SAT Trends+Stats: Badger Ales Trophy

Wincanton: Badger Ales Chase

I will look at the last 10 years, 132 horses, 32 placed horses

CHECKLIST

TRENDS

Previous Place

  • 8/10 Top 4 LTO
    • 6/10 Top 2 LTO
    • 2/10 Fell or PU
    • 5th or worse (but completed): 0/38, 6 places

Horse Age

  • Age 10+ : 0/20,3 places

Days Since Run

  • 6/10 ran 11-30 days ago
  • 4/10 ran 181-300 days ago

Horse Weight (exc claims)

  • 11-8 or more: 0/33, 3 places
    • 11-10 or more: 0/19, 0 places

Horse Official Rating

  • OR 144+ : 0/18 2places

 

Season Runs

  • 0: 3/61, 13 places
  • 1-2: 6/50, 15 places

 

Position In Market

  • 10th or lower in market: 0/38,3 places

Odds

  • 10/10: 16/1 or shorter
    • 18/1+ : 0/38, 4 places

 

***

OTHER STATS

Miscellaneous 1

Origin of Horse

  • GB: 3/25,5 places
  • ORE: 7/86,22 places
  • FR: 0/19,4 places

 

Pos Wgts (ex Clm) –

  • TOP 2 in weights (inc joint weight) 0/23,2 places
  • 11th or worse in weights: 6/30,12 places

 

‘The ‘Running’ Characteristics’

H- RUN (Hncp NH Race Type) 

  • 12 or more handicap chase runs: 0/34, 5 places

 

H- Run (track)

  • 3+ track runs: 0/18, 2 places
    • 0: 2/51,11 places
    • 1-2: 8/63,19 places

 

The ‘Winning’ Characteristics

H-Win (Career)

  • 8+ career wins: 0/16, 1 place

 

H-Win (NH Race Type).

  • 5+ chase wins: 0/20, 2 place

Miscellaneous 2

Highest Class Win

  • Had won at G1 and G2 level: 0/19,2 places

H-Places (NH Race type)

  • 9+ places in chases (inc wins) : 0/24, 2 places

 

Horses ‘Last Race’ Characteristics

(LR) Hcap/Non

  • Ran non handicap LTO: 0/32, 6 places

 (LR) No. of Runners

  • Ran in race with 3-7 runners LTO: 0/23,4 places

 

 (LR) Track

  • Chelt: 4/30,11 places
  • Winc: 2/9,4 places
  • 1 win: Chep/Ayr/Hayd/Bang
  • Aintree: 0/15, 1 place

 

Trainers (of interest)

  • D Pipe: 3/13,5 places
  • P Nicholls: 3/20,8 p
  • 1 win: Longsdon/Mulholland/Hobbs/N Mitchell
  • Lavelle: 0/4,2 places
  • N Williams: 0/4,2p
  • T George: 0/9,2 p
  • C Tizzard: 0/5,0p
  • NTD: 0/7,0 p
  • A King: 0/7,1p
  • Venetia Williams: 0/4,2p
  • P Bowen: 0/6,0 p
About This Author

A community committed to making racing fun, enjoyable and profitable in the long term. Josh

6 Comments

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  • Cheers Josh

    Rain in Wincanton! Keep it coming, heavens and let Royal Palladium trounce the field in the mud for Venetia – and us, perhaps?

    aallen 04/11/16 12:16 PM Reply


    • yep let to look at race at all, couldn’t tell you who is running haha. Just about to head into the cards… yep could well be…he placed in race before hasn’t he, may well have been target, wetter the better maybe.. will be a micro qualifier is lining up I assume.

      Josh 04/11/16 12:19 PM Reply


      • No and no – Royal Palladium a non-entry and as for the weather: will probably still be Good on the day, right>?

        aallen 04/11/16 3:41 PM Reply


        • yep, no rain – watered- could be on the firm side if anything – The fav, Present Man, is looking very strong to me, 11/2,5s may be decent enough. Still pondering.

          Josh 04/11/16 3:44 PM Reply


          • I’ve never been keen to back anything which has done its winning in small fields and your stats in this race back that up. Also those that have raced over 2m4.5f or less LTO are 0/24 also. I am will going to have a second look later and it isn’t going to be more than 0.5pt e/w but currently leaning towards Roc Dapsis particularly as he should be 20/1 with 365 in the morning.

            nickmazur 04/11/16 5:09 PM Reply


            • Obv Roc was also running in a 7 runner race but at least he has winning form in double figure fields and you’re getting a price (oh I so wish for an edit button)

              nickmazur 04/11/16 5:11 PM Reply


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