A NEW TEST POLL AT END OF POST… YOU HAVE UNTIL 1PM TO VOTE
None. Happy to leave both 3m+ chases and keep a watching brief this time.
3.30 Exeter- looks tricky- the youngest one in the field is short enough for Lavelle for me at 9/4. Plenty of older, inconsistent horses in here also. A race I am happy to leave on good to firm.
4.15 Hereford- This just looks a right puzzle and a race to watch for me. 4x LTO winners, 6 horses aged 7 who are open to mature future over this distance at some point, 4 coming here off breaks versus the rest who are fit from summer jumping. 7 of the 9 trainers are ‘in form’. (having said that given the micro angle as a way in below, and as in comments,i have had 1/2 point on Roc D’apsis… he is up against other in form,fit horses open to progress…his jumping has been shoddy at times and he has stamina to prove..but he is unexposed over this trip,ground may help, he has won after a break,and he could be better than these…was worth a small chance at odds and is definitely a handicap chaser to keep an eye on this season… 9s>7s>6s)
NOTE: As always you can find the notes/research to the Sept/Oct Systems in the Free Systems/Reports Tab and the notes for Kerry Lee if you scroll all the way through.
4.15 Her – Belmount WON 9/2> 5/2 (ticks 1 run in 90 days box I think)*
*Pawn Star hacked up at Exeter as below, he came third to Belmount at NA on their last race. Safe to say form franked
4.50 Her – Little Pop WON 9/2>3/1 (ran 21-60 days ago, a positive)
5.20 Her –
One Forty Seven (none on my notes…QUALIFIES for Non-handicap Micro) NR
3.30 Exet – Pawn Star WON 5/2 (a couple of ticks here against positives)
Kerry Lee Chasers (12/1<)
4.50 Her – Aces Over Eights – UP 5/1
NEW! Handicap Hurdle/Chase Portfolio
5.15 Exet – Billy My Boy (clear top weights) 3rd 9/2>3/1 (not sure if he liked the blinkers there)
(I have found a couple so far and one of them has a qualifier…this one looks at Tom George when he runs his chases at the same or only up 1/2 f from last run)
4.15 Her – Roc Dapsis UP*
*backed into 9/2 before drifting back out to 8s which said it all. A strange run. Maybe slowly slowly with something in mind as he went backwards earlier than I would have expected- before stamina would have been an issue. One to keep an eye on,but maybe not on his next start.
I would like to add some ‘polls’ to the blog content to see if the ‘wisdom of the crowd’ approach may work with any horses mentioned in the daily posts. In essence these polls allow you to anonymously vote for a horse/horses you may fancy. You can click ‘view result’ at any time, but it may be best voting before you do that – results to date pop up once you have voted. The following Test poll will close at 1pm I think- at that time, in theory, it should then display the final results, touch wood. It is a bit of fun and I suppose it will be clear from the number of votes whether it is something that adds any enjoyment to these posts…
Which Systems Horse Do You Most Fancy? (can vote for 3 max)
- Belmount (14%, 8 Votes)
- Little Pop (5%, 3 Votes)
- Pawn Star (7%, 4 Votes)
- Aces Over Eights (36%, 21 Votes)
- Billy My Boy (14%, 8 Votes)
- Roc Dapsis (24%, 14 Votes)
- NONE (2%, 1 Votes)
Total Voters: 37