Dore: 0/5, 1 place: -5 SP
Gosden: 1/8, 4 places: -5.25 SP
Wall: 8/28, 13 places: +7.26 SP
Makin: 0/10, 3 places: -10 SP
A couple of points to note. ‘We’ clocked onto Makin’s poor form and I hope the damage was not as severe as -10. Also if taking opening odds for Wall’s runners you would have won +20 more points. These would have been bigger I suspect at morning prices as well. It should also be noted Dore had a 16/1 shot win, which drifted late and technically did not qualify, however if you were placing bets earlier you may have been on, as I was.
S C Williams: 3/31, 11 places: -0.5 SP
B J L: 3/17, 10 places: -2 SP
Gordon: 1/18, 2 places: -3.5 SP (-2.5 SP taking opening odds)
J J Quinn: 0/9, 3 places: -9 SP
Baker: 4/9, 7 places: +14.5 SP (+16.5 SP taking opening odds)
Ivory: 2/12, 6 places: 0 SP (+5 taking opening odds)
Baker had a habit of having bigger priced runners go well and his stats for 9/1-20/1 shots were 2/13, +15 SP. I think I missed the first of these but was on the second such winner.
So, strictly if taking opening odds at first show 10 mins before race or so about +7 for August and +7.5 for September. If ignoring Makin from about half way through when clear form was poor (say only -5), backing the Dore winner and a Baker bigger priced horse you could have made anywhere between +14.5 and +47 or so. There are a lot of ‘ifs’ in that statement but experience to date shows how these angles should be used as a guide – albeit it is important for the blog that they are profitable to back systematically when taken collectively. But, current trainer form is clearly important and so if seeing how the bigger priced runners do – the price points are of course only a guide and every now and then a trainer will have a a few big priced ones, like Baker. It must be said there were a handful of close seconds amongst that lot as well which would have improved things further. But, still, some solid results there, I have said it before but it would be nice if the monthly angles could average 10 points per month or so over the course of a year. We shall see whether that is possible. Experience to date further highlights the need to take a price in the morning as many of the winners, esp for Wall, were well backed.
‘Big Race Preview’ results currrently stand at +76 points to advised stakes and odds since the Hennessy Gold Cup last November.
The ‘Pace wins the Race’ trial proved challenging and in the end I ditched it, but that didnt lose anything in that period and wiped its face.
Tip of The Day is still going, albeit taking a hiatus at the moment, although not for long. When there is a ‘tip’ this will be included in the daily members report from now on. But, that running total is: 10/49, 19 places = +6 points.
‘The Shortlist’ is +4 since the start of the month – I was not recording detailed results before then but the shortlist was about +35 or so up if you backed every horse to 1 point level stakes I think – but that was from a lot of bets and I am trying to make that more focussed.
So, for a free blog I wont complain with how it has gone since I upped the output last November. Albeit if you missed the odd big priced winner and/or started backing selections when I hit a poor run, you may well not recognise those results – but, it is a long term game and profits will return soon. Of course those figures do not include the many winners and losers mentioned in despatches – Grumeti being a case in point. But, none of those count in my ‘official’ results. I should really start tipping more of them eh!?
That is all for now. I am keeping better records from now on etc so everything will be more transparent/accurate moving forwards.