blog in a small snap shot of time, a few days, a few weeks etc, you won’t hang around for very long. Which is fair enough, my style, approach, services, free stuff, may well not be for you.

      Regards
      Josh

      Josh 14/01/17 4:40 PM Reply


      • josh
        Thanks for reply , there’s no doubt there are some aspects i do not understand but, i will.
        Should have said in first note that i do intend sticking around ( sorry ).
        I do enjoy reading your reasons for selections or why their not selections.
        Suppose today i just got a little frustrated.

        Keith

        Keith Tibbett 14/01/17 5:15 PM Reply


    • Hmm I too Have Critacal about Josh in the Past. In particular about boosting Purple Patches and Points Won ,at Prices that suddenly boost the Profits. In particular about Charging for a Service . Thus getting into realm of Tipsterism? if you like .But a lot of Hard work goes into the Blog. And its good.
      To Get trainers stats + Ratings Now would cost you Quite a Lot
      ie Timeform Etc .Mathermatician Betting at 95 Quid a Month Much of the Problem is With Form. in Reality . Statistics I Think are worn out . Trainer plots are in for Races. There are only Couple of other Services where you Can Get an In depth study at the Price and most of what Josh Does is Free. so all in all a Look at Blog and ratings may point in Right Direction . Having said that .Not made any profit nor Lost.

      Richard Hannell 14/01/17 5:13 PM Reply


      • Hi Richard, thanks in part for your comment 🙂

        The members club is not a paid tipster service, it is more an information based service, based on trainer stats and ratings. The ratings pointers provide a short list of focused bets, a list of ‘tips’ if you will, but they do not include any subjective judgement from me.

        I will take issue with one comment- because it questions my integrity, which is the only thing that pisses me off in truth. I have never intentionally boosted a price on a horse- I thought I was quite fair on prices I declared at, esp for TIPS, on the rare occasion I can tip a winner. I do keep an eye and try and declare at a reasonable price, one advised but also that I deem accessible to readers, and not just available with one bookmaker.

        There may be unintentional examples somewhere and I apologise if so. And you are free to comment at the time and say X price wasn’t available.

        There is a lot of profit hidden on these pages, in various forms,a lot of losers also, too many for comfort at times- as I said to keith, everything is about timing and my approach is best judged over time. And you can judge with your eyes/readership.

        Best Josh

        Josh 14/01/17 5:21 PM Reply


        • I’m going to jump in to back Josh up as well. I’ve followed a lot of tipsters over the years. Of all of them, Josh is the one who has most emphasis on making sure the recorded price is something that was readily available. I’d have thought that the real results are actually better than recorded results across the board, because often Josh records at lower than the best price available.

          Neil 14/01/17 5:43 PM Reply


          • I think that point needs to be emphasized. One of the many things I do appriciate here is Josh’s honesty in pricing up. Its rare in this industry. We all (or at least anyone who follows him) know how good a a tipster Dr Nick Hardman is but he constantly putting up prices used by just the one bookmaker or making use of bookmaker concessions not available to everyone like extra places.

            nickmazur 14/01/17 5:56 PM Reply


            • Absolutely. SotD is the same – the recorded price only needs to be available with one bookie at the time of posting.

              Neil 14/01/17 6:08 PM Reply


  • Keith

    Sorry,but have you looked at the results from wetherby,mountain path won at 25/1 along with one for harry,hadnt a shilling on either myself but its pretty clear to see on the members page,as i always say look within first

    gearoid180468 14/01/17 4:35 PM Reply


  • Can someone please explain the Paddy B obsession on this website. Again today he fell off Barney D and in a finish he resembles a scarifier. arms and legs flapping about in all directions. Definitely yesterdays man, soon to be joined by Barry G.

    Clive 14/01/17 5:24 PM Reply


  • Good Evening Clive,

    I might me the main culprit for the Paddy Brennan Obsession but I think many on here would be fans of Paddy on the basis that we have had a fairly profitable run of results where Paddy was on board.I did a Paddy watch post from mid oct-dec,anyone who followed the selections and staking advice would have made roughly 50 points profit.Since then I have only mentioned Paddy where he and trainer have decent strike rate,thursday 4/1 and 10/1 winner.For some reason Paddy has terrible record at Warwick as i stated on earlier post .according to the racing post Paddy is showing a seasonal profit in excess +143,probably more if backed at early prices,hardly yesterdays man story.As for Barry G I do believe he won 2 of the 7 races on kemptons card.Probably you werent impressed with his win on Modus,holding him out the back,gradually creeping forward and producing him at the business end to win in a canter

    gearoid180468 14/01/17 5:55 PM Reply


    • There is the Tom George handicap chase system also, that has done rather well since introduction, paddy responsible for most of those profits last 18 months or so?…

      Josh 14/01/17 6:03 PM Reply


  • Jjujust

    Richard 14/01/17 7:23 PM Reply


  • Jjujusjust

    Richard 14/01/17 7:24 PM Reply


  • Paddy is the man! Have made some nice money from his mounts for the last 3 yrs, more for each year yay! Can’t fault Josh for anything on the blog win or lose I’ve won money over the long to mid term, also I’ve brought a fair few of guides and systems… I’m not one to part with my money easily and am know to pinch pennies lol

    James Bunch 14/01/17 9:33 PM Reply


  • .First time commenting…

    Josh is a good egg, dont bash the guy. He is genuine and tries hard. He is not in anyway a bullshitter. If you cant take losing runs you must be new to racing. You will struggle to find anywhere better than this, in every respect, anywhere.

    Robin 14/01/17 11:11 PM Reply


  • Having run a tipping service myself in the very dim and distant past I know only too well about some of the comments we see on here.

    As a rule 25% are appreciative of all you try to do; 25% are appreciative as long as you are tipping winners and 50% are only interested in winners and when they don’t win its everybody elses fault but there own.

    This forum has for the past 2 years been largely a haven for the 25% who are appreciative of all Josh tries, sadly on occasions we get elements of the 50%, they make outlandish comments and then either offer a grovelling apology when they realise that tipping every horse when they are told specifically not to do so is THEIR FAULT or they just vanish back under the hole they came from.

    There are 3-4 tipping/system service that I implicitly trust to be doing the best job they can at all times to help me, 2 I derived from Racing Index proofing website and 2 I derived from Geegeez.com, one of whom is Josh.

    They don’t provide a winner of every race. but they all provide informed opinion, honesty; integrity and education and in all 4 case if you as the user are intuitive, a nice consistent profit of around 15-20% roi too.

    Colin Cross 15/01/17 9:51 AM Reply


    • very well said and very well put Colin.

      I came across Josh from ggeez too and also use a couple of the best performing racing index tipsters all to good effect.

      I can only endorse your fulsome praise of Josh and the majority of very sensible and very knowlgeble posters who usually post on here.

      ian 15/01/17 6:07 PM Reply


      • You gents are far too kind. Much appreciated. Josh

        Josh 15/01/17 6:52 PM Reply


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