Glorious Goodwood: Handicap Stats

I will email out the below in a PDF on Monday, for those of you who may wish to print it off etc 

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Trainer Stats (of interest) for Glorious Goodwood : 2010-

Handicaps

All Handicap Races (no odds cap)

Positives:- (most wins first)

  • Mark Johnston: 96 bets / 12 wins / 33 places / +26.38 SP
    • 12/48, 22 places 14/1 or below
  • David Nicholls: 50 bets / 6 wins / 13 places / +59 SP
  • Andrew Balding: 32 bets / 5 wins / 9 places / +13.5 SP
    • 5/19, 8 places 12/1 or below / 26.5 SP
  • Sir Michael Stoute: 27 bets / 3 wins / 9 places / -11 SP
  • Jeremy Noseda: 7 bets / 3 wins / 4 places / +30.75 SP
  • A Carroll: 9 bets / 2 wins / 3 places / +40 SP
  • Hugo Palmer: 5 bets / 2 wins / 2 places / +7 SP
  • B Gubby: 3 bets / 2 wins / 2 places / +37 SP
  • H Candy: 11 bets / 2 wins / 3 places / +10 SP
  • W Haggas: 16 bets / 2 wins / 4 places / +12 SP
  • R Cowell: 10 bets / 2 wins / 4 places / +6 SP

Negatives:-

  • Richard Fahey: 86 bets / 3 wins / 15 places / -38 SP
  • Kevin Ryan: 46 bets / 2 wins / 8 places / -28.5 SP
  • R Charlton: 17 bets / 1 win / 5 places / -12.5 SP
  • Gary Moore: 18 bets /1 win / 2 places / -7 SP
  • Amanda Perrett: 45 bets / 1 win / 10 places / -28 SP
  • Luca Cumani: 19 bets / 1 win / 7 places / -14.5 SP
  • Charles Hills: 14 bets / 0 wins / 2 places / -14 SP
  • R Hannon (jnr): 18 bets / 0 wins / 5 places / -18 SP
  • J Osbourne: 16 bets / 0 wins / 2 places / -16 SP
  • R Harris: 14 bets / 0 wins / 0 places / -14 SP
  • George Baker: 18 bets / 0 wins / 3 places -18 SP
  • Saeed Bin Surror: 23 bets / 0 wins / 4 places / -23 SP
  • Mic Channon: 45 bets / 0 wins / 8 places / -45 SP
  • R Beckett: 16 bets / 0 wins / 3 places / -16 SP
  • TD Barron: 15 bets / 0 wins / 2 places / -15 SP
  • Tom Dascombe: 17 bets / 0 wins / 2 places / -17 SP

 

Odds:-

  • Handicappers sent off at bigger than 28/1 are: 256 bets / 1 win / 16 places / -222 SP
  • 22/1 to 28/1: 174 bets / 4 wins / 28 places / -67 SP

 

Distance

(there are a lot of trainers with just 1 win that I havent mentioned, lots of 1/4, 1/5 etc. I have included those with at least 2 wins and then those with 0 wins that caught the eye. Those not included  – you can assume I put no value on the stats, or were a small yard etc ie 0/5 or something) 

5f + 6F

  • David Nicholls: 36 bets / 5 wins / 11 places / +58 SP
  • R Fahey: 37 bets / 2 wins / 7 places / +3 SP
  • B Gubby: 3 bets / 2 wins / 2 places / +37 SP
  • Kevin Ryan: 36 bets / 2 wins / 7 places / -18.5 SP
  • R Cowell: 9 bets / 2 wins / 4 places / +7 SP
  • A Carroll: 7 bets / 2 wins / 3 places / +42 SP
  • M Channon: 20 bets / 0 wins / 5 places / -20 SP
  • TD Barron: 10 bets / 0 wins / 2 places / -10 SP
  • R Harris: 12 bets / 0 wins / 0 places / -12 SP
  • Tom Dascombe: 9 bets / 0 wins / 2 places / -9 SP
  • M Johnston: 6 bets / 0 wins / 3 places / -6 SP

7 + 8F

  • M Johnston: 27 bets / 3 wins / 9 places / -5 SP
  • Hugo Palmer: 2 bets / 2 wins / 2 places / +10 SP
  • Andrew Balding: 10 bets / 2 wins / 2 places / +5.5 SP
  • Richard Fahey: 23 bets / 1 win / 4 places / -15 SP
  • Mic Channon: 12 bets / 0 wins / 3 places / -12 SP

9 + 10F

  • Mark Johnston: 30 bets / 5 wins / 12 places / +24.38 SP
  • J Noseda: 3 bets / 3 wins / 3 places / +34.75 SP
  • Richard Fahey: 18 bets / 0 wins / 4 places / -18 SP
  • Amanda Perrett: 12 bets / 0 wins / 4 places / -12 SP

11F +

  • Mark Johnston: 33 bets / 4 wins / 9 places / +13 SP
  • Sir Michael Stoute: 11 bets / 2 wins / 6 places / 0 SP
  • Andrew Building: 11 bets / 2 wins / 5 places / +6 SP
  • Amanda Perrett: 22 bets / 1 win / 4 places / -5 SP
  • Nicky Henderson: 8 bets / 1 win / 3 places / -1 SP
  • Richard Fahey: 8 bets / 0 wins / 0 places / -8 SP

