TTP Jumps Notes: SUN 16/10/16 (complete)

3 good winners on Saturday at 9/2, 2/1 and 4/1 including the 89/1 1-2-3 in one race (and no i didn’t do the tri-cast) and the 10/1 1-2 in another race  also. +6.5 points or so if you had just backed all 7 runners.

(I will post up a link with a refreshed guide in Monday’s post)

 

Onto Kempton…

KEMPTON

 

2.30

Tindaro (hncp c) 9/1 NR

Lemon’s Gent (hncp c) 12/1 UP 10/1

NOTE: both… Webber is 0/7, 1 place last 14 days, can’t really read much into that. Tindaro…has since run on flat abroad but won well before that and is a course winner. The two horses that finished behind him that day in 2nd and 3rd have since won 3 races between them, so some substance to summer form I suppose. Does like to lead, as does Lemon’s Gent and quite a few others in here also.

Lemon’s Gent…trainer is 9/77,21 places handicap chasers 60+ days off, BUT… 3/9, 5 places with such runners at Kempton. Horse is 2/9, 4 places after 60+ days off. Stays further , unexposed, and with possible pace in here could be of some interest maybe. Does step up in class.

No stats/profile reason why you wouldn’t be interested in either I don’t think, just then a more subjective question of form etc. Given the odds I suspect I will have a nibble on both.

 

3.35

Cowards Close (hncp c) 7/2 UP

NOTE: Gordon 0/13, 3 places last 14 days. He is 2/4,3 places with handicap chasers here returning after breaks of 60+ days. Horse is 2/7, 3 places after breaks 60+ days, all runs… those wins were for Nicholls. His rating is 110 now…IF he ever regains any form, given previous marks of 130, he is going to dot up. He could just have regressed though. This may be the best time to catch him, we shall see. 7/2 may be short given his form? Money seems to have come as soon as opened up, put in at 6s.

 

BONUS

4.45

Valseur Du Granval (George 4/6 here in novice handicap chases) 9/4 WON 3/1

 

***

My View: Well there is no stand out stat etc that would put me straight off any of those three main bets above. I will be having something on all three I suspect- Cowards Close has a bit in his favour IF you can ignore recent form. The break may have done him good and the market may guide. But, that is just me.

Good luck what/if you play on anything

Enjoy the rest of your weekend,

Josh

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1 Comment

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  • I hear a good word for Golanova, 3.35 KP. Would have liked 8 runners for an each way punt.

    martin colwell 16/10/16 11:57 AM Reply


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