Big Race Trends/Stats: Sky Bet Dash (York)

I have had a look at the Sky Bet Dash from York on Saturday. There are a few interesting pointers that may help narrow down the field. 

 

York: SkyBet Dash

12 renewals

207 runners, 43 placed horses

 

TRENDS

Previous Place

  • Nothing too significant
    • 5/12 Top 2 LTO
    • 7/12 Top 3 LTO

Horse Age

  • 10/12 Aged 3-5
    • 2/12 Aged 6/7: 2/62, 9 places…17% winners…30% runners…21% places
    • 8+ : 0/17, 5 places

Days Since Run

  • Nothing overly significant
    • 46+ days: 0/17, 1 place
    • 16-25 days: 0/19, 3 places

Horse Weight

  • Nothing significant

Horse Official Rating

  • Nothing significant

Season Runs

  • Nothing significant

Wins (Distance)

  • 11/12: 0-3 distance wins
    • 4+ : 1/60, 12 places… 8% winners…29% runners…28% places

 

Position In Market

  • 12/12 Top 5 in the market
    • Favs (inc joint) : 5/13, 6 places
    • Top 2 in market (inc joints): 9/32, 14 places
    • 6th or lower: 0/132, 17 places

Odds

  • 12/12 – 12/1 or shorter SP
  • 9/1 or shorter: 11/51, 22 places
  • 14/1+ : 0/126, 18 places

 

***

OTHER STATS

Miscellaneous 1

Origin of Horse

  • Nothing significant

Headgear

  • Cheekpieces: 0/13, 3 places
  • Blinkers: 0/16, 3 places

Pos Wgts (ex Clm) –

  • Top 2 in weights (inc joints): 5/28, 9 places
  • Clear/Joint Bottom: 0/17, 1 place

 

Stalls/Draw

Stall

  • 11/12 drawn 12 or lower
    • 13+ : 1/70, 14 places

 

‘The ‘Running’ Characteristics’

H – Run (career)

  • 6/12: had 9 or fewer career runs.

H- Run (Hncp/Non Hncp)

  • 6/12: 0-6 handicap runs

H-Run (distance)

  • 8/12: 0-6 distance runs

H-Run (Last Win)

  • 8/12 had won at least one of last two starts
  • 10/12 had won at least one of last four starts

H-Run (Last Placing)

  • 12/12 Had placed on at least one of last two starts.
    • 0/86, 13 places did not

 

The ‘Winning’ Characteristics

H-Win (Career).

  • 7+ : 1/38, 6 places

 

Miscellaneous 2

Best in Three Runs

  • 12/12 Top 2 at least once in last 3 runs. 9/12 had won.

Class Move

  • Up2/3 classes: 0/14, 3 places

Distance Move

  • Up 1 furlong: 0/49, 5 places

Jockey Claims

  • 3lbs: 0/16, 2 places
  • 5lbs: 1/19, 5 places
  • 7lbs: 0/7, 1 place

 

Horses ‘Last Race’ Characteristics

 (LR) Race Class (inc Irish)

  • C4/5: 0/14, 3 places

 

 (LR) Track

  • Newcastle: 3/12, 4 places
  • York: 2/27, 6 places
  • Ascot: 2/24, 6 places
  • Hamilton: 2/39, 8 places
  • 1 win: Windso/Warw/Newmarket (july)
  • Chester: 0/11, 2 places
  • Curragh: 0/9, 3 places
  • Ayr: 0/10, 2 places
  • Ponte: 0/10., 1 place

 

Horses ‘First Ever Run’ Characteristics

Nothing of note.

***

Trainers (of interest)

Only one trainer has won this more than once…

  • R Fahey: 2/20, 6 places
  • 1 win: Jim Goldie/A Magnusson/D K Ivory/M Johnston/C Hills/M Easterby/K Burke / JJ Quinn (+ Barry Hills)
  • D O’Meara: 0/7, 0 places
  • D Nicholls: 0/23, 6 places
  • T Easterby:0/16, 0 places
  • T D Barron: 0/8, 0 places
  • K Ryan: 0/12, 3 places
About This Author

A community committed to making racing fun, enjoyable and profitable in the long term. Josh

2 Comments

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  • Used what I thought were the most important trends (9 of them) Only 1 horse qualified – Kimberella – won 5/1fav. I didn’t back it but your trends were dead on!!!!!

    Sean Gilligan 23/07/16 8:43 PM Reply


    • Thanks Sean – it is the first time they have been dead on this year I think haha – albeit that isnt from many ‘big races’. They found last years winner also, so for that race at least they seem solid enough!

      Josh Wright 24/07/16 7:22 AM Reply


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