Saturday 29/08/15

Just a quick note to say I am away for the weekend, albeit with wifi and my lap-top – but I don’t intend looking at much racing – having a couple of ‘days off’ is never bad for the mind. 

I had a quick look tomorrow and saw that Tangerine Trees is running in the Bullet at 25/1. I have had a small dart because I backed him last time where the draw looked to defeat him. He could bag the rail here and give it a good go from the front. He may well not be good enough now but I couldn’t resist a small bet at that price! 

The 7f handicap at Goodwood looks decent and you usually want a low draw there over that trip, and to race prominently. The ground is a bit of an unknown and it could be drying out. Rene Mathis and Enlace are both drawn low and like to race prominently and look interesting – albeit I looked at the race for 30 seconds and don’t intend betting. 

Good luck with your Saturday wagers.

I may not be posting again until Tuesday or Wednesday. 

Josh 

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Hi, I'm Josh and thanks for reading my blog, Racing To Profit. Hopefully you like what you find. This is a place for horse racing fans of all levels and ability, bettors and non bettors. Here I, and fellow readers, share our opinions on horses and information that may help you find your own winners. Do say hi, we are a friendly bunch... and if you could use the 'share buttons' above that would also be appreciated :)

5 Comments

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  • Hi Josh i am going to Beverley tomorrow so just thought i would share what appear to be a couple of significant stats and thoughts for the ‘Bullet.

    The last 10 renewals of this race:
    * All 10 winners were officially rated within 8lbs of the top rated in the race (others 0-50)
    * All 10 winners were drawn in single figure stalls 1-9 (others 0-30)

    Strictly applying the above leaves me with:- Line of Reason * Maarek * Alben Star

    Alben Star…has to step up in Class and with a 148 days absence and that won’t be easy for an Exposed horse
    Line of Reason…thrashed recently but that was in a Group 1 but just not keen he has to shoulder a penalty as only 1 past winner managed it
    Maarek…could be the one but agree with the Racing Post that the drying ground could go against him

    I’ll probably play it safe and Dutch: Line of Reason/Maarek

    Eric 1 year ago Reply


    • Well done Eric, the 1-2! I hope that made for a decent day out at the races for you.

      Josh Wright 1 year ago Reply


  • Enjoy tour break Josh.

    Interesting stats there Eric – enjoy Beverley its my favourite track 🙂

    Just a coule of darts for me:

    Cartmel

    3:50 – Hardly a form choice but Harriet Graham’s Azerodegree 16/1 is the selection here. The trainer has a good record at the track and this is her only runner today. Since 2010 she 7-17 41% +10.49 with her chasers – the selection returns from a break but will appreciate the step up in trip and this doesn’t look a race with much depth. Given his price and the fact there are 9 declared to go to post it would be no shame in backing him each way.
    Beverley

    3:30 – The drying ground has tempted me into a punt on the Tony Coyle trained Thatcherite. The seven year old can be slowly away from the stalls and he was again here. I noted him noted staying on very strongly from the rear to take 6th beaten 2 ½ lengths at the finish. Now 2lb lower than when winning at Beverly back in May he has returned to a winning mark. All of his six turf wins have come on good or good to firm going and five of his wins have come from a handicap mark of 61-70 he now races off 67. A strongly run 5f suits him very well and he has won three time after August so there could still be a small race in him when he gets good or quicker ground. Draw fine but needs to get off on level terms and hope he gets luck in running.

    JohnB 1 year ago Reply


  • It’s amazing sometimes a quick look works better. Well done and spot on with Rene Mathis. I believe in pace and prominence in sprints.

    Richard 1 year ago Reply


    • Hi Richard…yes a quick look sometimes works wonders..esp when able to use draw to help narrow down field. Yes agree with you in general about prominence in sprints. When held up you are reliant on so much going right, including pace and luck in running. Sometimes the price makes it worth the chance, esp if you think lots of pace and have someone like Spencer on, who I am a fan of!

      Josh Wright 1 year ago Reply


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