Some Saturday Trends/Stats

 

There are some stats pointers below for two races. Post Complete. 

Newmarket: Suffolk Stakes (2.00)

TRENDS

Previous Place

  • 8/11 Top 4 LTO

Days Since Run

  • 6/11 ran 121-365 days ago

Horse Official Rating

  • 11/11 OR 86+
    • OR85< : 0/36, 5 places

Position In Market

  • 11/11 Top 7 in market
    • 8 or lower: 0/91, 11 places

Odds

  • 11/11: 12/1 or shorter
  • 14/1+ : 0/87, 9 places

***

OTHER STATS

Miscellaneous 1

Weight (excl J-Claim)

  • 8-7 or below: 0/54, 11 places
  • 9-4+ : 1/38, 9 places

Stalls/Draw

Stall

  • 11/11 drawn 12 or lower
    • 13+ : 0/47, 7 places

‘The ‘Running’ Characteristics’

H-Run (Last Placing)

  • 11/11 placed at least once on last 4 starts.
    • Had not: 0/30, 4 places

Miscellaneous 2

Best in Three Runs

  • 9/11 Top 2 on at least one of last 3 runs

H-Places (Hncp/Non)

  • 10+ : 0/25, 2 places

Horses ‘Last Race’ Characteristics

 (LR) Race Class (inc Irish)

  • Class 1: 0/25, 5 places

(LR) Odds

  • 11/11 – 14/1 or shorter LTO
    • 16/1+ : 0/49, 7 places

(LR) Track

  • Newmarket (Rowley): 3/20, 7 places
  • 1 win – many!
  • Lingfield: 0/9, 1 place
  • Epsom: 0/10, 0 places
  • Wolvs: 0/6, 0 places

Horses ‘First Ever Run’ Characteristics

1st Run Distance

  • 5/6f: 0/44, 7 places

***

Trainers (of interest)

No trainer has won this more than once as yet.

Of note

  • RCharlton/Morrison/Haggas/Beckett/Johnston/Meehan/Webber/Stoute/Ellison/Balding
  • R Fahey: 0/10, 3 places

***

Thirsk Hunt Cup

TRENDS

Horse Age

  • 8+ : 0/34, 7 places

Horse Weight

  • 9-8+ : 0/30, 1 place

Position In Market

  • 18/19 Top 8 in market

Odds

  • 19/19 20/1<
    • 22/1+ : 0/80, 5 places

***

OTHER STATS

Miscellaneous 1

Weight (excl J-Claim)

  • 9-11+ : 0/17, 0 places

Stalls/Draw

Stall

  • 1+2: 0/36, 5 places
    • 15/18 drawn 6-12

‘The ‘Running’ Characteristics’

H-Run (distance)

  • 0: 0/17, 1 place

H- Run (track)

  • 3+ : 1/51, 8 place

 

The ‘Winning’ Characteristics

H-Win (Career).

  • 6+ : 1/76, 8 places

H-Win (Hncp/Non)

  • 5+ : 1/70, 10 places

Miscellaneous 2

Jockey Claims

  • 3lbs: 0/30, 6 places

Horses ‘Last Race’ Characteristics

(LR) Race Code (All-Weather)

  • All-Weather: 0/34, 5 places
  • NH: 0/6, 1 place

(LR) Track

  • Newbury: 5/24, 9 p
  • Thirsk: 3/36, 8 p
  • Pontefract: 2/27, 13 p
  • Donc: 2/36, 4 p
  • Newm (Rowl): 2/22, 5 p
  • Wolvs: 0/14, 0 p
  • Ripon: 0/13, 3 p
  • Sand: 0/8, 1 p
  • Ascot: 0/9, 1 p
  • Red: 0/9, 1 p
  • Kempton: 0/13, 1 p

Horses ‘First Ever Run’ Characteristics

1st Run Distance

  • 5f: 0/57, 10 places

***

Trainers (of interest)

  • Cumani: 2/3,3 p
  • Fahey: 2/12,4 p
  • T Easterby: 2/24, 5 p
  • K Ryan: 2/16, 4 p
  • 1 win – many (M Easterby/Ellison/Bailey/Dalgleish/Swinbank/Suroor/Carr/Given/Dodds/Baron)
  • O’Meara: 0/10, 3 p
  • D Nicholls: 0/35, 4 p
About This Author

Hi, I'm Josh and thanks for reading my blog, Racing To Profit. Hopefully you like what you find. This is a place for horse racing fans of all levels and ability, bettors and non bettors. Here I, and fellow readers, share our opinions on horses and information that may help you find your own winners. Do say hi, we are a friendly bunch... and if you could use the 'share buttons' above that would also be appreciated :)

10 Comments

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    • one of them is on 14:00 Newmarket – Intimation 5/1
      yet another 3.25 Goodwood – STAKE ACCLAIM wll be short

      Pab 9 months ago Reply


  • Thanks for posting the stats Josh, Wide Inspiration for me in the Hunt Cup. The trainer seems in reasonable enough form too or not entirely out of form with the jockey getting a couple of wins lately. Fits all of my stats nicely along with Finn Class, Swift Emperor and Instant Attraction. These three have been rejected for various quibbles but I fancy pushing the boat out and making myself look like an idiot by reverse forcasting them with Wide Inspiration.

    Chris Albin 9 months ago Reply


  • I like Wilde Inspiration too, ran a lovely race last time travelling really well until caught close home. Interesting race for stats – the last 11 winners of this race have been priced at under 10/1. Stalls 6 and 7 are the ideal berths over a mile at Thirsk but when there is a field of 18, stalls 12 and 13 are not a disadvantage so I hope WI (in 13) gets a nice run round the bend.

    Richard Sutton 9 months ago Reply


  • Just got home from work and Wilde Inspiration is 4.8 on BF …… why didn’t I back it earlier!!??….Damn!! I can’t back Finn Class for various doubts so it’ll have to be Instant Attraction now with a saver on Wilde Inspiration.

    Chris Albin 9 months ago Reply


  • Three non runners made a small difference

    Richard Sutton 9 months ago Reply


  • Finn Class…..aaargh….. I had a small forcast so not all doom and gloom….I blame work for that!

    Chris Albin 9 months ago Reply


    • What put you off him in the end? good shortlisting work.

      Josh Wright 9 months ago Reply


  • I kind of guess mostly that I didn’t want to back more than two, busy day with work (lack of time as always), not looking close enough, price a little higher than I thought would win (28 on BF I believe – pass the sick bucket), soft ground (not much evidence) with a feeling he came to hand a little later on in the year. Just very keen on Wilde expectation but ended up too short so plumped for Instant Attraction, HRB trends gave me four with one non runner. Its quite difficult to mix punting and working for me! But I’m pleased with the shortlisting and went for Ribchester e/w (3rd) and Oakley Girl e/w (2nd), so not a bad day selecting even if the profit was less than ideal.

    Chris Albin 9 months ago Reply


  • Expectation???? er…Inspiration

    Chris Albin 9 months ago Reply


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