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Days Since Run (no odds cap)

  • 1-3 days: 19 bets / 0 wins / 1 place
  • 4-5 days: 56 bets / 4 wins / 11 places (stats in line with all those 4-75 days)
  • 4-75 days: 1366 bets / 88 wins / 302 places
  • 76 days+ : 53 bets / 1 win / 8 places

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Mark Johnston

  • His handicappers priced over 14/1  …. 29 bets / 0 wins / 7 places

So, with a 14/1 SP cap…

  • Class 2: 50 bets / 11 wins / 19 places / +70 SP
  • Class 3: 17 bets / 1 win / 7 places / -15 SP
  • 1st Last Time Out: 24 bets / 6 wins / 11 places / +30 SP
  • 10F: 14 bets / 4 wins / 6 places / +38 SP
  • 2m5f: 5 bets / 2 wins / 3 places / +18 SP
  • Track Last Time Out…
    • Ascot: 17 bets / 3 wins / 8 places / +8 SP
    • Newmarket (July): 8 bets / 4 wins / 6 places / +29 SP
  • 0 career handicap wins: 14 bets / 5 wins / 6 places / +46 SP
  • 0 wins that season: 8 bets / 4 wins / 4 places / +37 SP
  • 2 year olds: 8 bets / 1 win / 3 places

14/1 or under; Class 2 ; Track LTO: Ascot/Beverley/Haydock/York/Newm (J)…

33 bets / 11 wins / 17 places / +87 SP

(caution as tracks with no winners as yet are small numbers. I would not let a horse running at another track put you off as such)

14/1 or under; Class 2; Age 4 or 5…

41 bets / 10 wins / 16 places / +72 SP

(last 3 years stats are: 24 bets / 9 wins / 14 places / +82 SP)

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David Nicholls

  • All winners 28/1 or shorter to date
  • Aged 2-5yo: 20 bets / 1 win / 5 places
  • Aged 6-9: 19 bets / 5 wins / 7 places / +75 SP
    • 3/5 in 2010; 0/11, 2 places 2011-2013; 2/3 2014
About This Author

A community committed to making racing fun, enjoyable and profitable in the long term. Josh

11 Comments

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  • Very Interesting stats thanks for this

    Brian 22/07/15 8:26 PM Reply


  • Hi Josh,
    Over the years have noticed good priced winners in Handicaps,when they have been brought out within
    1 or 2 days only.
    Would you be able to go back 3 to 4 years with your data.
    Many Thanks
    Colin

    colin 23/07/15 8:42 AM Reply


    • I will get digging Colin and let you know. Good idea, thanks.

      Josh Wright 23/07/15 9:25 AM Reply


    • I have added ‘days since run stats above’ and certainly since 2010- those turned out quickly haven’t done too well, nor those coming here after more than 75 days off track.
      Josh

      Josh Wright 23/07/15 12:11 PM Reply


  • Hi Josh,
    The 1+2 day is over all codes of racing not just on todays profiles,
    sorry for any confusion
    Colin

    colin 23/07/15 1:57 PM Reply


    • Ah apologies, well either way it threw up something of interest for Goodwood! I will have a look in general.

      Josh Wright 23/07/15 3:19 PM Reply


  • Hi Josh how have Hughes/Hannon horses done at Goodwood in Class 1 races, they must have won at Newbury last time out.
    A Stat I seem to have tucked away in my brain cell

    Philip 23/07/15 7:45 PM Reply


    • Just had quick look..stats for team Hannon/Hughes since 2010 class 1…
      38 bets/14 wins/22 places

      Track LTO..
      Newbury actually 0/3,2 places.
      Newmarket (July) 15 bets /8 wins / 10 places. +5.58 SP

      1st last time out – 20 bets /10 wins / 14 places

      Hope that helps
      Josh

      Josh Wright 23/07/15 8:42 PM Reply


  • Hi Josh, I usually go to Goodwood most days and for the last few years I have been very successful backing all MJ horses to level stakes each day stop at a winner.
    Anecdotally it feels as though the ‘early’ races contain more of his winners. I think there has only been one occasion where I got beyond 7 bets but prices at Glorious are usually sufficiently good to compensate.
    Last year was the most modest return, the year before when he had been a bit out of form leading up to the meeting was fantastic. problem this year is that his recent form has been so fantastic that I would imagine he will be over bet.

    Hugh 24/07/15 11:48 AM Reply


    • Agree it will be interesting to see how they get on, and as you say it is likely they will be over-bet. It is hard to pick the right ones on ‘form’ as well, as that can go out the window! But, they are usually big fields and I should think the early prices will hold up with any luck. I do need to get myself to Glorious Goodwood at some point, let’s hope the weather is good!

      Josh Wright 24/07/15 11:55 AM Reply


  • Great stuff Josh off to Goodwood Tuesday and Thursday so any stats are very much appreciated mate cheers

    Gary Tarrant 24/07/15 4:27 PM Reply


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