Just a quick note to say that I am still looking daily for ‘Pace’ selections but nothing of quality is standing out at all at the moment. So, until something comes up I am comfortable betting on I will keep my money in my wallet. As I have said previously, if there is no post by 10pm in the evening it means there will be no ‘Pace’ selection for the following day. Given how quiet Monday-Fridays can be it may be the case that I expand into the weekend, we shall see.
Having watched a few races there appears to be an incredible pace bias on the Dirt track. Anything that can get a lead, or race very handily, that has the form to stay there is rarely caught. The exception is when there may be a pace burn up and it sets up for finishers. Anyway, I will watch with interest to see how this develops. Arguably those horses who get an easy time on the lead and win should be downgraded and any that come from off the pace, especially if it’s a slow pace, should be upgraded. It just looks bloody hard work to come from the back on that course. Whether the track will change as time goes on we shall see. There is no place to readily access Meydan pace maps (that i know of) and it is just a case of watching and noting down/going through Racing Post manually.
With that in mind i will be keeping a close eye on the 3.55 Meydan. AdIdem and Local Time should both be up there from the start. They finished 1-2 last time and I doubt they will be much of a price. A case could be made for the from being reversed but either way it will be interesting to watch. I don’t think their odds will be great but maybe a reverse forecast (for fun) will work out well!
The 5.40 looks tricky, even for someone not accustomed to studying the Meydan form! Surfer could well burn them off turning int but has stamina to prove. I think he will be in there pitching. Frankyfourfingers was 2nd to Surfer lto but could well appreciate this distance more. They both look like they will be in the box seat turning in, which I think is the place to be. African Story is high class and ran in this last year i think. That was on the old surface and he usually comes from off the pace. It will be interesting to see how he runs.
Anyway, I may have some fun bets. In truth I dont know the form well enough but will be watching how the pace works out.