Saturday Big Race Trends: Ascot Challenge Cup

A loot at the 3.40 from Ascot on Saturday: The Challenge Cup (Heritage Handicap)

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ASCOT: CHALLENGE CUP

A look at the last 8 renewals

164 runners, 30 placed horses

 

CHECKLIST

TRENDS

Previous Place

  • 8/8 Top 8 LTO
    • 9th or worse: 0/40, 2 places

Days Since Run

  • 6/8 ran within last 15 days
    • 16+ : 2/88, 14 places

Horse Weight (exc claim)

  • 9-9+ : 0/14, 1 place

Horse Official Rating

  • 7/8 OR 99-105
    • 98< : 1/78, 7 places
    • 106+ : 0/20, 4 places

Wins (Distance)

  • 8/8 had 0-1 distance wins
    • 2+ : 0/83, 12 places

Odds

  • 7/8 , 16/1 or shorter
    • 18/1 + : 1/73, 7 places

 

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OTHER STATS

Miscellaneous 1

Pos Wgts (ex Clm) –

  • Top weighte (inc joint): 0/9, 0 places

 

Stalls/Draw

Stall

  • 8/8 drawn 13 or lower
    • 14+: 0/70, 2 places

 

‘The ‘Running’ Characteristics’

H-Run (distance)

  • 11+ : 0/49, 6 places

 

The ‘Winning’ Characteristics

H-Win (Career).

  • 6+ : 0/41, 6 places

H-Win (Hncp/Non)

  • 8/8 had 1-3 handicap wins
    • 0: 0/15, 5 places
    • 4+ : 0/46, 7 places

H-Win (Track)

  • 8/8 never won at track
    • 1+ : 0/52, 9 places

 

Miscellaneous 2

Class Move

  • Up 1+ : 0/22, 2 places

Highest Class Win

  • 8/8 had win at C2 or above
    • Had not: 0/28, 2 places

 

Horses ‘Last Race’ Characteristics

(LR) Track

  • Ayr: 5/40, 9 places
  • 1 win: Chester/Goodwood/Newbury
  • Ascot: 0/17, 3 places
  • Doncaster: 0/16, 3 places

 

Horses ‘First Ever Run’ Characteristics

1st Run Distance

  • 5f: 0/31, 4 places

 

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Trainers (of interest)

  • 1 win: A Balding/P Chapple-H/R Fahey/J Gosden/K Ryan/D Nicholls/H Morrison/M Bell/
  • M Johnston: 0/10,1 place
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