HAYDOCK SAT: Trends/Stats

Two races for Saturday.

A more in depth look at the 3m handicap chase that finishes the card and the Fixed Brush Hurdle. I couldn’t find any stats/trends for the 3m4f handicap chase as yet.

Some of the numbers etc are small so some caution as always and these should only ever be used as a guide.

 

SAT 19/11/16

Haydock

3m Handicap Chase (3.55) 3.35 

102 bets / 9 wins / 28 placed horses

 

TRENDS

Previous Place

  • 3/14,5 places WON LTO
  • PU: 1/16

Horse Age

  • 10+ : 0/19,3p

Horse Weight (exc claim)

  • 11-11+ : 4/21,9 places
  • 10-10 or less: 0/16, 1p

Season Runs

  • 3+ : 0/10,0p

Odds

  • 9/9 16/1 or shorter: 18/1+ : 0/24, 1 place

 

***

OTHER STATS

Miscellaneous 1

Origin of Horse

  • GB: 0/28, 8 places
  • IRE: 5/48,11 p
  • FR: 4/23,9 p

Pos Wgts (ex Clm) –

  • Top/joint top: 3/15,6 p

 

‘The ‘Running’ Characteristics’

H-Run (NH Race Type)

  • 9/9 had 10 or fewer chase runs
    • 11+ : 0/51, 9 places

H- RUN (Hncp NH Race Type) 

  • 9/9 had 5 or fewer handicap chase runs
    • 6+ : 0/55, 12 places

H-Run (Last Placing)

  • 9/9 had placed at least once on one of last three starts
    • Had not: 0/23,3 p

 

The ‘Winning’ Characteristics

H-Win (NH Race Type).

  • 9/9 had 0-3 Chase wins
    • 4+ : 0/30, 8 places

 

H-Win (Hcap NH)

  • 9/9 had 0-2 handicap chase wins
    • 3+ : 0/29, 6 places

 

Miscellaneous 2

Best in Three Runs

  • 7/9 had won at least once of last two starts
  • 9/9 had won or come 2nd on at least one of last three starts
    • Had not: 0/28, 5 places

 

Distance Move

  • Down 1f or more: 0/36, 8 places
  • 6/9 running at same distance or down 0.5f.

 

Highest Class Win

  • Had won at Listed level or above: 0/19, 4 places

 

Horses ‘Last Race’ Characteristics

(LR) Track

  • Chelt: 2/19, 6 places
  • 1 win: Bangor/Ascot/Market R/Ayr/Wincaton/Haydock/Chepstow
  • Wetherby: 0/8,2p
  • Kelso: 0/7, 0p
  • Aintree: 0/13,3p

 

Trainers (of interest)

No trainer has won this more than once as yet…

  • V Williams: 1/8, 4 places
  • 1 win: Bridgewater/E Williams/C Mann/D Pipe/D McCain/P Nicholls/M Jefferson/H Daly
  • Mrs S J Smith: 0/10,1p
  • NTD: 0/5,0 p

 

 

***

Fixed Brush Handicap Hurdle

‘lighter touch’

9/9 Age 5,6,7

  • 8+ : 0/59,9 p
  • 5/9 aged 5

9/9 carried 10-10 or more (exc claims)

9/9 OR 132+

9/9 0-2 runs this season

9/9 HAD NOT run over 25.5f or further in career before

7/9 Had WON over 19.5-21f Max

7/9 had run 4-6 times over hurdles

9/9 0-2 handicap hurdle wins

French Bred: 5/36, 13p

GB/IRE: 4/108,20p

Ran in Chase LTO: 1/39,9p

Trainers

  • D Pipe: 3/11,4 p
  • N Williams: 2/4, 2 p
  • 1 win each: D Skelton/F Doumen/M Jefferson/T Easterby
  • NTD: 0/9,1p
  • V Williams: 0/6,0p
  • Mrs S J Smith: 0/7, 0p
  • P Nicholls: 0/6,2p
  • A King: 0/6,1p
  • Jonjo: 0/7,3p
  • N Henderson: 0/7,4p

 

***

 

About This Author

A community committed to making racing fun, enjoyable and profitable in the long term. Josh

2 Comments

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  • Haydock could be the 3.35?

    Clavis 18/11/16 2:48 PM Reply


    • indeed it is! Not the biggest of fields so not sure how useful they will be!

      Josh 18/11/16 3:09 PM Reply


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